| Project/Area Number |
21360286
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Town planning/Architectural planning
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| Research Institution | Chiba University |
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Principal Investigator |
ANDO Masao 千葉大学, 大学院・工学研究科, 教授 (80110287)
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
IKEJIRI Takashi 千葉大学, 大学院・工学研究科, 助教 (10408718)
YAMADA Kyota 京都大学, 大学院・アジア・アフリカ地域研究所, 助教 (40434980)
MORITA Yoshiro 東京工芸大学, 工学部, 准教授 (50396769)
KAWANABE Aiko 秋田県立大学, 木材高度加工研究所, 准教授 (40404850)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2009 – 2011
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2011)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥8,060,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,860,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
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| Keywords | 人口減少社会 / 住宅需給 / システムダイナミクス / 空家 / 地域住宅産業 |
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| Research Abstract |
A system-dynamics model using statistical data has been developed to analyze the relation between ongoing demographic change and indexes representing housing and housing activities. In regard to depopulating regions, the findings include such facts as a) new house building will decrease drastically, b) vacant house ratio will rise to higher level, eventually leading to the fact that c) average life of houses will be extended paradoxically, d) miss-matching of housing demand and supply between regions will further be accelerated and e) maintaining housing stock will be fatally difficult due to the declining local housing industry.
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