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The future life span of Earth's oxygenated atmosphere

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20K04066
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 17020:Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences-related
Research InstitutionToho University

Principal Investigator

OZAKI Kazumi  東邦大学, 理学部, 講師 (10644411)

Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥3,120,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥720,000)
Keywords酸素 / 物質循環 / 数値モデリング / 生物地球化学 / 地球史 / アストロバイオロジー / 将来予測 / メタン / 大気 / バイオシグネチャー / 大気化学 / 数値モデル
Outline of Research at the Start

地球大気組成の歴史については,これまでに地質学的記録や地球化学的データに基づいて大局的なシナリオが描かれてきた.しかしながら、地球大気の将来進化,特に酸素に富んだ大気の持続期間についてはよくわかっていない.本研究計画は、大気中の酸素、二酸化炭素およびメタンの濃度を規定する物質循環を評価可能な数値モデルを構築し、それを適用することで,将来の地球大気進化とその背後にある物質循環を解明することを目指すものである.本研究計画は,系外惑星での生命存否を判断する方法論を構築する上でも重要な知見を与えることが期待される.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

A theoretical study has been conducted to constrain the future evolution of Earth's atmospheric composition (O2,CO2,CH4) and to understand its controlling factors and biogeochemical cycles. The development of a numerical model has progressed more smoothly than expected. By incorporating the biogeochemical cycles of C, N, P, O, and S, it is enable to simulate the evolution of atmospheric chemistry and climate on geologic timescales. Using a stochastic approach, we found that the mean future lifespan of Earth's atmosphere is about 1 billion years. Earth's oxygen-rich atmosphere represents an important sign of life that can be remotely detectable. However, this study suggests that the oxygen-rich atmosphere might only be possible for 20-30% of the Earth's entire history as an inhabited planet. If we can generalize this insight to Earth-like exoplanets, then we need to consider additional biosignatures applicable to weakly-oxygenated/anoxic worlds in the search for life in the universe.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究によって酸素に富む地球環境が永続的に続くものではないことが初めて定量的に示されたことは、系外惑星生命探査に重要な示唆を与える研究成果である.酸素は生命存在指標(バイオシグネチャー)として注目されてきたが、地球史の大半は貧・無酸素環境であり、そのような惑星大気についてどのように生命存否を判断するのか、今後の研究の発展が期待できる.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (14 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Invited: 4 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] ジョージア工科大学(米国)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ジョージア工科大学(米国)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Atmospheric Oxygen Abundance, Marine Nutrient Availability, and Organic Carbon Fluxes to the Seafloor2022

    • Author(s)
      Cole Devon B.、Ozaki Kazumi、Reinhard Christopher T.
    • Journal Title

      Global Biogeochemical Cycles

      Volume: 36 Issue: 1

    • DOI

      10.1029/2021gb007052

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The future lifespan of Earth’s oxygenated atmosphere2021

    • Author(s)
      Ozaki Kazumi、Reinhard Christopher T.
    • Journal Title

      Nature Geoscience

      Volume: 14 Issue: 3 Pages: 138-142

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41561-021-00693-5

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report 2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 地質記録と理論モデルから読み解く光合成と地球環境の共進化2022

    • Author(s)
      尾﨑和海
    • Organizer
      第12回日本光合成学会年会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] How has the primitive biosphere affected the atmosphere?2022

    • Author(s)
      尾﨑和海
    • Organizer
      10th ELSI International Symposium
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] The coupled evolution of life and the atmosphere during the early Archean2022

    • Author(s)
      尾﨑和海
    • Organizer
      JpGU 2022
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 吸気酸素分圧に基づく富酸素大気の持続期間についての再検討2021

    • Author(s)
      尾﨑和海
    • Organizer
      第7回地球環境史学会年会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Conditions required for oceanic anoxia/euxinia revisited2021

    • Author(s)
      尾﨑和海
    • Organizer
      Goldschmidt 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 全球酸化還元収支モデルを用いた原生代―顕生代の海洋リン濃度と大気酸素濃度の制約2021

    • Author(s)
      尾﨑和海
    • Organizer
      日本地質学会第128年学術大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The future life span of Earth's oxygenated biosphere and its controlling factors2020

    • Author(s)
      Kazumi Ozaki, Christopher T. Reinhard
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Remarks] 酸素に富む地球環境の持続期間は約10億年

    • URL

      https://www.toho-u.ac.jp/press/2020_index/20210302-1122.html

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report 2020 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] プレスリリース(英語)

    • URL

      https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/825455

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 富酸素な地球大気の持続期間はどのくらいか?

    • URL

      https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2021-03/tu-hml030221.php

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2020-04-28   Modified: 2023-12-25  

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