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Measuring the global health burden and economic consequence of micronutrient deficiency under climate change impact and mitigation policy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20K20031
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 64060:Environmental policy and social systems-related
Research InstitutionJapan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences (2021-2022)
National Institute for Environmental Studies (2020)

Principal Investigator

Wu Wenchao  国立研究開発法人国際農林水産業研究センター, 社会科学領域, 研究員 (50868693)

Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywordsclimate change / hidden hunger / nutrient deficiency / climate mitigation / Climate change / micronutrients / nutrition security / CO2 concentration / nutrients / inequality / human health / economic cost
Outline of Research at the Start

This research evaluates the global health and economic consequence of climate change and mitigation on hidden hunger (micronutrient deficiency) and provides complementary policies to alleviate its adverse effects for the achievement of multiple sustainable development goals.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study revealed that elevated carbon dioxide level under future emission could impose substantial risk to nutrient deficiency, particularly for micronutrients, including protein, iron, and zinc. In the high CO2 concentration scenario, the percentage of population under protein, iron, and zinc deficiency will increase. In addition, the impact has distributional effect. Population in the low income class tend to suffer higher nutritional loss compared to the high income class. Meanwhile, stringent climate mitigation policy could also increase the risk of nutrient deficiency due to higher food prices and lower income. Simulation anslysis shows that dietary change (i.e., replacing certain of ruminant meat with fish) could alleviate nutrient deficiency and contribute to climate mitigation.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究は、大気中の二酸化炭素の上昇と気候変動が、人間の栄養状態、特に微量栄養素の欠乏に広く影響を与えていることを明らかにした。また、二酸化炭素の排出が栄養に及ぼす不平等な問題も示した。したがって、SDGsの飢餓ゼロの目標を達成するために、対策を実施する必要がある。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (6 results)

All 2022 2021 2020

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results)

  • [Journal Article] Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security2022

    • Author(s)
      Fujimori Shinichiro、Wu Wenchao、Doelman Jonathan、Frank Stefan、Hristov Jordan、Kyle Page、Sands Ronald、van Zeist Willem-Jan、Havlik Petr、Dom?nguez Ignacio P?rez、Sahoo Amarendra、Stehfest Elke、Tabeau Andrzej、Valin Hugo、van Meijl Hans、Hasegawa Tomoko、Takahashi Kiyoshi
    • Journal Title

      Nature Food

      Volume: 3 Issue: 2 Pages: 110-121

    • DOI

      10.1038/s43016-022-00464-4

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Income inequality and the distributional effects of elevated carbon dioxide on dietary nutrient deficiency2020

    • Author(s)
      Wu Wenchao、Takahashi Kiyoshi、Zhou Lin、Jin Shaosheng
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Cleaner Production

      Volume: 265 Pages: 121606-121606

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121606

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy2020

    • Author(s)
      Leclere David、et al. including Wu Wenchao
    • Journal Title

      Nature

      Volume: 585 Issue: 7826 Pages: 551-556

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Model development in JIRCAS: Nutrition and health indicators of malnutrition2022

    • Author(s)
      Wenchao Wu
    • Organizer
      29th World Outlook Conference
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Potential impacts of GHG emissions abatement measures on agricultural markets and food security2021

    • Author(s)
      Wenchao Wu
    • Organizer
      Fourteenth IAMC Annual Meeting
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Modeling the health implications and economic costs of the double burden of malnutrition in IAM2020

    • Author(s)
      Wenchao Wu
    • Organizer
      Thirteenth IAMC Annual Meeting
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2020-04-28   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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