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Statistical modeling based on multiple time series with various time resolution

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21500287
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionThe Institute of Statistical Mathematics

Principal Investigator

KAWASAKI Yoshinori  統計数理研究所, モデリング研究系, 准教授 (70249910)

Project Period (FY) 2009 – 2011
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2011)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords時系列解析 / 多変量時系列 / 非同期観測 / 正則化 / 関数データ解析 / ベンチマーク法 / 点過程 / 不等間隔データ / MIDAS回帰
Research Abstract

In this research project, we developed a method of statistical modeling to work with multiple time series observed with various resolutions or different observation intervals. Especially, we are interested in some interpolation method making use of the inter-relationship between the time series with different observation frequencies. In application, we focused on the de-convolution of annual time series(the final estimate of GDP for example) with the help of closely related quarterly time series(the quick estimates of quarterly GDP for example).

Report

(4 results)
  • 2011 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (17 results)

All 2011 2010 2009 Other

All Journal Article (11 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 6 results) Presentation (5 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] ベンチマーク問題と経済時系列: GDP速報とGDP速報を巡って2011

    • Author(s)
      国友直人、川崎能典
    • Journal Title

      経済学論集(東京大学経済学部)

      Volume: 77巻 Pages: 2-19

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Automatic grouping using smooth-threshold estimating equations2011

    • Author(s)
      Ueki, M., Kawasaki, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Electronic Journal of Statistics

      Volume: Vol.5 Pages: 309-328

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report 2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Consistent nonparametric test for nonlinear causality. Specification in time series regression2011

    • Author(s)
      Nishiyama, Y., Hitomi, K., Kawasaki, Y., Jeong, K.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Econometrics

      Volume: Vol.165 Pages: 112-127

    • NAID

      120003437138

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ベンチマーク問題と経済時系列:GDP速報とGDP確報を巡って2011

    • Author(s)
      国友直人, 川崎能典
    • Journal Title

      経済学論集(東京大学経済学部)

      Volume: 77 Pages: 2-19

    • NAID

      40018974093

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A consistent nonparametric test for nonlinear causality2011

    • Author(s)
      Nishiyama, Y., et al
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Econometrics

      Volume: 165 Issue: 1 Pages: 112-127

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.05.010

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ベンチマーク問題と経済時系列(GDP速報とGDP確報を巡って)2011

    • Author(s)
      国友直人, 川崎能典
    • Journal Title

      東京大学大学院経済学研究科CIRJEディスカッションペーパーシリーズ

      Volume: J-234 Pages: 1-30

    • NAID

      40018974093

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Variable selection in discrete choice models2010

    • Author(s)
      Kawasaki, Y., Ueki, M.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of Joint Statistical Meeting 2010

      Volume: 1 Pages: 4924-4934

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 金融リスク管理と逆巾則、その現実的含意2010

    • Author(s)
      川崎能典
    • Journal Title

      日本行動計量学会第38回大会抄録

      Volume: 1 Pages: 310-311

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Long term trend analysis of water quality in Lake Biwa2009

    • Author(s)
      Kawasaki, Y., Kawai, K., Okubo, T., Kanefuji, K.
    • Journal Title

      Proc. Of MODSIM09

      Pages: 3172-3178

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Long term trend analysis of water quality in Lake Biwa2009

    • Author(s)
      Kawasaki, Y., Kawai, K., Okubo, T., Kanefuji, K.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 1

      Pages: 3172-3178

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Consistent nonparamtetric tests for Granger causality2009

    • Author(s)
      Nishiyama, Y., Hitomi, K., Kawasaki, Y., Jeoung, K.H.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of Joint Statistical Meeting 2008 1

      Pages: 3131-3138

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 打ち切りを考慮した株価変動の時系列モデル2011

    • Author(s)
      青木義充、川崎能典
    • Organizer
      2011年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      九州大学(福岡市)
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-07
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report 2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Variable selection in discrete choice models2011

    • Author(s)
      Kawasaki, Y., Ueki, M.
    • Organizer
      Joint Statistical Meeting 2010
    • Place of Presentation
      Vancouver, Canada
    • Year and Date
      2011-08-07
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Variable selection in discrete choice models2010

    • Author(s)
      Kawasaki, Y., Ueki, M.
    • Organizer
      Joint Statistical Meeting 2010
    • Place of Presentation
      Vancouver, BC, Canada
    • Year and Date
      2010-08-04
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高頻度金融データの日内季節調整について2010

    • Author(s)
      川崎能典
    • Organizer
      ファイナンス計量分析の新展開と日本の金融市場
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学経済学部、東京
    • Year and Date
      2010-03-31
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Searching and pruning risk factors in the logit model2009

    • Author(s)
      Kawasaki, Y.
    • Organizer
      Society for Risk Analysis 2009 Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Baltimore, MD, USA
    • Year and Date
      2009-12-07
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] ソフトウェアの配布:〔雑誌論文〕(3)で提案した方法について、GAUSS言語による解析プログラムを配布中。要求次第著者から個別に配布。報告書提出時点での照会件数は、海外から5件、国内から0件。

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report

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Published: 2009-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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