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The impact of vaccination on interactive transmission dynamics between the pneumonia and influenza

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20J21358
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for JSPS Fellows

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section国内
Review Section Basic Section 58030:Hygiene and public health-related: excluding laboratory approach
Research InstitutionKyoto University (2021-2022)
Hokkaido University (2020)

Principal Investigator

JUNG SUNGMOK  京都大学, 医学研究科, 特別研究員(PD)

Project Period (FY) 2020-04-24 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥1,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000)
KeywordsMathematical modeling / Influenza / Secondary pneumonia / COVID-19 / Transmission dynamics / Mathematical Modeling / transmission dynamics
Outline of Research at the Start

The mathematical approach can provide insights into understanding the transmission dynamics of secondary pneumonia, following the influenza outbreak. The impact of both influenza and pneumococcal vaccination programs on the reduction in secondary pneumonia incidence and deaths can be also evaluated.

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the dynamics of respiratory infectious diseases including influenza and secondary pneumonia were significantly affected. Therefore, it is crucial to comprehend COVID-19 dynamics to reconstruct the actual dynamics of two diseases. After consulting with Hiroshi Nishiura at Kyoto University, we decided to explore COVID-19 transmission in addition to the originally proposed study. In this fiscal year, myriad studies on the dynamics of COVID-19 in Japan have been conducted. Among them, the published paper aimed to develop a framework for predicting the effective reproduction number using timely accessible data, providing essential information for timely assessment of countermeasures.

Research Progress Status

翌年度、交付申請を辞退するため、記入しない。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

翌年度、交付申請を辞退するため、記入しない。

Report

(2 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2021 2020

All Journal Article (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 9 results,  Peer Reviewed: 9 results,  Open Access: 9 results) Presentation (4 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Predicting the effective reproduction number of COVID-19: inference using human mobility, temperature, and risk awareness2021

    • Author(s)
      Jung Sung-mok、Endo Akira、Akhmetzhanov Andrei R.、Nishiura Hiroshi
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Infectious Diseases

      Volume: 113 Pages: 47-54

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ijid.2021.10.007

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of the Actual Incidence of Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) in Emergent Hotspots: The Example of Hokkaido, Japan during February?March 20202021

    • Author(s)
      Akhmetzhanov Andrei R.、Mizumoto Kenji、Jung Sung-Mok、Linton Natalie M.、Omori Ryosuke、Nishiura Hiroshi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Clinical Medicine

      Volume: 10 Issue: 11 Pages: 2392-2392

    • DOI

      10.3390/jcm10112392

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Not all fun and games: Potential incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infections during the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games2021

    • Author(s)
      Linton Natalie M.、School of Public Health, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan、Jung Sung-mok、Nishiura Hiroshi、Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
    • Journal Title

      Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering

      Volume: 18 Issue: 6 Pages: 9685-9696

    • DOI

      10.3934/mbe.2021474

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A hospital-related outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 associated with variant Epsilon (B.1.429) in Taiwan: transmission potential and outbreak containment under intensified contact tracing, January?February 20212021

    • Author(s)
      Akhmetzhanov Andrei R.、Jung Sung-mok、Cheng Hao-Yuan、Thompson Robin N.
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Infectious Diseases

      Volume: 110 Pages: 15-20

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ijid.2021.06.028

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Projecting a second wave of COVID-19 in Japan with variable interventions in high-risk settings2021

    • Author(s)
      Jung Sung-mok、Endo Akira、Kinoshita Ryo、Nishiura Hiroshi
    • Journal Title

      Royal Society Open Science

      Volume: 8 Issue: 3

    • DOI

      10.1098/rsos.202169

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Cost-effectiveness of maternal pertussis immunization: Implications of a dynamic transmission model for low- and middle-income countries2021

    • Author(s)
      Kim Sun-Young、Min Kyung-Duk、Jung Sung-mok、Russell Louise B.、Toscano Cristiana、Minamisava Ruth、Andrade Ana Lucia S.、Sanderson Colin、Sinha Anushua
    • Journal Title

      Vaccine

      Volume: 39 Issue: 1 Pages: 147-157

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.09.012

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Cluster-Based Approach to Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Response in Japan, from February to April 20202020

    • Author(s)
      Oshitani Hitoshi、The Expert Members of The National COVID-19 Cluster Taskforce at The Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Infectious Diseases

      Volume: 73 Issue: 6 Pages: 491-493

    • DOI

      10.7883/yoken.JJID.2020.363

    • NAID

      130007942247

    • ISSN
      1344-6304, 1884-2836
    • Year and Date
      2020-11-30
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Quantifying the causal impact of funding bedside antigen testing on the incidence of respiratory syncytial virus infection in Japan: a difference-in-differences study2020

    • Author(s)
      Jung Sung-mok、Lee Hyojung、Yang Yichi、Nishiura Hiroshi
    • Journal Title

      Annals of Translational Medicine

      Volume: 8 Issue: 21 Pages: 1441-1441

    • DOI

      10.21037/atm-20-423

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Containment, Contact Tracing and Asymptomatic Transmission of Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19): A Modelling Study2020

    • Author(s)
      Kinoshita Ryo、Anzai Asami、Jung Sung-mok、Linton Natalie M.、Miyama Takeshi、Kobayashi Tetsuro、Hayashi Katsuma、Suzuki Ayako、Yang Yichi、Akhmetzhanov Andrei R.、Nishiura Hiroshi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Clinical Medicine

      Volume: 9 Issue: 10 Pages: 3125-3125

    • DOI

      10.3390/jcm9103125

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The impact of human mobility pattern on the effective reproduction number of COVID-19 in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Sung-mok Jung
    • Organizer
      The 91st Annual Meeting of the Japanese Society for Hygiene
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exploring Prioritizing Host for the COVID-19 Vaccination in Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      Sung-mok Jung
    • Organizer
      The 31st Annual Scientific Meeting of the Japan Epidemiological Association
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exploring possible scenarios for the COVID-19 vaccination program in Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      Sung-mok Jung
    • Organizer
      COVID-19 Dynamics & Evolution
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Reconstruction and analysis of the transmission network of African swine fever in People’s Republic of China, August 2018-September 20192020

    • Author(s)
      Sung-mok Jung
    • Organizer
      2020 Society for Mathematical Biology Annual Meeting
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2020-07-07   Modified: 2024-03-26  

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