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A cognitive framework to understand pedestrian crowd behavior based on mutual anticipation

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20K20143
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 90030:Cognitive science-related
Research InstitutionKyoto Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

Murakami Hisashi  京都工芸繊維大学, 情報工学・人間科学系, 助教 (20755467)

Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥600,000)
Keywords群れ / 歩行者 / 自己組織化 / 予期 / 注意 / 視覚 / 群集 / 創発
Outline of Research at the Start

横断歩道において、対向する二つの歩行者の流れは、自然といくつかの列に分離されます。このような列形成は、人の群集におけるいわゆる自己組織化の典型例であり、外的な制御を必要とせず歩行者交通の効率化を促進させます。列が形成されるあいだ、歩行者は他者の運動を能動的に予期し自身の経路を探索することが我々の先行研究でわかりつつありますが、そのメカニズムや群集の組織化との関わりは明らかではありません。本研究ではスマホ歩きを導入した群集実験を行うことで予期を実験的に操作し、群集の組織化との関係を検証します。さらに実験結果に基づき、他者の未来の運動を推定しつつ経路探索を実現可能とする群集モデル構築を目指します。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

Understanding pedestrian dynamics is crucial to help manage mass events and daily pedestrian transportation. Although recent findings emphasized that pedestrians’ interactions are fundamentally anticipatory in nature, whether and how individual anticipation functionally benefits the group is not well-understood. Here we show the link between individual anticipation and emergent pattern formation through our experiments of lane formation, where unidirectional lanes are spontaneously formed in bidirectional pedestrian flows. We asked some participants to perform walking while texting on the smartphone to manipulate the anticipatory abilities of some of the pedestrians by distracting them visually. We found that the walking strategy of distracted pedestrians differs from non-distracted ones, influences on motions of other pedestrians as well, and decreases the degree of collective pattern formation.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

近年の画像解析技術の進歩から現実の群集を実験的に分析可能となった結果、従来モデルでは説明が困難な現象が複数見つかっている。本研究では特に、現実の歩行者は従来の距離に依存した物理的斥力ではなく、本質的に予期に基づくことを集団レベルの現象から明らかにした。本研究が明らかにした予期に基礎付けられた群集理論は、将来的に様々な混雑問題を解決し都市・交通インフラ設計を支援へする上で鍵となると考えられる。学術的側面としては、本研究が目的とする能動的な予期に基づく群集の理解は、車や物流の交通、群ロボット、集団意思決定モデルなどあらゆる集団現象に共通する自己組織化原理の解明につながると考えられる。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (27 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 Other

All Journal Article (13 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results,  Peer Reviewed: 13 results,  Open Access: 6 results) Presentation (10 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Invited: 8 results) Book (2 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Functional duality in group criticality via ambiguous interactions2023

    • Author(s)
      Takayuki Niizato, Hisashi Murakami, Takuya Musha
    • Journal Title

      PLOS Computational Biology

      Volume: - Issue: 2 Pages: e1010869-e1010869

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010869

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Stimulus-Induced Swarming in Soldier Crabs2022

    • Author(s)
      Feliciani Claudio、Murakami Hisashi、Tomaru Takenori、Nishiyama Yuta
    • Journal Title

      International Conference on Cellular Automata for Research and Industry

      Volume: na Pages: 292-302

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-031-14926-9_26

    • ISBN
      9783031149252, 9783031149269
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Spontaneous behavioral coordination between avoiding pedestrians requires mutual anticipation rather than mutual gaze2022

    • Author(s)
      Murakami Hisashi、Tomaru Takenori、Feliciani Claudio、Nishiyama Yuta
    • Journal Title

      iScience

      Volume: 25 Issue: 11 Pages: 105474-105474

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.isci.2022.105474

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Pedestrian lane formation and its influence on egress efficiency in the presence of an obstacle2021

    • Author(s)
      Jia Xiaolu、Murakami Hisashi、Feliciani Claudio、Yanagisawa Daichi、Nishinari Katsuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Safety Science

      Volume: 144 Pages: 105455-105455

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ssci.2021.105455

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Mutual anticipation can contribute to self-organization in human crowds2021

    • Author(s)
      Murakami Hisashi、Feliciani Claudio、Nishiyama Yuta、Nishinari Katsuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Science Advances

      Volume: 7 Issue: 12 Pages: 1-9

    • DOI

      10.1126/sciadv.abe7758

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Levy Walk in Swarm Models Based on Bayesian and Inverse Bayesian Inference2021

    • Author(s)
      Gunji Yukio-Pegio、Kawai Takeshi、Murakami Hisashi、Tomaru Takenori、Minoura Mai、Shinohara Shuji
    • Journal Title

      Computational and Structural Biotechnology Journal

      Volume: 19 Pages: 247-260

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.csbj.2020.11.045

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A system for efficient egress scheduling during mass events and small-scale experimental demonstration2020

    • Author(s)
      Murakami Hisashi、Feliciani Claudio、Shimura Kenichiro、Nishinari Katsuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Royal Society Open Science

      Volume: 7 Issue: 12 Pages: 201465-201465

    • DOI

      10.1098/rsos.201465

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Revealing the existence of the ontological commitment in fish schools2020

    • Author(s)
      Niizato Takayuki、Sakamoto Kotaro、Mototake Yoh-ichi、Murakami Hisashi、Nishiyama Yuta、Fukushima Toshiki
    • Journal Title

      Artificial Life and Robotics

      Volume: 25 Issue: 4 Pages: 633-642

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10015-020-00658-8

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Development of an automatic turntable-type multiple T-maze device and observation of pill bug behavior2020

    • Author(s)
      Shokaku Takaharu、Moriyama Toru、Murakami Hisashi、Shinohara Shuji、Manome Nobuhito、Morioka Kazuyuki
    • Journal Title

      Review of Scientific Instruments

      Volume: 91 Issue: 10 Pages: 104104-104104

    • DOI

      10.1063/5.0009531

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Four-Types of IIT-Induced Group Integrity of Plecoglossus altivelis2020

    • Author(s)
      Niizato Takayuki、Sakamoto Kotaro、Mototake Yoh-ichi、Murakami Hisashi、Tomaru Takenori、Hoshika Tomotaro、Fukushima Toshiki
    • Journal Title

      Entropy

      Volume: 22 Issue: 7 Pages: 726-726

    • DOI

      10.3390/e22070726

    • NAID

      120007163358

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Efficiently informing crowds ? Experiments and simulations on route choice and decision making in pedestrian crowds with wheelchair users2020

    • Author(s)
      Feliciani Claudio、Murakami Hisashi、Shimura Kenichiro、Nishinari Katsuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies

      Volume: 114 Pages: 484-503

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.trc.2020.02.019

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Impact of Social Groups on Collective Decision-Making in Evacuations: A Simulation Study2020

    • Author(s)
      Murakami Hisashi、Feliciani Claudio、Shimura Kenichiro、Nishinari Katsuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Springer Proceedings in Physics (Zuriguel et al. eds.): Traffic and Granular Flow 2019

      Volume: 252 Pages: 219-224

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-030-55973-1_27

    • ISBN
      9783030559724, 9783030559731
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Experimental Investigation on Information Provision Methods and Guidance Strategies for Crowd Control2020

    • Author(s)
      Feliciani Claudio、Murakami Hisashi、Shimura Kenichiro、Nishinari Katsuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Springer Proceedings in Physics (Zuriguel et al. eds.): Traffic and Granular Flow 2019

      Volume: 252 Pages: 61-67

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-030-55973-1_8

    • ISBN
      9783030559724, 9783030559731
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 互いに動きを読み合うことが群れに秩序をもたらす2023

    • Author(s)
      村上久
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会ヒューマンコミュニケーション基礎(HCS)研究会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 比較集団行動学に向けて2023

    • Author(s)
      村上久、阿部真人、西山雄大
    • Organizer
      日本動物行動学会第41回大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 相互予期に基づく群れの自己組織化2022

    • Author(s)
      村上久
    • Organizer
      電気情報通信学会IEICE大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 相互予期に基づく群れの自己組織化2022

    • Author(s)
      村上久
    • Organizer
      応用物理学会第2回 トータルバイオミメティクス研究グループ 合同シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 群れの自己組織化を促す相互予期2022

    • Author(s)
      村上久
    • Organizer
      第83回応用物理学会秋季学術講演会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 互いに動きを読み合うことが群れに秩序をもたらす2022

    • Author(s)
      村上久
    • Organizer
      日本機械学会関西支部特別フォーラム
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 相互予期に基づく群れの自己組織化2022

    • Author(s)
      村上久
    • Organizer
      応用物理学会トータルバイオミメティクス研究グループ 第二回合同シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 相互予期によって促進される歩行者流の自己組織化2021

    • Author(s)
      村上久
    • Organizer
      第27回交通流と自己駆動粒子系のシンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Anticipatory collective human behavior: Path-seeking of pedestrians through a crowd2020

    • Author(s)
      H Murakami, C Feliciani, Y Nishiyama, K Nishinari
    • Organizer
      TSC2020: The science of consciousness
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 遊びによって紡がれる多様性、あるいは群集2020

    • Author(s)
      村上久
    • Organizer
      第10回共創学研究会「あそびの時空」
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Book] 群集マネジメント総論2020

    • Author(s)
      東京大学社会連携部門 群集マネジメント研究会
    • Total Pages
      180
    • Publisher
      東京大学出版会
    • ISBN
      4130611658
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Swarm Intelligence: From Social Bacteria to Humans (Chapter 4)2020

    • Author(s)
      YP Gunji, H Murakami, T Niizato, Y Nishiyama, K Enomoto, A Adamatzky, M Toda, T Moriyama, T Kawai
    • Total Pages
      28
    • Publisher
      CRC Press
    • ISBN
      9780367137939
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 情報工学・人間科学系 村上 久 助教がイグ・ノーベル賞を受賞しました

    • URL

      https://www.kit.ac.jp/2021/09/news210910-3/

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 互いに動きを読むことが歩行者の流れに秩序をもたらす:自己組織化を促す相互予期の重要性

    • URL

      https://www.kit.ac.jp/2021/03/news210318/

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report

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Published: 2020-04-28   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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