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Human Behavior Model in Consideration of Detailed Personal Attributes in the Aftermath of a Devastating Earthquake

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21310105
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionTokyo Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

OSARAGI Toshihiro  東京工業大学, 大学院・情報理工学研究科, 教授 (00211136)

Project Period (FY) 2009 – 2012
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
Budget Amount *help
¥7,800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,800,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Keywords大地震 / 防災計画 / 広域避難 / 人間行動 / シミュレーション / 通勤困難 / 滞留者 / 移動者
Research Abstract

The spatiotemporal distribution of persons in the metropolitan area was estimated based on the data of a metropolis person trip survey, and the various simulation analyses assuming the occurrence of a devastating earthquake were performed. First, the Environment Information Simulator which describes property damage, and the Human Action Simulator which describes human behavior were constructed, and the phase of wide-area evacuation was analyzed by use of these simulators. Next, the Pedestrian Flow Model which describes and visualizes people's move locus in the vicinity of a large scale railroad station was constructed. Furthermore, the Commuting Action Model was constructed, which describes the workers' intention and capability of commuting to offices under the situation where the public transportations are paralyzed in the aftermath of a large earthquake. By using the model, the possibility and probability of workers' commuting to offices were analyzed.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2012 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (53 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

All Journal Article (11 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 10 results) Presentation (38 results) Book (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] 大地震時の市街地大火を想定した高齢者福祉施設における広域避難について2013

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰・鈴木久美子
    • Journal Title

      日本建築学会計画系論文集

      Volume: 78(685) Pages: 557-563

    • NAID

      130004895655

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 大地震発生後における通勤困難者について2013

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰・玉野沙織
    • Journal Title

      日本建築学会計画系論文集,査読有

      Volume: 78(683) Pages: 107-117

    • NAID

      130004512603

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 大地震時の市街地大火を想定した高齢者福祉施設における広域避難について2013

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰
    • Journal Title

      日本建築学会計画系論文集

      Volume: 78 Pages: 557-563

    • NAID

      130004895655

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 大地震発生後における通勤困難者について2013

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰
    • Journal Title

      日本建築学会計画系論文集

      Volume: 78 Pages: 107-117

    • NAID

      130004512603

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 密集市街地における大地震時の避難困難率について2012

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰・沖拓弥
    • Journal Title

      日本建築学会計画系論文集

      Volume: 77(681) Pages: 2561-2567

    • NAID

      130004512587

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Modeling a spatiotemporal distribution of stranded people returning home on foot in the aftermath of a large-scale earthquake2012

    • Author(s)
      OSARAGI,T.
    • Journal Title

      Nat Hazards, Springer

      Volume: 68 Issue: 3 Pages: 1385-1398

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11069-012-0175-8

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 都市内滞留者・移動者の多様な状態と属性を考慮した大地震時における広域避難行動シミュレーションモデル2012

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰・守澤貴幸
    • Journal Title

      日本建築学会計画系論文集

      Volume: 76(660) Pages: 389-396

    • NAID

      130004895378

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 密集市街地における大地震時の避難困難率について2012

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰
    • Journal Title

      日本建築学会計画系論文集

      Volume: 77 Pages: 2561-2567

    • NAID

      130004512587

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 首都直下地震時における帰宅行動と帰宅困難2011

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰
    • Journal Title

      日本地震工学会誌

      Volume: 15 Pages: 89-92

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 都市内滞留者・移動者の多様な状態と属性を考慮した大地震時における広域避難行動シミュレーションモデル2011

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰・守澤貴幸
    • Journal Title

      日本建築学会計画系論文集

      Volume: 76 Pages: 386-396

    • NAID

      130004895378

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 大地震時における徒歩帰宅者の行動モデル2009

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰
    • Journal Title

      電気学会誌

      Volume: 129 Pages: 804-807

    • NAID

      10026224075

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Predicting Spatiotemporal Distribution of People for Risk Assessment and Disaster Management2013

    • Author(s)
      OSARAGI, T., OKI, T.
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of 10th International Conference on Urban Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Evacuation Behavior Model Considering Various Attributes of Residents and Transient Occupants2013

    • Author(s)
      OKI, T., OSARAGI, T.
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of 10th International Conference on Urban Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Predicting Spatiotemporal Distribution of People for Risk Assessment and Disaster Management2013

    • Author(s)
      Toshihiro Osaragi
    • Organizer
      10th International Conference on Urban Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学(東京都)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Evacuation Behavior Model Considering Various Attributes of Residents and Transient Occupants2013

    • Author(s)
      Takuya Oki
    • Organizer
      10th International Conference on Urban Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学(東京都)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 避難安全性からみた密集市街地性状に関する-考察2012

    • Author(s)
      沖拓弥・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演梗概集(F-1)
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋
    • Year and Date
      2012-09-12
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Individual Decision Making and Behavior of Returning Home in the Aftermath of a Devastating Earthquake2012

    • Author(s)
      OSARAGI, T.
    • Organizer
      9th International Conference on Urban Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2012-03-07
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 密集市街地の空間性状と大地震時の避難困難率2012

    • Author(s)
      沖拓弥・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会講演論文集
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 平日と休日における帰宅困難者数の比較分析2012

    • Author(s)
      濱田時彦・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会講演論文集
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大地震時における広域避難行動シミュレーション,スケジューリング・シンポジウム20122012

    • Author(s)
      沖拓弥・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      講演論文集
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Individual Decision Making and Behavior of Returning Home in the Aftermath of a Devastating Earthquake2012

    • Author(s)
      OSARAGI, T.
    • Organizer
      9th International Conference on Urban Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 鉄道駅周辺地域における群集流動シミュレーション2012

    • Author(s)
      西村光平・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会講演論文集
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 密集市街地の空間性状と大地震時の避難困難率2012

    • Author(s)
      沖拓弥
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島修道大学(広島県)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 平日と休日における帰宅困難者数の比較分析2012

    • Author(s)
      濱田時彦
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島修道大学(広島県)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大地震時における広域避難行動シミュレーション2012

    • Author(s)
      沖拓弥
    • Organizer
      スケジューリング・シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      成蹊学園大学(東京都)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 避難安全性からみた密集市街地性状に関する一考察2012

    • Author(s)
      沖拓弥
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学(愛知県)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Simulation Model of Individual Decision Making and Behavior for Returning Home after a Devastating Earthquake2011

    • Author(s)
      OSARAGI, T., TANAKA, S.
    • Organizer
      the 12th International Conference on Computers in Urban Planning and Urban Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Canada (Lake Louise)
    • Year and Date
      2011-07-07
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Spatiotemporal Distribution of Railroad Users with Difficulty in Returning Home after a Devastating Earthquake2011

    • Author(s)
      OSARAGI, T.
    • Organizer
      EGU General Assembly 2011
    • Place of Presentation
      Austria (Vienna)
    • Year and Date
      2011-04-04
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高齢者福祉施設における大地震時の避難行動に関する基礎調査2011

    • Author(s)
      鈴木久美子・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      2010年度日本建築学会関東支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-05
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 密集市街地の避難危険度評価2011

    • Author(s)
      沖拓弥・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会講演論文集
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高齢者福祉施設の広域避難における地域連携の役割2011

    • Author(s)
      鈴木久美子・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会講演論文集
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大地震発生後における就業者の出社意思と出社可能性2011

    • Author(s)
      玉野沙織・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会講演論文集
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大地震発生初動期における就業者の出社意思のモデル化2011

    • Author(s)
      玉野沙織・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演梗概集(F-1)
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大地震を想定した高齢者福祉施設における避難行動に関する調査2011

    • Author(s)
      鈴木久美子・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演梗概集(F-1)
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 密集市街地における大地震時の避難危険度2011

    • Author(s)
      沖拓弥・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演梗概集(F-1)
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Simulation Model of Individual Decision Making and Behavior for Returning Home after a Devastating Earthquake2011

    • Author(s)
      OSARAGI, T., TANAKA, S.
    • Organizer
      the 12th International Conference on Computers in Urban Planning and Urban Management
    • Place of Presentation
      カナダ
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Spatiotemporal Distribution of Railroad Users with Difficulty in Returning Home after a Devastating Earthquake2011

    • Author(s)
      OSARAGI, T.
    • Organizer
      EGU General Assembly 2011
    • Place of Presentation
      オーストリア
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高齢者福祉施設における大地震時の避難行動に関する基礎調査2011

    • Author(s)
      鈴木久美子・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会関東支部研究報告集II
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大地震時における人間行動のモデル化について:大地震時の広域避難行動シミュレーションに関する研究 その22010

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演梗概集(F-1)
    • Place of Presentation
      富山
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-19
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大地震発生初動期における就業者の出社可能性について2010

    • Author(s)
      玉野沙織・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会講演論文集
    • Place of Presentation
      京都
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 災害発生初動期における就業者の出社可能性2010

    • Author(s)
      玉野沙織・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演梗概集(F-1)
    • Place of Presentation
      富山
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大地震時における人間行動のモデル化について:大地震時の広域避難行動シミュレーションに関する研究その22010

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演梗概集(F-1)
    • Place of Presentation
      富山
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] People with Difficulty in Returning Home after a Devastating Earthquake2010

    • Author(s)
      OSARAGI, T., TANAKA, S.
    • Organizer
      the 13th AGILE Conference on Geographic Information Science
    • Place of Presentation
      ポルトガル
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 鉄道利用者のターミナル駅周辺地域における時空間分布2009

    • Author(s)
      西村光平、大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      新潟朱鷺メッセ (新潟市)
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-15
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大地震時における物的被害のモデル化について:大地震時の広域避難行動シミュレーションに関する研究 その12009

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰、守澤貴幸
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北学院大学 (仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2009-08-28
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大規模鉄道駅周辺地域における歩行者の時空間分布推定2009

    • Author(s)
      西村光平、大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北学院大学 (仙台市)
    • Year and Date
      2009-08-27
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 鉄道利用者のターミナル駅周辺地域における時空間分布2009

    • Author(s)
      西村光平・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      地理情報システム学会講演論文集
    • Place of Presentation
      新潟
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大地震時における物的被害のモデル化について:大地震時の広域避難行動シミュレーションに関する研究その12009

    • Author(s)
      大佛俊泰・守澤貴幸
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演梗概集(F-1)
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大規模鉄道駅周辺地域における歩行者の時空間分布推定2009

    • Author(s)
      西村光平・大佛俊泰
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会学術講演梗概集(E-1)
    • Place of Presentation
      仙台
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Book] Simulation Model of Evacuation Behavior Following a Large-scale Earthquake that Takes into Account Various Attributes of Residents and Transient Occupants, Eds. U2013

    • Author(s)
      OSARAGI, T., Morisawa, T., Oki, T
    • Publisher
      Eds.U.Weidman et. al., Springer
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Book] Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics - PED 20122013

    • Author(s)
      Toshihiro Osaragi
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Predicting Spatiotemporal Distribution of Transient Occupants in Urban Areas, Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography, Bridging the Geographic Information Sciences2012

    • Author(s)
      OSARAGI, T., Hoshino, T.
    • Publisher
      Eds.J.Gensel et al., Springer
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Book] Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography, Bridging the Geographic Information Sciences2012

    • Author(s)
      Toshihiro Osaragi
    • Total Pages
      450
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2009-04-01   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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