• Search Research Projects
  • Search Researchers
  • How to Use
  1. Back to previous page

Basic research on the effect of economic and industrial policy on the firm dynamics of SMEs

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20H01502
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
Research InstitutionSeijo University

Principal Investigator

Goto Yasuo  成城大学, 社会イノベーション学部, 教授 (00571192)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 照山 博司  京都大学, 経済研究所, 教授 (30227532)
川崎 能典  統計数理研究所, モデリング研究系, 教授 (70249910)
Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥15,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥11,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,540,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Keywords企業ダイナミクス / 中小企業政策 / ゾンビ企業 / 中小企業 / コロナショック / 規模依存政策 / 生産性
Outline of Research at the Start

わが国において主として経済産業政策の一環としてなされている中小企業支援のための経済政策が、企業ダイナミクス(参入、退出、 成長)を妨げている面が無いか、との問題意識の下、学術的・政策的に意義のある統計的エビデンスを得るため、独自の個票データ等を用いて、従来の中小企業分析等では適用例が少ない高度な統計解析法を応用(例えば企業の異質性や因果性を考慮できるよう統計解析手法を拡張)するなどの独自性を持った分析を行う。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study is an empirical analysis of the relationship between policy support and the dynamics and growth potential of the SME sector, etc., using micro/macro data based on econometric methods. Coping with the COVID-19 infection spread after the start of the study and its impact were also important issues throughout the study. After organizing various policy information, field surveys and data analysis were conducted to examine, among other things, the possibility of pushing down long-term growth potential due to large-scale support. The results of the analysis and research were published as several articles in academic journals and disseminated to society at large through policy, educational, and social channels.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

中小企業部門で過重債務企業(いわゆるゾンビ企業)の割合が高いという状況は、長きにわたる手厚い公的支援の影響を示唆する一方、政策的支援(信用保証等の金融的手段)がマクロ経済の循環的変動に恒常的な影響を及ぼしている統計的エビデンスは得られず、局面(緊急時と平常時)や期間の長さ(長期と短期)に応じた評価や考察の必要性等の学術的、政策的含意を得た。
中小企業支援の副作用(新陳代謝や競争力の抑制)に対する懸念はコロナ禍を経て一層高まり、政府の議論の場(審議会等)や経済メディアなどからの関心も高く、本研究を通じて得た成果に基づき、今後のあり方等に関する議論に資する材料も幅広く提供した。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (14 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Open Access: 7 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Invited: 1 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Universite de Rennes(フランス)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Efficiency of small and medium-sized real estate industry -An analysis on the period after the burst of the bubble economy using micro-data2023

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Goto
    • Journal Title

      public policy review

      Volume: 18(2) Pages: 1-26

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 新型コロナパンデミックと日本の家計行動―就業・消費・家庭2022

    • Author(s)
      照山 博司・木村 匡子
    • Journal Title

      経済分析

      Volume: 204 Pages: 1-36

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] GARCH-UGH: a bias-reduced approach for dynamic extreme Value-at-Risk estimation in financial time series2022

    • Author(s)
      H. Kaibuchi,Y. Kawasaki,G. Stupfler
    • Journal Title

      Quantitative Finance

      Volume: - Issue: 7 Pages: 1-18

    • DOI

      10.1080/14697688.2022.2048061

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 政策金融としての信用保証による経済・金融への影響2022

    • Author(s)
      後藤康雄
    • Journal Title

      フィナンシャル・レビュー

      Volume: 147 Pages: 38-58

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 転職市場の経済分析2022

    • Author(s)
      照山博司
    • Journal Title

      日本労働研究雑誌

      Volume: 738 Pages: 1-1

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Volatility Forecasting with the Heterogeneous AR-type Multiscale Dynamic Topic Model2021

    • Author(s)
      Yoshinori Kawasaki, Takayuki Morimoto
    • Journal Title

      JAFEE大会予稿集(第55回2021年度夏季JAFEE大会)

      Volume: 55 Pages: 12-21

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Efficiency of small and medium-sized real estate industry -An analysis on the period after the burst of the bubble economy using micro-data2021

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Goto
    • Journal Title

      KIER Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 1059 Pages: 1-10

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Volatility Forecasting with the Heterogeneous AR-type Multiscale Dynamic Topic Model2021

    • Author(s)
      Yoshinori Kawasaki et al.
    • Journal Title

      第55回2021年度夏季JAFEE大会予稿集

      Volume: 1 Pages: 12-21

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Factor Adjustments and Liquidity Management: Evidence from Japan’s Two Lost Decades and Financial Crises2020

    • Author(s)
      Hirokazu Mizobata, Hiroshi Teruyama
    • Journal Title

      KIER Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 1043 Pages: 1-36

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] Comparative VaR backtesting: GARCH-EVT versus GARCH-UGH2022

    • Author(s)
      Kawasaki, Yoshinori
    • Organizer
      ISI-ISM-ISSAS Joint Conference
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Volatility Forecasting with the Heterogeneous AR-type Multiscale Dynamic Topic Model2021

    • Author(s)
      Yoshinori Kawasaki, Takayuki Morimoto
    • Organizer
      第55回2021年度夏季JAFEE大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 仕事から見た「2020年」 結局、働き方は変わらなかったのか?2022

    • Author(s)
      玄田有史・萩原牧子編(照山博司他著)
    • Total Pages
      280
    • Publisher
      慶応義塾大学出版会
    • ISBN
      9784766428063
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] グローバル化と地域金融2021

    • Author(s)
      内田真人,福光寛,後藤康雄ほか
    • Total Pages
      296
    • Publisher
      東同堂
    • ISBN
      9784798916996
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2020-04-28   Modified: 2024-01-30  

Information User Guide FAQ News Terms of Use Attribution of KAKENHI

Powered by NII kakenhi