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Long-Run Dynamics of Political Distrust: Information Transmission and Learning

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20K22131
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section 0107:Economics, business administration, and related fields
Research InstitutionTokyo University of Science

Principal Investigator

Kishishita Daiki  東京理科大学, 経営学部ビジネスエコノミクス学科, 講師 (90876088)

Project Period (FY) 2020-09-11 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Keywords政治不信 / 不確実性 / 情報の非対称性 / 学習 / 動学 / 利益団体政治 / 政治信頼 / 政治的エージェンシー / 情報伝達 / サーチ / 公共財供給 / 再分配 / サーベイ実験 / ナイトの不確実性 / エージェンシー問題
Outline of Research at the Start

代表民主政治の機能不全の現れとして、しばしば問題視されるのが、既存政治家全体への
有権者の不信である。政治不信がどのように生まれ、変化するかに関する長期的な動学を理論的に明らかにした上で、それが代表民主制及び経済政策に与える影響について分析する。その際、政策を通じた情報伝達と世論の変化の相互作用という観点に着目しながら、(i)政治不信が選挙競争及び政治の応答性に与える影響、(ii)政治不信が再分配政策等の経済政策に与える影響に焦点を当てる。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

Political distrust is often regarded as a phenomenon that represents the dysfunction of democracy. Its notable feature is that political distrust has two-way interactions with the behavior of politicians, which creates the long-run dynamics of political distrust. We constructed a model describing such dynamics and clarified the impact of endogenous changes in political distrust on politicians' incentives and the mechanism by which political distrust and interest group politics interact and change over time.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

政治不信は代表民主制の機能不全を示唆するものとしてしばしば問題視される。一方で、政治不信の内生的変化はほとんどの数理モデルから捨象されており、政治不信がどのようにして通時的に変化するのか、それは代表民主制にどのような帰結をもたらすかは、理論的にも十分わかっていない。本研究課題ではこのギャップを埋めることを試みた。その結果、政治不信をモデル化する方法を提案し、それを用いて(1)政治不信の内生的変化が政治家の汚職インセンティブに与える影響や(2)利益団体政治と政治不信の相互作用といったトピックに関し知見を得ることができた。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (30 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (6 results) Journal Article (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 7 results) Presentation (17 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Invited: 1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Princeton University/Columbia University(米国)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] National University of Taiwan(その他の国・地域)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Columbia University/Princeton University(米国)

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] National Taiwan University(その他の国・地域)

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] National Taiwan University(その他の国・地域)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Columbia University/Princeton University(米国)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Endogenous Political Trust and Electoral Accountability2023

    • Author(s)
      Satoshi Kasamatsu and Daiki Kishishita
    • Journal Title

      The Journal of Politics

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Ambiguity and self-protection: evidence from social distancing under the COVID-19 pandemic2022

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita, Has H Tung, Charlotte Wang
    • Journal Title

      The Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: - Issue: 2 Pages: 269-300

    • DOI

      10.1007/s42973-022-00120-3

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Do supermajority rules really deter extremism? the role of electoral competition2022

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita and Atsushi Yamagishi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Theoretical Politics

      Volume: 34 Issue: 1 Pages: 127-144

    • DOI

      10.1177/09516298211061161

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Informative campaigning in multidimensional politics: The role of na?ve voters2022

    • Author(s)
      Kasamatsu Satoshi、Kishishita Daiki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Theoretical Politics

      Volume: 34 Issue: 1 Pages: 78-106

    • DOI

      10.1177/09516298211061153

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Tax competition and political agency problems2021

    • Author(s)
      Satoshi Kasamatsu and Daiki Kishishita
    • Journal Title

      Canadian Journal of Economics

      Volume: 54 Issue: 4 Pages: 1782-1810

    • DOI

      10.1111/caje.12569

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal risk regulation of monopolists with subjective risk assessment2021

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita and Susumu Sato
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Regulatory Economics

      Volume: 59 Issue: 3 Pages: 251-279

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11149-021-09429-0

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Contagion of populist extremism2021

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita and Atsushi Yamagishi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Public Economics

      Volume: 193 Pages: 104324-104324

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104324

    • NAID

      40022347494

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Dilemma of Political Distrust2022

    • Author(s)
      岸下大樹
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会春季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Dilemma of Political Distrust2022

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Public Economic Theory 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Dilemma of Political Trust2022

    • Author(s)
      岸下大樹
    • Organizer
      日本政治学会研究大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Endogenous Political Trust and Electoral Accountability2021

    • Author(s)
      Satoshi Kasamatsu and Daiki Kishishita
    • Organizer
      Annual Conference of Midwest Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Search and Knightian Uncertainty: Beyond Uncertainty-Aversion2021

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita, Kiyohiko G. Nishimura, and Hiroyuki Ozaki
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会春季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Search and Knightian Uncertainty: Beyond Uncertainty-Aversion2021

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita, Kiyohiko G. Nishimura, and Hiroyuki Ozaki
    • Organizer
      経済理論ワークショップ(一橋大学)
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Strategic Opposition and Electoral Accountability2021

    • Author(s)
      Satoshi Kasamatsu and Daiki Kishishita
    • Organizer
      Contract Theory Workshop on Zoom
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Ambiguity and Self-Protection: Evidence from Social Distancing under the COVID-19 Pandemic2021

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita, Hans Tung and Charlotte Wang
    • Organizer
      早稲田大学 金曜セミナー
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Search and Knightian Uncertainty: Beyond Uncertainty-Aversion2021

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita, Kiyohiko G. Nishimura, and Hiroyuki Ozaki
    • Organizer
      Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Does Informative Opposition Influence Electoral Accountability?2021

    • Author(s)
      Satoshi Kasamatsu and Daiki Kishishita
    • Organizer
      WINPEC Microeconomics Workshop
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] More Public Goods, Larger Government, and More Redistribution2021

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita, Atsushi Yamagishi, and Tomoko Matsumoto
    • Organizer
      応用ミクロ経済学セミナー(東京経済大学)
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] More Public Goods, Larger Government, and More Redistribution2021

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita, Atsushi Yamagishi, and Tomoko Matsumoto
    • Organizer
      武蔵大経済セミナー
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] More Public Goods, Larger Government, and More Redistribution2021

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita, Atsushi Yamagishi, and Tomoko Matsumoto
    • Organizer
      ミニ・ワークショップ 再分配政策と政治経済システム-Ⅴ
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 予防行動におけるあいまい性2021

    • Author(s)
      岸下大樹
    • Organizer
      行動経済学会第15回大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Contagion of Populist Extremism: Social Learning with Agency Problems2020

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Kishishita
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society World Congress
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Optimal Risk Regulation of Monopolists with Subjective Risk Assessment2020

    • Author(s)
      岸下大樹
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Search and Knightian Uncertainty Revisited: Beyond Uncertainty-Aversion2020

    • Author(s)
      岸下大樹
    • Organizer
      DCコンファレンス
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report

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Published: 2020-09-29   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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