Development of unified transportation equilibrium model system with travel time reliability for transportation policy evaluation

• Project/Area Number: 20760344
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Research Field: Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
• Research Institution: Kanazawa University
• Principal Investigator: NAKAYAMA Shoichiro Kanazawa University, 環境デザイン学系, 准教授 (90334755)
• Project Period (FY): 2008 – 2009
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2009)
• Budget Amount: ¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000); Fiscal Year 2009: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000); Fiscal Year 2008: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
• Keywords: 時間信頼性 / 統合化交通均衡モデル / 交通ネットワーク / 統合均衡モデル / 交通工学・国土計画 / 交通均衡

Research Abstract

A maximum likelihood method of estimating parameters or OD matrix of network equilibrium models using observed link flows (link flow count data) have been developed. Also, unified network equilibrium model of route choice and mode choice between road and public transportation using the nested logit model was formulated. Thus, a model system including the stochastic network equilibrium model and others for travel time reliability assessment was developed.

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Bayesian Learning, Day-to-Day Adjustment Process, and Stability of Wardrop Equilibrium (2009)
  • Author(s): Nakayama, S.
  • Journal Title: Transportation and Traffic Theory(W.H.K. Lam, S.C. Wong & H.K. Lo eds. ) Pages: 425-440
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Estimation of Parameters of Network Equilibrium Models: A Maximum Likelihood Method and Statistical Properties of Network Flow (2009)
  • Author(s): Nakayama, S., R. Connors, D. Watling
  • Journal Title: Transportation and Traffic Theory 2009(W.H.K. Lam, S.C. Wong & H.K. Lo eds. ) Pages: 39-56
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 経路選択行動のday-to-dayダイナミクスと交通ネットワーク均衡の形成プロセス (2009)
  • Author(s): 中山晶一朗
  • Journal Title: 土木学会論文集D Vol.65,No.1 Pages: 1-11
  • NAID: 130004467318
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 旅行時間の不確実性を考慮した分担・配分統合交通ネットワーク均衡モデルに関する研究:金沢都市圏への軌道系公共交通導入時の道路交通への影響分析を例に (2009)
  • Author(s): 長尾一輝, 中山晶一朗, 高山純一, 円山琢也
  • Journal Title: 土木学会論文集D Vol.65,No.1 Pages: 12-25
  • NAID: 130004467319
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Estimation of Parameters of Network Equilibrium Models : A Maximum Likelihood Method and Statistical Properties of Network Flow (2009)
  • Author(s): Nakayama, S., R.Connors, D.Watling
  • Journal Title: Transportation and Traffic Theory 2009 Pages: 39-56
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 旅行時間の不確実性を考慮した分担・配分統合交通ネットワーク均衡モデルに関する研究:金沢都市圏への軌道系公共交通導入時の道路交通への影響分析を例に (2009)
  • Author(s): 長尾一輝, 中山晶一朗, 高山純一, 円山琢也
  • Journal Title: 土木学会論文集D 65 Pages: 12-25
  • NAID: 130004467319
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Bayesian Learning, Day-to-Day Adjustment Process, and Stability of Wardrop Equilibrium (2009)
  • Author(s): Nakayama, S.
  • Journal Title: Transportation and Traffic Theory 2009 Pages: 425-440
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 経路選択行動のday-to-dayダイナミクスと交通ネットワーク均衡の形成プロセス (2009)
  • Author(s): 中山晶一朗
  • Journal Title: 土木学会論文集D 65 Pages: 1-11
  • NAID: 130004467318
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 旅行時間の不確実性を考慮した分担・配分統合交通ネットワーク均衡モデルに関する研究 : 金沢都市圏への軌道系公共交通導入時の道路交通への影響分析を例に (2009)
  • Author(s): 長尾一輝, 中山晶一朗, 高山純一, 円山琢也
  • Journal Title: 土木学会論文集D 65 Pages: 12-25
  • NAID: 130004467319
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 混雑の時空間移動を考慮した準動的配分モデル (2008)
  • Author(s): 中山晶一朗
  • Journal Title: 土木学会論文集D Vol.64,No.3 Pages: 340-353
  • NAID: 130004942872
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 旅行時間の不確実性を考慮した確率ネットワーク均衡モデルを用いた時間信頼性評価手法:金沢道路ネットワークを例に (2008)
  • Author(s): 長尾一輝, 中山晶一朗, 高山純一
  • Journal Title: 土木計画学研究・論文集 No.25 Pages: 807-814
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] リスク態度を考慮した準動的配分モデル (2008)
  • Author(s): 小松良幸, 中山晶一朗, 高山純一
  • Journal Title: 土木計画学研究・論文集 No.25 Pages: 683-692
  • NAID: 120001597118
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] An Analysis of Transportation System Mechanisms Using the Agent-Based Simulation (2008)
  • Author(s): Nakayama, S.
  • Journal Title: Urban Transport XIV(C.A. Brebbia ed. ) Pages: 561-568
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 混雑の時空間移動を考慮した準動的配分モデル (2008)
  • Author(s): 中山晶一朗
  • Journal Title: 土木学会論文集D 64 Pages: 340-353
  • NAID: 130004942872
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] リスク態度を考慮した準動的配分モデル (2008)
  • Author(s): 小松良幸, 中山晶一朗, 高山純一
  • Journal Title: 土木計画学研究・論文集 25 Pages: 683-692
  • NAID: 120001597118
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 旅行時間の不確実性を考慮した確率ネットワーク均衡モデルを用いた時間信頼性評価手法 : 金沢道路ネットワークを例に (2008)
  • Author(s): 長尾一輝, 中山晶一朗, 高山純一
  • Journal Title: 土木計画学研究・論文集 25 Pages: 807-814
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Presentation] Bounded Rationality, Learning, and Complexity of Transportation Systems (2009)
  • Author(s): Nakayama, S.
  • Organizer: International Workshop on Day-to-Day dynamics for Transportation Network Analysis
  • Place of Presentation: イタリア・サレルノ
  • Year and Date: 2009-12-03
• [Presentation] An Application of the Simulated Annealing to the Calculation of a Combined Mode Choice and Route Choice Network Equilibrium Model with Road Travel Time Uncertainty (2008)
  • Author(s): Nagao, K., Nakayama, S., Takayama, J., Maruyama, T.
  • Organizer: the Joint 4nd International Conference on Soft Computing and Intelligent Systems and 9th International Symposium on Advanced Intelligent Systems
  • Place of Presentation: Nagoya, Japan
  • Year and Date: 2008-09-19
• [Presentation] A Dynamic Traffic Equilibrium Model with Large Discrete Time (2008)
  • Author(s): Nakayama, S.
  • Organizer: Proceedings of the 13th International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
  • Place of Presentation: Hong Kong, China
• [Presentation] A Semi-Dynamic Model of Traffic Network Equilibrium with Unique Solution (2008)
  • Author(s): Nakayama, S.
  • Organizer: the 2nd International Symposium on Dynamic Traffic Assignment
  • Place of Presentation: Leuven, Belgium
• [Presentation] A Dynamic Traffic Equilibrium Model with Large Discrete Time (2008)
  • Author(s): Nakayama, S.
  • Organizer: Proceedings of the 13^<th> International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transnortation Studies
  • Place of Presentation: 香港
• [Presentation] An Analysis of Transportation System Mechanisms Using the Agent-Based Simulation (2008)
  • Author(s): Nakayama, S.
  • Organizer: Urban Transport XIV
  • Place of Presentation: マルタ
• [Presentation] A Semi-Dynamic Model of Traffic Network Equilibrium with Unique Solution (2008)
  • Author(s): Nakayama, S.
  • Organizer: the 2^<nd> International Symposium on Dynamic Traffic Assignment
  • Place of Presentation: ルーヴェン, ベルギー