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Election Cycle and Yardstick Competition

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20H01511
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 07050:Public economics and labor economics-related
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

Watanabe Yasutora  東京大学, 大学院経済学研究科(経済学部), 教授 (60866250)

Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥16,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,810,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥5,330,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,230,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥6,110,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,410,000)
Keywords選挙サイクル
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究では外生的な理由でばらつきのある日本の市区町村首長選挙のタイミングを操作変数として用いることで、ヤードスティック競争が選挙支出サイクルを増幅し地理的に無償化の拡大を加速させた因果効果を検証する。具体的には子供医療費無償化政策について、その地理的波及と選挙のタイミングが及ぼす影響を市区町村レベルのデータを用いて検証する。子供医療費無償化の対象年齢に関する意思決定が、各市区町村の選挙のタイミング及びその隣接市区町村の対象年齢の両者からどのように影響を受けているかについて、2005年以降のデータを用いて解析し、選挙という要因がなかった場合どの程度無料化が広がっていたかを検証する。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study investigates the causal effects of yardstick competition amplifying the electoral expenditure cycle and accelerating the geographic expansion of free healthcare by using the exogenously varied timing of mayoral elections in Japanese municipalities as an instrumental variable. Additionally, we estimate the deadweight loss caused by the inefficiency of free pediatric healthcare, which is said to lead to excessive medical treatment due to zero patient burden, as amplified by this effect.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究の成果は、地方自治体の財政が困難な状況下にもかかわらず、子供医療費無償化ような政策がなぜ加速度的な広がりを見せ如何なるメカニズムで広がるのかを解明したことであり、経済学的に重要であるのみならず政策的にも意義がある。また、選挙支出サイクルのメカニズムを考えるとき、選挙民から政策がどう評価されるかが重要な点であるにもかかわらず、その主要なメカニズムの一つであるヤードスティック競争という観点はこれまで考えられておらず、この点から選挙支出サイクルのメカニズムを理解しようという学術的な独自性に意義があると考える。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2023 Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Annual Research Report
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (44 results)

All 2024 2023 2022 2021 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (8 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Open Access: 7 results,  Peer Reviewed: 3 results) Presentation (27 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 11 results,  Invited: 2 results) Book (2 results) Remarks (6 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Simon Fraser University(カナダ)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 実証ビジネス・エコノミクス vol.12[最終回]高級化路線の長期的価値――動学ゲームの推定[入門編4]2023

    • Author(s)
      上武康亮・遠山祐太・若森直樹・渡辺安虎
    • Journal Title

      経済セミナー 2023年6・7月号

      Volume: 732号

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 実証ビジネス・エコノミクス vol.11 市場のダイナミクスから利益構造を見通す――動学ゲームの推定[入門編3]2023

    • Author(s)
      上武康亮・遠山祐太・若森直樹・渡辺安虎
    • Journal Title

      経済セミナー 2023年4・5月号

      Volume: 731号

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 実証ビジネス・エコノミクス vol.10 出店戦略モデルの性質を見極める――動学ゲームの推定[入門編2]2023

    • Author(s)
      上武康亮・遠山祐太・若森直樹・渡辺安虎
    • Journal Title

      経済セミナー 2023年2・3月号

      Volume: 730号

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 実証ビジネス・エコノミクス vol.9 相手の将来の行動を読んで競争優位につなげる――動学ゲームの推定[入門編]2022

    • Author(s)
      上武康亮・遠山祐太・若森直樹・渡辺安虎
    • Journal Title

      経済セミナー 2022年10・11月号

      Volume: 728号

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 実証ビジネス・エコノミクス vol.8 価格戦略をダイナミックに考える――シングルエージェント動学モデルの推定[応用編]2022

    • Author(s)
      上武康亮・遠山祐太・若森直樹・渡辺安虎
    • Journal Title

      経済セミナー 2022年6・7月号

      Volume: 726号

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Designing Context-Based Marketing: Product Recommendations under Time Pressure2021

    • Author(s)
      Yasutora Watanabe, Kohei Kawaguchi and Kosuke Uetake
    • Journal Title

      Management Science

      Volume: ― Issue: 9 Pages: 5642-5659

    • DOI

      10.1287/mnsc.2020.3783

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report 2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Voter Turnout and Preference Aggregation2021

    • Author(s)
      Kawai Kei、Toyama Yuta、Watanabe Yasutora
    • Journal Title

      American Economic Journal: Microeconomics

      Volume: 13 Issue: 4 Pages: 548-586

    • DOI

      10.1257/mic.20190063

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Voter Turnout and Preference Aggregation2021

    • Author(s)
      Yasutora Watanabe, Kei Kawai and Yuta Toyama
    • Journal Title

      American Economic Journal: Microeconomics

      Volume: ―

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Strategy Choice and Emotion in Repeated Prisoners Dilemma2024

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Organizer
      「情動情報解読による人文系学問の再構築」の領域会議
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] CEO Gender Bias in the Formation of Firm-to-Firm Transactions2024

    • Author(s)
      Hitoshi Shigeoka
    • Organizer
      Tohoku Universityセミナー
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] CEO Gender Bias in the Formation of Firm-to-Firm Transactions2024

    • Author(s)
      Hitoshi Shigeoka
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society North American Winter Meetings
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] What Can Positive/Empirical Analysis of Political Economy Do for Society ?2023

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Organizer
      SGU10周年記念シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Education and Later-life Mortality: Evidence from a School Reform in Japan2023

    • Author(s)
      Hitoshi Shigeoka
    • Organizer
      4th Asian Workshop on Econometrics and Health Economics (Manila)
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] CEO Gender Bias in the Formation of Firm-to-Firm Transactions2023

    • Author(s)
      Hitoshi Shigeoka
    • Organizer
      Monash HELP workshop
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] CEO Gender Bias in the Formation of Firm-to-Firm Transactions2023

    • Author(s)
      Hitoshi Shigeoka
    • Organizer
      Asian and Australasian Society of Labour Economics @Taipei Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] CEO Gender Bias in the Formation of Firm-to-Firm Transactions2023

    • Author(s)
      Hitoshi Shigeoka
    • Organizer
      Academia Sinica
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] CEO Gender Bias in the Formation of Firm-to-Firm Transactions2023

    • Author(s)
      Hitoshi Shigeoka
    • Organizer
      Kobe Universityセミナー
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 注意と選択の実証分析2023

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会秋季大会(石川賞受賞講演)
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 情動的影響の計量経済学的構造モデル推定2023

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Organizer
      情動情報学シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Yardstick Competition-Driven Political Cycle2023

    • Author(s)
      Yasutora Watanabe
    • Organizer
      計量・数理政治研究会(JSQPS)2023年冬季集会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 情動的影響の計量経済学的構造モデル推定2022

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Organizer
      「次世代脳」プロジェクト 冬のシンポジウム2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Yardstick Competition-Driven Political Cycles2022

    • Author(s)
      Yasutora Watanabe
    • Organizer
      NBER Japan Project Meeting, Fall 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Yardstick Competition Drives Election Cycles2022

    • Author(s)
      Yasutora Watanabe
    • Organizer
      AASLE 2022 Conference
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Yardstick Competition and Electoral Cycles: The Case of Healthcare Subsidy2022

    • Author(s)
      Yasutora Watanabe
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society European meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Yardstick Competition-Driven Political Cycles2022

    • Author(s)
      Yasutora Watanabe
    • Organizer
      2022 Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society in East and South-East Asia
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Yardstick Competition and Electoral Cycles: The Case of Healthcare Subsidy2022

    • Author(s)
      Yasutora Watanabe
    • Organizer
      Rochester University セミナー
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] AI, Skill, and Productivity: The Case of Taxi Drivers2021

    • Author(s)
      Hitoshi Shigeoka
    • Organizer
      NBER Japan Project Meeting
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] AI, Skill, and Productivity: The Case of Taxi Drivers2021

    • Author(s)
      Hitoshi Shigeoka
    • Organizer
      Simon Fraser Universityセミナー
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 経済学のビジネス活用をめぐって2021

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] AI, Skill, and Productivity: The Case of Taxi Drivers2021

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2021年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] AI, Skill, and Productivity: The Case of Taxi Drivers2021

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Organizer
      日銀金融研究所セミナー
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Designing Context-based Marketing:Product Recommendation under Time Pressure2021

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Organizer
      はこだて未来大学セミナー
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 情動的影響を考慮したモデルの構造推定2021

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Organizer
      生理学研究所シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Yardstick Competition and Electoral Cycles: The Case of Healthcare Subsidy2021

    • Author(s)
      Yasutora Watanabe, Hiroshi Shigeoka
    • Organizer
      Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory Conference
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] AI, Skill, and Productivity: The Case of Taxi Drivers2021

    • Author(s)
      Yasutora Watanabe
    • Organizer
      Monash University セミナー
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 世の中を知る、考える、変えていく2023

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Total Pages
      332
    • Publisher
      有斐閣
    • ISBN
      9784641126459
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 使える!経済学 データ駆動社会で始まった大変革2022

    • Author(s)
      渡辺安虎
    • Total Pages
      264
    • Publisher
      日経BP日本経済新聞出版
    • ISBN
      9784296113736
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 渡辺安虎 個人ページ

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/view/yas-watanabe/

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 重岡仁 個人ページ

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/hshigeoka/

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 渡辺安虎個人ページ

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/view/yas-watanabe/home

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 重岡仁個人ページ

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/hshigeoka/

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 渡辺安虎個人ページ

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/view/yas-watanabe/

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 東京大学大学院経済学研究科・経済学部 教員紹介ページ

    • URL

      http://www.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/fservice/faculty/watanabeyasutora/watanabeyasutora-j/watanabeyasutora01-j.html

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2020-04-28   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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