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Impacts of Sea-level Rise and Adaptation on Oceanic Populations and Future Scenarios

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20H00045
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Medium-sized Section 4:Geography, cultural anthropology, folklore, and related fields
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

Furusawa Takuro  京都大学, アジア・アフリカ地域研究研究科, 教授 (50422457)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 河合 渓  鹿児島大学, 総合科学域共同学系, 教授 (60332897)
竹田 晋也  京都大学, アジア・アフリカ地域研究研究科, 教授 (90212026)
塚原 高広  名寄市立大学, 保健福祉学部, 教授 (90328378)
石森 大知  法政大学, 国際文化学部, 准教授 (90594804)
飯田 晶子  東京大学, 大学院工学系研究科(工学部), 特任講師 (90700930)
土谷 ちひろ  医療創生大学, 国際看護学部, 助教 (90806259)
石田 貴文  東京大学, 大学院理学系研究科(理学部), 教授 (20184533)
Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥44,330,000 (Direct Cost: ¥34,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥10,230,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥8,840,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,040,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥13,260,000 (Direct Cost: ¥10,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,060,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥13,260,000 (Direct Cost: ¥10,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,060,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥8,970,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,070,000)
Keywords海面上昇 / 適応策 / コベネフィット / ウェルビーイング / 気候変動 / 人類生態学 / オセアニア / 健康 / 生態環境
Outline of Research at the Start

いま、海面上昇によってオセアニア諸国に大きな変化が起こる時代において、人々がどう対処していくかという適応策が世界的な課題である。しかし、これまでの適応策立案や実施に当たっては、異なる環境や文化の島に暮らす住民に対して、適応策実施がどのような影響をもたらすかを事前に示すことには限界があった。地元住民や政府にとって、政策ごとに将来を予測できることは喫緊の課題である。そこで、「海面上昇適応策が、地域の環境と社会を変動させ、結果として健康(心の健康を含むwell-being)にどのように影響するか?」を解明することを目的とする。地元政府・地域社会が適応策を選び、将来に備えることに貢献する。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

Based on local surveys and literature research in Oceania, this study categorized the climate change impacts on local communities into the following areas: coastal erosion, coastal inundation, coastal flooding, inland flooding, water security, food security, and health and well-being. As for adaptation strategies: Ecological Approaches,Civil/Architecture Measures,Mechanical Solutions, Agricultural/Fisheries Practices, Information Technology, and Migratory Considerations. While global technologies can sometimes have unintended consequences at the local level, achieving sufficient impact without external assistance can be challenging. Significant societal changes may also adversely affect health and well-being. Large-scale migration often poses difficulties for local communities. Therefore, staying in place requires a thoughtful combination of global expertise and locally informed ecological techniques, all under appropriate governance.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

人間活動による気候変動は「疑う余地がない」中で、オセアニアの島嶼国が海面上昇などの影響に対して、どのような適応策をとるかは世界的な問題である。本研究は、科学的研究成果と地域社会における事例を統合することで、今後多方面で活用できるように、適応策を類型化した。そして類型化に即して、将来に向けてのシナリオを検討した。研究成果は国際的な議論や、現地での政策に反映されるように共有した。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Annual Research Report
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Comments on the Screening Results   Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (29 results)

All 2024 2023 2021 2020 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (6 results) Journal Article (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 14 results,  Peer Reviewed: 13 results,  Open Access: 14 results) Presentation (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Invited: 3 results) Book (4 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] ソロモン諸島保健医療省(ソロモン)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] パラオ地域短期大学(パラオ)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ソロモン諸島保健医療省(ソロモン)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] パラオ地域短期大学(パラオ)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] 南太平洋大学(フィジー)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ハサヌディン大学(インドネシア)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults2024

    • Author(s)
      NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC)
    • Journal Title

      The Lancet

      Volume: 403 Issue: 10431 Pages: 1027-1050

    • DOI

      10.1016/s0140-6736(23)02750-2

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 太平洋島嶼国における沿岸域村落の資源利用の変容 -2005年と2017年での2つの村を比較して-2024

    • Author(s)
      河合渓・西村知・J. ベイタヤキ
    • Journal Title

      South Pacific Studies

      Volume: 44 Pages: 1-8

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Time-series analysis of satellite imagery for detecting vegetation cover changes in Indonesia2023

    • Author(s)
      Furusawa Takuro、Koera Takuya、Siburian Rikson、Wicaksono Agung、Matsudaira Kazunari、Ishioka Yoshinori
    • Journal Title

      Scientific Reports

      Volume: 13 Issue: 1 Pages: 8437-8437

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-023-35330-1

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Global variation in diabetes diagnosis and prevalence based on fasting glucose and hemoglobin A1c2023

    • Author(s)
      NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC)
    • Journal Title

      Nature Medicine

      Volume: 29 Issue: 11 Pages: 2885-2901

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41591-023-02610-2

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] レビュー 藤井真一著『生成される平和の民族誌―ソロモン諸島における「民族紛争」と日常性』2023

    • Author(s)
      石森大知
    • Journal Title

      文化人類学

      Volume: 88(2) Pages: 371-374

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Relationship between individual-level social capital and non-communicable diseases among adults in Honiara, Solomon Islands2023

    • Author(s)
      Tsuchiya Chihiro、Pitakaka Frida、Daefoni Julia、Furusawa Takuro
    • Journal Title

      BMJ Nutrition, Prevention & Health

      Volume: 6 Issue: 2 Pages: 347-356

    • DOI

      10.1136/bmjnph-2023-000622

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 「キリスト教の人類学」とモスコ・ロビンス論争の批判的検討――メラネシア研究の視点から読み解く2023

    • Author(s)
      石森大知
    • Journal Title

      異文化

      Volume: 24 Pages: 31-47

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Socioeconomic and Behavioral Factors Associated with Obesity Across Sex and Age in Honiara, Solomon Islands2021

    • Author(s)
      Tsuchiya C, Furusawa T, Tagini S, Nakazawa M.
    • Journal Title

      Hawaii J Health Soc Welf

      Volume: 80 Pages: 24-32

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Heterogeneous contributions of change in population distribution of body mass index to change in obesity and underweight2021

    • Author(s)
      NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC)
    • Journal Title

      eLife

      Volume: 10

    • DOI

      10.7554/elife.60060

    • URL

      https://pure.teikyo.jp/en/publications/37adeae9-2d3b-46cd-9687-d323e308dbcb

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Worldwide trends in hypertension prevalence and progress in treatment and control from 1990 to 2019: a pooled analysis of 1201 population-representative studies with 104 million participants2021

    • Author(s)
      Zhou Bin、Carrillo-Larco Rodrigo M、Danaei Goodarz、Furusawa Takuro、et al
    • Journal Title

      The Lancet

      Volume: 398 Issue: 10304 Pages: 957-980

    • DOI

      10.1016/s0140-6736(21)01330-1

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Health and well-being in small island communities: a cross-sectional study in the Solomon Islands2021

    • Author(s)
      Furusawa T, Pitakaka F, Gabriel S, Sai A, Tsukahara T, Ishida T
    • Journal Title

      BMJ Open

      Volume: 11 Issue: 11 Pages: e055106-e055106

    • DOI

      10.1136/bmjopen-2021-055106

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Admixture with indigenous people helps local adaptation: admixture-enabled selection in Polynesians2021

    • Author(s)
      Isshiki Mariko、Naka Izumi、Kimura Ryosuke、Nishida Nao、Furusawa Takuro、Natsuhara Kazumi、Yamauchi Taro、Nakazawa Minato、Ishida Takafumi、Inaoka Tsukasa、Matsumura Yasuhiro、Ohtsuka Ryutaro、Ohashi Jun
    • Journal Title

      BMC Ecology and Evolution

      Volume: 21 Issue: 1 Pages: 179-179

    • DOI

      10.1186/s12862-021-01900-y

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Sociocultural factors affecting drive for muscularity among male college students in Malaysia2020

    • Author(s)
      Sai Akira、Furusawa Takuro、Othman Mohd Yusof、Tomojiri Daiki、Wan Zaini Wan Fatihah Zaimah、Tan Charlene Sze Yunn、Mohamad Norzilan Nur Izzati Binti
    • Journal Title

      Heliyon

      Volume: 6 Issue: 7 Pages: e04414-e04414

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e04414

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Admixture and natural selection shaped genomes of an Austronesian-speaking population in the Solomon Islands2020

    • Author(s)
      Isshiki Mariko、Naka Izumi、Watanabe Yusuke、Nishida Nao、Kimura Ryosuke、Furusawa Takuro、Natsuhara Kazumi、Yamauchi Taro、Nakazawa Minato、Ishida Takafumi、Eddie Ricky、Ohtsuka Ryutaro、Ohashi Jun
    • Journal Title

      Scientific Reports

      Volume: 10 Issue: 1 Pages: 6872-6872

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-020-62866-3

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Repositioning of the global epicentre of non-optimal cholesterol2020

    • Author(s)
      NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC)
    • Journal Title

      Nature

      Volume: 582 Issue: 7810 Pages: 73-77

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41586-020-2338-1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Height and body-mass index trajectories of school-aged children and adolescents from 1985 to 2019 in 200 countries and territories: a pooled analysis of 2181 population-based studies with 65 million participants2020

    • Author(s)
      NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC)
    • Journal Title

      The Lancet

      Volume: 396 Issue: 10261 Pages: 1511-1524

    • DOI

      10.1016/s0140-6736(20)31859-6

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Indigenous Calendars in Western Sumba Island, Indonesia: Signals for "Bitterness" and "Sea Worms"2021

    • Author(s)
      Furusawa T
    • Organizer
      International Symposium on Calendars used in Asia and Oceania. Zoom (Nagoya: Nanzan University)
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Science, Policy, and Society of Japan under the COVID-19 Pandemic.2020

    • Author(s)
      Furusawa T
    • Organizer
      Hasanuddin University 64th Anniversary International Webinar “COVID-19: Lesson Learned from Australia and Japan”
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 「海面上昇と適応策がオセアニア地域の健康にもたらす影響」2020

    • Author(s)
      古澤拓郎
    • Organizer
      日本生理人類学会 第81回大会シンポジウム「気候変動と生理人類学」Zoom(長崎大学)
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Book] オセアニアの気候変動と適応策:地球から地域へ2024

    • Author(s)
      古澤 拓郎
    • Total Pages
      92
    • Publisher
      風響社
    • ISBN
      9784894893641
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ようこそオセアニア世界へ (シリーズ地域研究のすすめ 4)2023

    • Author(s)
      石森大知・黒崎岳大
    • Total Pages
      333
    • Publisher
      昭和堂
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 岩波講座 世界歴史19 太平洋海域世界~二〇世紀2023

    • Author(s)
      中野聡・安村直己編、石森大知
    • Total Pages
      290
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ウェルビーイングを植える島2021

    • Author(s)
      古澤 拓郎
    • Total Pages
      302
    • Publisher
      京都大学学術出版会
    • ISBN
      9784814003402
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2020-04-28   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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