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Imperfect information and learning in foreign exchange rate fluctuations

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20730205
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

KANO Takashi  東京大学, 大学院・経済学研究科, 講師 (90456179)

Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2010
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2010)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords為替レート / 国際マクロ経済モデル / 動学的確率的一般均衡モデル / 不完全情報 / 周波数解析 / ベイズ統計 / 輸送費 / 一物一価の法則 / 実質為替レート / 財輸送の離散選択 / 輸送費の距離弾力性 / サンプルセレクションバイアス / 構造推定 / 動学的一般均衡モデル / 学習効果
Research Abstract

I conducted three research projects. In the first one, I investigated roles of information imperfection of market participants on a central bank’s monetary policy in exchange rate fluctuations within a framework of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models (DSGEs). Along this equilibrium, I then observed delayed overshooting of exchange rates in response of monetary policy shocks that many past studies empirically found but theoretically failed to generate.
In the second project, I applied Bayesian estimation and model validation methods to my investigation of a small open economy model with habit formation in consumption. I also developed a Bayesian calibration framework for evaluating a DSGE model within the frequency domain.
In the third project, I empirically scrutinized a role of transport costs in regional price dispersions with the unique data set of wholesale prices of agricultural products in Japan. I identified and estimated a surprisingly large role of transport costs in observed regional price differentials relative to those found in past studies.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2010 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • 2008 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (23 results)

All 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Other

All Journal Article (10 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results) Presentation (12 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Exaggerated death of distance, revisiting distance effects on regional price dispersions2012

    • Author(s)
      Kano, K., Kano, T, and Takechi,K.
    • Journal Title

      CIRJE Discussion Paper

      Volume: F-760

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Business cycle implications of internal consumption habit for new Keyesian models2010

    • Author(s)
      Kano, T., Nason, J.M.
    • Journal Title

      Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Working Paper

      Volume: 2009-16

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Habit formation and the present-value model of the current account : yet another suspect2010

    • Author(s)
      Kano,T.
    • Journal Title

      the Journal international Economics

      Volume: 78 Pages: 72-85

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Exaggerated Death of Distance : Revisiting Distance Effects on Regional Price Dispersions2010

    • Author(s)
      Kazuko Kano, Takashi Kano, Kazutaka Takechi
    • Journal Title

      東京大学日本経済国際共同研究センターディスカッションンペーパーCIRJE-F-767

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Exaggerated Death of Distance : Revisiting Distance Effects on Regional Price Dispersions2010

    • Author(s)
      Kazuko Kano, Takashi Kano, Kazutaka Takechi
    • Journal Title

      東京大学金融教育研究センターディスカッションペーパーCARF-F-231

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Exaggerated Death of Distance : Revisiting Distance Effects on Regional Price Dispersions2010

    • Author(s)
      Kazuko Kano, Takashi Kano, Kazutaka Takechi
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series 162, School of Economics and Finance, University of Technology Sydney

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Business Cycle Implications of Internal Consumption Habit for New Keynesian Models2010

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Kano, James Nason
    • Journal Title

      Center for Applied Macroeconomic Research, Australian National University, CAMA Working Paper 2010-31

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Habit formation and the present value model of the current account: yet another suspect2009

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Kano
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Internatinal Economics 78

      Pages: 72-85

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Business cycle implications of internal consumption habits for new Keynesian models2009

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Kano, James M.Nason
    • Journal Title

      Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Working Paper 2009-16

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Habit formation and the present-value model of the current account : yet another suspect

    • Author(s)
      Takashi Kano
    • Journal Title

      Journal of International Economics (掲載決定)(印刷中)

    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Exaggerated death of distance : revisiting distance effects on regional price dispersions2011

    • Author(s)
      Kano, T.
    • Organizer
      North American Summer Meetings of Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, U.S.
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-10
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exaggerated Death of Distance : Revisiting Distance Effects on Regional Price Dispersions2011

    • Author(s)
      加納隆
    • Organizer
      North American Summer Meetings of Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Washington University in St Louis(アメリカ)
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-10
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exaggerated death of distance: revisiting distance effects on regional price dispersions2011

    • Author(s)
      Kano, T.
    • Organizer
      Canadian Economic Association Meetings
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-05
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exaggerated Death of Distance : Revisiting Distance Effects on Regional Price Dispersions2011

    • Author(s)
      加納隆
    • Organizer
      Canadian Economic Association Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Ottawa(カナダ)
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-04
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exaggerated death of distance: revisiting distance effects on regional price dispersions2010

    • Author(s)
      Kano, T.
    • Organizer
      7th Joint Conference of Seoul National University and University of Tokyo
    • Place of Presentation
      Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-29
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exaggerated Death of Distance : Revisiting Distance Effects on Regional Price Dispersions2010

    • Author(s)
      加納隆
    • Organizer
      7^<th> Joint Conference of Seoul National University and University of Tokyo
    • Place of Presentation
      ソウル国立大学経済学部(韓国)
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-29
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exaggerated death of distance : revisiting distance effects on regional price dispersions2010

    • Author(s)
      Kano, T.
    • Organizer
      Summer Workshop for Economic Theory
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-08-02
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exaggerated Death of Distance : Revisiting Distance Effects on Regional Price Dispersions2010

    • Author(s)
      加納隆
    • Organizer
      Summer Workshop of Economic Theory
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学経済学部
    • Year and Date
      2010-08-02
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Business cycle implications of internal consumption habits for new Keyensian models2008

    • Author(s)
      Kano, T., Nason, J.M.
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Monetary Policy in Open Economies, Reserve Bank of Australia
    • Place of Presentation
      Sydney, Australia
    • Year and Date
      2008-12-15
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Business cycle implications of internal consumption habits for new Keyensian models2008

    • Author(s)
      Kano, T., Nason, J.M.
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Methods and Applications for DSGE Models
    • Place of Presentation
      Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
    • Year and Date
      2008-10-10
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Business cycle implications of internatal consumption habit for new Keynesian models2008

    • Author(s)
      James M. Nason and Takashi Kano
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Methods and Applications for DSGE models
    • Place of Presentation
      Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Business cycle implications of internatal consumption habit for new Keynesian models2008

    • Author(s)
      James M. Nason and Takashi Kano
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Monetary Policy in Open Economy
    • Place of Presentation
      Reserve Bank of Australia
    • Related Report
      2008 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.econ.hit-u.ac.jp/~tkano/research.html

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2008-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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