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Development and evaluation of overtourism indicators based on revenue management

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20K20080
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 80020:Tourism studies-related
Research InstitutionTokyo Metropolitan University

Principal Investigator

Ogasawara Yu  東京都立大学, 都市環境科学研究科, 助教 (40809844)

Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥260,000 (Direct Cost: ¥200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥60,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Keywords観光需要 / 季節性 / レベニューマネジメント / 周縁地域 / バンドル商品 / オーバーツーリズム / 島嶼地域
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究では,航空や宿泊,レンタカーなどの観光関連業界にて世界中で広く活用されているレベニューマネジメントの理論を用いることで,オーバーツーリズムに注目した,明確かつ客観的な収益に基づく持続可能な観光指標を開発する.更に,我が国の宿泊実績データを対象とした時系列分析の実施と,我が国のデータを使用した指標の算出と評価を実施することで,我が国の宿泊から見たオーバーツーリズムの現状を解明する.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study was conducted to develop an index for sustainable tourism from a revenue perspective and to identify the current status of overtourism from an accommodation perspective in Japan. In order to identify the seasonal bias of tourism demand, the seasonality of tourism demand from 2011 to 2019 was analyzed. The analysis using the newly proposed seasonality index revealed the characteristics of the seasonality of inbound tourists, which could not be obtained by the conventional method. In the analysis of the problem in revenue management using bundled products that utilize the structure of tourism demand in peripheral areas, the incorporation of indicators related to the attractiveness of tourist destinations yielded results that led to demand control in the surrounding areas.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究は観光需要の季節性の変化に注目した指標を開発し,従来の手法では観測できなかった我が国における訪日外国人宿泊者の季節性の地域性の特徴を明らかにしている.この結果は,データ分析の観点から東北の震災復興を目的としたディスティネーションキャンペーンの成果が見られたことを示唆している.また,我が国では小笠原諸島や沖縄などの観光地として有名な島嶼地域や周縁地域が多く見られることから,本研究で得られたバンドル商品の最適化問題の解析結果は,我が国の観光の持続可能性に対して一定の知見を与える.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (15 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Joint Pricing and Resource Allocation for Bundle Service of Island Region2023

    • Author(s)
      Yosuke Yamamoto, Yu Ogasawara, Kimitoshi Sato
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of The 23nd Asis Pacific Industrial Engineering and Management Systems

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Pricing and Allocation Problem of Bundle Products With Nested Demand Structure2023

    • Author(s)
      Ogasawara Yu、Sato Kimitoshi
    • Journal Title

      SSRN Electronic Journal

      Volume: -

    • DOI

      10.2139/ssrn.4544649

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] New seasonal measurement with stability and clustering seasonal patterns: A case study in Japan from 2011 to 20192022

    • Author(s)
      Ogasawara Yu
    • Journal Title

      PLOS ONE

      Volume: 17 Issue: 4 Pages: e0267453-e0267453

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0267453

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Factors contributing to tourism demand at major Japanese hot springs2022

    • Author(s)
      Medai Nagi、Okamoto Naoyuki、Ogasawara Yu、Hihara Katsuya
    • Journal Title

      PLOS ONE

      Volume: 17 Issue: 9 Pages: e0274681-e0274681

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0274681

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] Joint Pricing and Resource Allocation for Bundle Service of Island Region2023

    • Author(s)
      Yosuke Yamamoto, Yu Ogasawara, Kimitoshi Sato
    • Organizer
      The 23nd Asis Pacific Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Sales in Nested Demand Structure2023

    • Author(s)
      Yosuke Yamamoto, Yu Ogasawara, Kimitoshi Sato
    • Organizer
      The 2023 Asian Conference of Management Science and Applications
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 周縁地域の2 つのサービスを組み合わせたバンドル商品の収益管理2023

    • Author(s)
      小笠原悠,佐藤公俊
    • Organizer
      日本応用数理学会第20 回研究部会連合発表会
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 区間値データに対するWard法とその応用2023

    • Author(s)
      小笠原悠
    • Organizer
      日本OR学会確率最適化とその応用研究会
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Tourism supply chain2022

    • Author(s)
      Yosuke Yamamoto, Kimitoshi Sato, Yu Ogasawara
    • Organizer
      The 22nd Asis Pacific Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Optimal Bundling Strategy for Nested Service Demand2022

    • Author(s)
      Yu Ogasawara, Kimitoshi Sato
    • Organizer
      The 22nd Asis Pacific Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 周縁地域のバンドル販売による収益管理2022

    • Author(s)
      小笠原悠,佐藤公俊
    • Organizer
      第37回日本観光研究学会全国大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 安定性を考慮した季節性指標とその類型方法―我が国における宿泊需要の季節性変化―2021

    • Author(s)
      小笠原悠
    • Organizer
      日本観光研究学会第36回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 我が国の主要温泉地の需要に対する影響要因の定量分析2021

    • Author(s)
      目代凪, 岡本直之, 小笠原悠, 日原勝也
    • Organizer
      日本観光研究学会第36回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 需要の包含関係に着目した収益管理モデル2021

    • Author(s)
      小笠原悠,佐藤公俊
    • Organizer
      京都大学数理解析研究所共同利用 RIMS共同研究: 不確実環境下における意思決定数理の新展開
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] レベニューマネジメントと観光・ホスピタリティの関わり2020

    • Author(s)
      小笠原悠
    • Organizer
      中国・四国地区 SSOR(日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会)
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report

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Published: 2020-04-28   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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