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A Dynamic Analysis of Price Formation in Securities Markets

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21330079
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionKeio University

Principal Investigator

MCKENZIE Colin  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部, 教授 (10220980)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) TAKAOKA Sumiko  成蹊大学, 経済学部, 教授 (10361677)
KANEKO Takashi  慶應義塾大学, 商学部, 教授 (90118935)
Project Period (FY) 2009-04-01 – 2014-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,930,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥3,120,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥720,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Keywords証券市場 / 社債市場 / 株式市場 / 価格決定 / 引受業者 / 評判 / マッチング / メインバンク / 価格形成 / 動学分析 / 社債 / 株式 / ブックビルディング / 変量企業効果 / パネル分析 / 新規株式公開 / ミスプライシング
Research Abstract

This research undertakes an empirical analysis of Japan's share market and market for straight corporate bonds. A data base for initial public offerings (IPOs) of shares was constructed and publicly released. In relation to the puzzle that high initial returns are observed when an auction system where the underwriter has no incentive to underprice is adopted, a hypothesis explaining this outcome was suggested and verified using IPO data. Problems associated with the choice of "book building" as a mechanism to determine public prices were pointed out and some policy recommendations for reform were made. For the bond market, an empirical analysis of the impact of the past behavior of the issuing firm and underwriters on issuing volumes, prices etc was undertaken. To be concrete, the history of the relationship between the issuer and the underwriter was included in the empirical model, and the impact of this relationship was investigated.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2013 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (39 results)

All 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Other

All Journal Article (18 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 12 results) Presentation (20 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Main Bank Relationships and Underwriter Choice2014

    • Author(s)
      Takaoka S. and McKenzie C. R.
    • Journal Title

      Applied Financial Economics

      Volume: Vol. 24, No. 6 Pages: 413-423

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Main bank relationships and underwriter choice2014

    • Author(s)
      Sumiko Takaoka & C. R. McKenzie
    • Journal Title

      Applied Financial Economics

      Volume: 24 Issue: 6 Pages: 413-423

    • DOI

      10.1080/09603107.2014.881969

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Matching of Lead Underwriters and Issuing Firms in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market2013

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie C. R. and Takaoka S
    • Journal Title

      Mathematics and Computers in Simulation

      Volume: Vol. 93 Pages: 86-97

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Microfit 5. 02013

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie, C. R. and Takaoka S
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Applied Econometrics

      Volume: Vol. 28, No. 1 Pages: 170-175

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] わが国のIPOにおける合法的利益相反の可能性2013

    • Author(s)
      金子隆
    • Journal Title

      三田商学研究

      Volume: 55巻, 6号 Pages: 21-44

    • NAID

      120005334091

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The Matching of Lead Underwriters and Issuing Firms in the Japanese Corporate Bond Marke2013

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie C.R. and Takaoka S.
    • Journal Title

      Mathematics and Computers in Simulation

      Volume: 93 Pages: 86-97

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.matcom.2013.04.009

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Microfit 5.02013

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie, C.R. and S. Takaoka
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Applied Econometrics

      Volume: Vol. 28,No. 1 Issue: 1 Pages: 170-175

    • DOI

      10.1002/jae.2308

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] EViews 7. 22012

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie C. R. and Takaoka S.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Applied Econometrics

      Volume: Vol. 27, No. 2 Pages: 1205-1210

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] EViews 7.22012

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie, C.R. and S. Takaoka
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Applied Econometrics

      Volume: Vol. 27,No. 2 Issue: 7 Pages: 1205-1210

    • DOI

      10.1002/jae.2303

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] "Does Reputation Talk? The Matching of Underwriters and Issuing Firms, " in : Chan F. , Marinova D. and Anderssen R. S. (eds) , MODSIM20112011

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie C. R. and Takaoka S
    • Journal Title

      19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand

      Pages: 1471-1477

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Does Reputation Talk? The Matching of Underwriters and Issuing Firms2011

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie, C.R., S.Takaoka
    • Journal Title

      MODSIM2011, 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand(Chan, F., Marinova, D.and Anderssen, R.S.(eds))

      Pages: 1471-1477

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] わが国におけるIPOの利益相反:1つの解釈2011

    • Author(s)
      金子隆
    • Journal Title

      三田商学研究

      Volume: 54巻2号(未定)

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] IPOの過小値付け現象-不正確性プレミアム仮説の検証2010

    • Author(s)
      金子隆
    • Journal Title

      三田商学研究

      Volume: 53巻, 2号 Pages: 61-81

    • NAID

      40017289399

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] IPOの過小値付け現象-不正確性プレミアム仮説の検証-2010

    • Author(s)
      金子隆
    • Journal Title

      三田商学研究 53巻2号(未定(印刷中))

    • NAID

      40017289399

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] "Mispricing in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market, " in : Anderssen R. S. , Braddock R. D. and L. T. H. Newham (eds)2009

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie C. R. and Takaoka S
    • Journal Title

      Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand and International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation

      Pages: 1545-1551

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] IPOの過小値付け現象-新しい解釈の試み-2009

    • Author(s)
      金子隆
    • Journal Title

      三田商学研究

      Volume: 52巻, 2号 Pages: 81-97

    • NAID

      120002233662

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Mispricing in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market2009

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie, C.R., S.Takaoka
    • Journal Title

      18th IMACS World Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation(Anderssen, R.S., R.D.Braddock and L.T.H.Newham(eds))

      Pages: 1545-1551

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] IPOの過小値付け現象-新しい解釈の試み-2009

    • Author(s)
      金子隆
    • Journal Title

      三田商学研究 52巻2号

      Pages: 81-97

    • NAID

      120002233662

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ブックビルディング方式は本当に優れているのか?-IPOの価格決定方式に関する比較再検討-2014

    • Author(s)
      池田直史・ 金子隆
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会第22回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      中央大学多摩キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-01
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] ブックビルディング方式は本当に優れているのか?-IPOの価格決定方式に関する比較再検討-2014

    • Author(s)
      池田直史・金子隆
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      中央大学多摩キャンパス(東京都)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Relationship vs Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market2013

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie C. R.
    • Organizer
      Singapore Economic Review Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2013-08-08
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Relationship and Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market2013

    • Author(s)
      鷹岡澄子
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society Australasian Meeting 2013
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Sydney, オーストラリア
    • Year and Date
      2013-07-11
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Relationship vs Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market2013

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie C. R.
    • Organizer
      Third Global Accounting, Finance and Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      Melbourne Australia
    • Year and Date
      2013-05-05
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Main Bank-Firm Relationship and Volatility in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market2013

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie C. R.
    • Organizer
      Third Global Accounting, Finance and Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      Melbourne Australia
    • Year and Date
      2013-05-05
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Whose Reputation Talk? Relationship vs Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market2012

    • Author(s)
      鷹岡澄子
    • Organizer
      Asia Meeting of the Econometric Society 2012
    • Place of Presentation
      Delhi, インド
    • Year and Date
      2012-12-21
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Whose Reputation Talks? Relationship vs. Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market2012

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie C. R.
    • Organizer
      Thirteenth East Asian Economic Association International Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2012-10-19
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Whose Reputation Talks? Relationship vs Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market2012

    • Author(s)
      鷹岡澄子
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州産業大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Does Reputation Talk? The Matching of Underwriters and Issuing Firms2011

    • Author(s)
      S.Takaoka
    • Organizer
      MODSIM2011 : 19^<th> International on Modelling and Simulation
    • Place of Presentation
      Convention Centre, Perth, Australia
    • Year and Date
      2011-12-12
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Does Reputation Talk? The matching of underwriters and issuing firms" (McKenzie C. R. and Takaoka S. )2011

    • Author(s)
      鷹岡澄子
    • Organizer
      MODSIM 2011 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Mispricing in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market2009

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie, C.R.
    • Organizer
      18th IMACS World Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation
    • Place of Presentation
      Cairns, Australia
    • Year and Date
      2009-07-16
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Mispricing in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market2009

    • Author(s)
      McKenzie C. R.
    • Organizer
      MODSIM09
    • Place of Presentation
      Cairns Australia
    • Year and Date
      2009-07-13
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Relationship and Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market

    • Author(s)
      Sumiko Takaoka
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society Australasian Meeting 2013
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Sydney, Sydney
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Relationship VS Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market

    • Author(s)
      Colin McKenzie
    • Organizer
      Sinagpore Economic Review Conference 2013
    • Place of Presentation
      Mandarin Orchard Singapore Hotel, Singapore
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Main bank relationships and underwriter choice

    • Author(s)
      Colin McKenzie
    • Organizer
      3rd Global Accounting, Finance and Economics Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Rydges Melbourne Hotel, Melbourne
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Relationship VS Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market

    • Author(s)
      Colin McKenzie
    • Organizer
      3rd Global Accounting, Finance and Economics Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Rydges Melbourne Hotel, Melbourne
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Whose Reputation Talk? Relationship vs Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market

    • Author(s)
      鷹岡澄子
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2012年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州産業大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Whose Reputation Talk? Relationship vs Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market

    • Author(s)
      C.R. McKenzie
    • Organizer
      East Asian Economic Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Grand Copthorne Waterfront Hotel(Singapore)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Whose Reputation Talk? Relationship vs Transaction Based Matching in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market

    • Author(s)
      Sumiko Takaoka
    • Organizer
      Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society 2012
    • Place of Presentation
      Delhi School of Economics, University of Delhi(India)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.fbc.keio.ac.jp/~kaneko/KP-JIPO/top.htm

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2009-04-01   Modified: 2021-04-07  

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