| Project/Area Number |
20840043
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (Start-up)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Research Field |
General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
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| Research Institution | The Institute of Statistical Mathematics |
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Principal Investigator |
ZHUANG Jiancang The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, モデリング研究系, 助教 (70465920)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2008 – 2009
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2009)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥3,276,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,520,000、Indirect Cost: ¥756,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥1,716,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,320,000、Indirect Cost: ¥396,000)
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| Keywords | 地震活動 / 点過程 / フィルタリング / Neyman-Scott過程 / ギャンブリング評価法 / 前震 / 余震 / Bath法則 / ETASモデル |
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| Research Abstract |
This research took the processes of earthquake occurrences as an example, developed statistical inferences to partially observed point processes, also revealed some physical properties related to earthquakes, including : 1) discovery of foreshock phenomena as a results of generic earthquake clustering ; 2) explanation the Bath law through clustering model ; 3) estimation of cluster-center process of Neyman-Scott processes, and 4) proposing of the gambling scoring method for testing performance of black-box type prediction algorithms.
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