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Quantification of tsunami amplification effects due to bathymetry considering frequency characteristics for real-time prediction

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20K22432
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section 0303:Civil engineering, social systems engineering, safety engineering, disaster prevention engineering, and related fields
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

Miyashita Takuya  京都大学, 防災研究所, 助教 (60874104)

Project Period (FY) 2020-09-11 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Keywords津波 / 周波数応答 / 応答関数 / 海溝型地震 / 津波応答関数 / 南海トラフ地震 / 津波増幅率
Outline of Research at the Start

沖合で発生した津波は,地形の影響を受け沿岸で波高が増幅される.津波の増幅特性は水深比だけでなく水深方向の地形特性にも影響されるが,この地形効果は複雑であり定量化は行われていない.本研究では,津波モンテカルロシミュレーション結果から地形の周波数応答関数を推定し,沿岸域における津波の増幅率を定量化する.伝播経路上の津波波形のスペクトル変化を求め,多数シナリオのアンサンブルによって広い周波数領域での津波増幅成分を推定し,応答関数を求める.得られた応答関数は平均的な津波の増幅率となり,その空間分布や特徴について評価を行う.これらの成果は津波即時予測の精度改善に直結し,沿岸被害の低減を目指すものである.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

Tsunami responses in frequency domain due to bathymetry effect were quantitatively obtained. First, tsunami simulations were performed for the Nankai Trough earthquakes using a stochastic fault generation model. From the tsunami simulation results, the tsunami response functions were obtained by performing a spectral analysis of the simulates tsunami waveforms in the source and coastal regions. The obtained response were validated by comparing them with the resonance periods estimated from the linear wave theory. As a result, the predominant periods corresponding to each scale in the tsunami propagation process was extracted by ensemble of spectral ratios among the scenarios. The extracted response functions are consistent with the theoretical resonance period under simplified topographic conditions, indicating the validity of the method.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

津波や高潮などの長波の挙動は海底地形の影響を大きく受ける.本研究では,地形によって津波がどのよに応答し,沿岸域でどのように増幅するかを定量化した.この応答は,外洋から沿岸部へ進行する津波の変化を予測しうるものであり,即時予測手法の改良や沿岸域での津波の継続時間の予測への応用が期待される.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2022 2021 2020

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 4 results) Presentation (4 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Local Tsunami Amplification Factors due to the Bathymetric Effect and its Application to Approximate Hazard Assessment on the Zihuatanejo Coast2022

    • Author(s)
      Miyashita Takuya, Mori Nobuhito, Gomez-Ramos Octavio
    • Journal Title

      Pure and Applied Geophysics

      Volume: 179 Issue: 12 Pages: 4301-4322

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00024-022-03177-8

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] ESTIMATION OF FREQUENCY-DEPENDENT TSUNAMI RESPONSES DUE TO BATHYMETRIC EFFECT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF JAPAN2022

    • Author(s)
      宮下卓也,HO, Tung-Cheng,森信人,志村智也
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

      Volume: 78 Issue: 2 Pages: I_55-I_60

    • DOI

      10.2208/kaigan.78.2_I_55

    • ISSN
      1883-8944, 1884-2399
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENT OF TSUNAMI HEIGHT FOR FUTURE NANKAI-TONANKAI EARTHQUAKES USING STOCHASTIC TSUNAMI SOURCE MODELS2021

    • Author(s)
      宮下 卓也, 倉田 一輝, 安田 誠宏, 森 信人, 志村 智也
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

      Volume: 77 Issue: 2 Pages: I_181-I_186

    • DOI

      10.2208/kaigan.77.2_I_181

    • NAID

      130008113289

    • ISSN
      1883-8944, 1884-2399
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] TSUNAMI SIMULATION OF MEGATHRUST EARTHQUAKES ALONG THE NANKAI TROUGH USING ADAPTIVE MESH REFINEMENT METHOD2020

    • Author(s)
      宮下卓也、GOMEZ-RAMOS Octavio、森信人
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: I_289-I_294

    • DOI

      10.2208/kaigan.76.2_I_289

    • NAID

      130007935820

    • ISSN
      1883-8944, 1884-2399
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Tsunami Responses along the Japanese Coast Due to Bathymetry Effect2022

    • Author(s)
      Miyashita Takuya
    • Organizer
      Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS) 19th Annual Meeting
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 日本の太平洋沿岸を対象とした地形効果による津波の周波数応答特性の推定2022

    • Author(s)
      宮下卓也
    • Organizer
      第69回海岸工学講演会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 確率津波モデルを用いた南海トラフ巨大地震による津波高の不確実性評価2021

    • Author(s)
      宮下卓也
    • Organizer
      第68回海岸工学講演会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Estimation of Tsunami Response Functions Considering Bathymetry in the Pacific Coast of Japan2021

    • Author(s)
      宮下卓也
    • Organizer
      30th International Tsunami Symposium (ITS)
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2020-09-29   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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