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Development of the framework of urban transformation simulation and risk assessment for realization of a flood-resilient society

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20H02255
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 22040:Hydroengineering-related
Research InstitutionKanazawa University

Principal Investigator

Taniguchi Kenji  金沢大学, 地球社会基盤学系, 教授 (20422321)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 渋尾 欣弘  高知大学, 教育研究部自然科学系理工学部門, 准教授 (00573560)
高山 雄貴  金沢大学, 地球社会基盤学系, 准教授 (90612648)
山口 裕通  金沢大学, 地球社会基盤学系, 助教 (10786031)
Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥5,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥7,410,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,710,000)
Keywords水災害リスク評価 / 都市計画 / 氾濫制御 / 流域治水 / 気候変化 / 人口減少 / 氾濫シミュレーション / 応用都市経済モデル
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究では,既存道路を活用した氾濫制御施設を想定した氾濫シミュレーションを実施し,水災害リスクの評価を行い,低リスク地域創出の可能性や最適な氾濫制御対策のあり方を検討する.また,人口減少や水災害対策としての都市計画的施策を考慮した都市変容シミュレーションを行い,水災害リスクの高い地域から低い地域への移転に伴う都市構造変化の推定とリスク変化の評価を行う.さらに,都市構造や氾濫制御対策による浸水域の変化が生じた際の避難可能性の評価を行う.以上により,従来の河川整備を含む重層的対策による水災害適応型社会実現のための氾濫制御対策及び都市計画的施策の有効性評価に関する新たな方法論を構築する.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

There are concerns that climate change will exacerbate flood disasters. Thus, emphasis is placed on measures to reduce damage when inundation occurs. In this research, for the Kakehashi River Basin in Ishikawa Prefecture, Japan, urban transformation is simulated. Then, economic losses and the number of evacuees were calculated from the inundation simulation results and the estimated urban structure. Under the declining population, urban planning measures (changing the size of urbanization promotion areas, and relocating and consolidating elementary schools) promoted residence relocation, and it was shown that the economic losses and the number of evacuees in a case of large-scale flood event were reduced. Inundation simulations were also performed assuming the installation of makeshift flood-protection walls on existing roads and the installation of open levees. These facilities may control the flood flow and reduce the economic losses at the time of levee breach.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

今後人口減少が想定される我が国で水防災に配慮した地域づくりを進めるにおいて,居住地移転によって顕著な氾濫被害軽減が期待されることを示した本研究は,河川工学と都市計画の協働の重要性を示す意義深いものである.また,既存道路における仮設止水施設の設置や霞堤による氾濫流の制御効果の有効性については,超過洪水を念頭に置いた水災害対策を考える上で重要な知見を与えるものである.これらはいずれも今後の流域治水対策の検討に資する成果であり,気候変化下における水災害に強い社会実現に貢献することが期待される.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (32 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020

All Journal Article (21 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 21 results,  Open Access: 5 results) Presentation (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Invited: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] An urban economic analysis for assessing the long-term impact of transportation development: Changes in the spatial distribution of economic activity due to increased flood risk2023

    • Author(s)
      杉本 達哉、高山 雄貴、髙木 朗義
    • Journal Title

      JSTE Journal of Traffic Engineering

      Volume: 9 Issue: 2 Pages: A_186-A_196

    • DOI

      10.14954/jste.9.2_A_186

    • ISSN
      2187-2929
    • Year and Date
      2023-02-01
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] URBAN RECONSTRUCTION AND VARIATIONS IN POTENTIAL FLOOD ECONOMIC LOSS DUE TO A MEASURE TO PROPOTE RESIDENCE RELOCATION UNDER POPULATION DECLINE2023

    • Author(s)
      谷口健司,小刀祢海斗,高山雄貴
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of JSCE

      Volume: 79 Issue: 2 Pages: n/a

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejj.22-00117

    • ISSN
      2436-6021
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Long-run Impacts of Transportation Improvements : Spatial Economic Approach Based on Quantitative Spatial Economics2022

    • Author(s)
      杉本 達哉・杉山 雅也・高山 雄貴・高木 朗義
    • Journal Title

      JSTE Journal of Traffic Engineering

      Volume: 8 Issue: 2 Pages: A_222-A_231

    • DOI

      10.14954/jste.8.2_A_222

    • NAID

      130008161376

    • ISSN
      2187-2929
    • Year and Date
      2022-02-01
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Simulation-based assessment of inundation risk potential considering the nonstationarity of extreme flood events under climate change2022

    • Author(s)
      Taniguchi Kenji、Kotone Kaito、Shibuo Yoshihiro
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Hydrology

      Volume: 613 Pages: 128434-128434

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128434

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 梯川流域における大規模洪水発生時の浸水状況に対する支川氾濫の影響2022

    • Author(s)
      谷口健司,田中慎也
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: 78

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 期間別人口分布と将来の人口動態を考慮した洪水氾濫発生時の要避難者数の推定2022

    • Author(s)
      山口渓太郎,谷口健司
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: 78

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] DEVELOPMENT OF AN URBAN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS METHOD THAT CONSIDERS AGGLOMERATION ECONOMIES2022

    • Author(s)
      杉本 達哉、高山 雄貴、髙木 朗義
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 78 Issue: 4 Pages: 166-177

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.78.4_166

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Time evolution of city distributions in Germany: Group-theoretic spectrum analysis2022

    • Author(s)
      Ikeda, K.・Osawa, M.・Takayama, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Networks and Spatial Economics

      Volume: 22 Issue: 1 Pages: 125-151

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11067-021-09557-2

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A link-based semi-dynamic user equilibrium traffic assignment model considering signal effect2022

    • Author(s)
      Kosuke Koike・Shoichiro Nakayama・Hiromichi Yamaguchi
    • Journal Title

      Asian Transport Studies

      Volume: 8 Pages: 100062-100062

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100062

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of Potential Economic Losses Due to Flooding Considering Variations of Spatial Distribution of Houses and Firms in a City2021

    • Author(s)
      Kotone Kaito, Taniguchi Kenji, Nakamura Koichi, and Takayama Yuki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Disaster Research

      Volume: 16 Issue: 3 Pages: 329-342

    • DOI

      10.20965/jdr.2021.p0329

    • NAID

      130008020257

    • ISSN
      1881-2473, 1883-8030
    • Year and Date
      2021-04-01
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report 2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] EVACUATION IN THE SEVERE FLOOD EVENT UNDER THE CONDITION OF URBAN STRUCTURAL CHANGES ALONG POPULATION DECLINE2021

    • Author(s)
      山口渓太郎,谷口健司
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 2 Pages: I_1507-I_1512

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejhe.77.2_I_1507

    • NAID

      130008160163

    • ISSN
      2185-467X
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] EVALUATION OF MAKESHIFT FLOOD PROTECTION WALLS FOR INUNDATION CONTROL IN RAPID STREAM BASIN2021

    • Author(s)
      原裕喜,谷口健司
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 2 Pages: I_415-I_420

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejhe.77.2_I_415

    • NAID

      130008160140

    • ISSN
      2185-467X
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Analysis of Bus Fare Structure to Observe Modal Shift, Operator Profit, and Land-Use Choices through Combined Unified Transport Model2021

    • Author(s)
      Nazam Ali・Shoichiro Nakayama・Hiromichi Yamaguchi
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability

      Volume: 14 Issue: 1 Pages: 139-139

    • DOI

      10.3390/su14010139

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] INUNDATION RISK EVALUATION BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION OF SIMULTANEOUS FLOODS IN MULTIPLE RIVERS2021

    • Author(s)
      吉田季生,渋尾欣弘,谷口健司
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 1 Pages: 12-23

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejhe.77.1_12

    • NAID

      130007970991

    • ISSN
      2185-467X
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 既存道路を活用した仮設防水施設による洪水氾濫制御に関する基礎的検討2020

    • Author(s)
      谷口健司,北口都由佳
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: 76

    • NAID

      130008122663

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 人口減少及び都市構造変化下における洪水氾濫発生時の経済損失変容評価2020

    • Author(s)
      小刀祢海斗,谷口健司
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: 76

    • NAID

      130008122706

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ANALYSIS OF URBAN SYSTEMS’ ABSORPTIVE CAPACITY TO TOLERATE EMIGRATION USING A NEW ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY MODEL2020

    • Author(s)
      塩崎由人,高山雄貴
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 4 Pages: 314-333

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.76.4_314

    • NAID

      130007941524

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Who gains and who loses from congestion pricing in a monocentric city with a bottleneck?2020

    • Author(s)
      Takayama Yuki
    • Journal Title

      Economics of Transportation

      Volume: 24 Pages: 100189-100189

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ecotra.2020.100189

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Stability and sustainability of urban systems under commuting and transportation costs2020

    • Author(s)
      Takayama Yuki, Ikeda Kiyohiro, Thisse Jacques-Francois
    • Journal Title

      Regional Science and Urban Economics

      Volume: 84 Pages: 103553-103553

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2020.103553

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Scheduling preferences, parking competition, and bottleneck congestion: A model of trip timing and parking location choices by heterogeneous commuters2020

    • Author(s)
      Takayama Yuki, Kuwahara Masao
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies

      Volume: 117 Pages: 102677-102677

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.trc.2020.102677

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] AGGLOMERATION PATTERNS IN NEW ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY MODELS TO EVALUATE THE IMPACT OF TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS2020

    • Author(s)
      高山 雄貴, 杉山 雅也
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: 100-113

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.76.2_100

    • NAID

      130007844790

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 梯川流域における大規模洪水発生時の浸水状況に対する支川氾濫の影響2022

    • Author(s)
      谷口健司
    • Organizer
      第67回水工学講演会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 期間別人口分布と将来の人口動態を考慮した洪水氾濫発生時の要避難者数の推定2022

    • Author(s)
      山口渓太郎
    • Organizer
      第67回水工学講演会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 交通混雑を考慮した Fujita and Ogawa (1982) モデルに基づく定量的都市経済モデルの開発2022

    • Author(s)
      高山 雄貴, 杉浦 聡志, 杉本達哉
    • Organizer
      応用地域学会研究発表大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 人口減少下における都市構造変化と大規模水害時の要避難者数の推定2021

    • Author(s)
      山口渓太郎
    • Organizer
      第66回水工学講演会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 氾濫シミュレーションによる急流河川における洪水氾濫制御対策の有効性評価2021

    • Author(s)
      原裕喜
    • Organizer
      第66回水工学講演会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A system-of-cities model considering spatio-temporal agglomeration economies2021

    • Author(s)
      Miao, L.・Takayama, Y.
    • Organizer
      International Transportation Economics Association (ITEA) Annual Conference
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 新幹線開業による旅行先価値向上効果の検出条件の探索と事例比較2021

    • Author(s)
      柴田真嵩・山口裕通・中山晶一朗
    • Organizer
      第64回 土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 長距離旅行量分布の規則性とその時空間的な特徴2021

    • Author(s)
      山口裕通
    • Organizer
      第64回 土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 既存道路を活用した仮設防水施設による洪水氾濫制御に関する基礎的検討2020

    • Author(s)
      谷口健司
    • Organizer
      第65回水工学講演会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 人口減少及び都市構造変化下における洪水氾濫発生時の経済損失変容評価2020

    • Author(s)
      小刀祢海斗
    • Organizer
      第65回水工学講演会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Scheduling preferences, traffic congestion, and residential land use2020

    • Author(s)
      高山雄貴
    • Organizer
      応用地域学会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Invited

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Published: 2020-04-28   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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