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Prediction of earthquake scenarios considering recurrence

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21510190
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Natural disaster science
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

SEKIGUCHI Haruko  京都大学, 防災研究所, 准教授 (20357320)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) KASE Yuko  独立行政法人産業技術総合研究所, その他部局等, 研究員 (90415654)
Project Period (FY) 2009 – 2011
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2011)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Keywordsシミュレーション / 動的破壊伝播 / 地震サイクル / 断層パラメータ / 活断層 / 動力学的破壊シミュレーション / 地震シナリオ / 地震動予測 / 累積変位量
Research Abstract

To estimate fault specific earthquake scenarios due to their each tectonic circumstances for ground motion prediction, we developed a system to generate earthquake scenarios by estimating heterogeneous stress fields from geographical and geological information and cyclically applying dynamic rupture simulations. In the application to the Uemachi fault zone, we found that estimated heterogeneous stress distribution controls the rupture propagation on this fault system. The summation of slips of plural events seems to agree with the long-term average slip distribution model.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2011 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (9 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 2009

All Presentation (9 results)

  • [Presentation] 動力学的震源モデルを用いた上町断層帯で発生する地震の強震動予測2013

    • Author(s)
      加瀬祐子・関口春子
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合 2013 大会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ国際会議場
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Fault Specific, Dynamic Rupture Scenarios for Strong Ground Motion Prediction2012

    • Author(s)
      Sekiguchi, H. and Y. Kase
    • Organizer
      5thWorld Conference on Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      Lisbon, Portugal
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地形・地質学的情報に基づく強震動予測のための動力学震源モデル2012

    • Author(s)
      加瀬祐子・関口春子
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合 2012 大会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ国際会議場
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地形・地質学的情報に基づく強震動予測のための動力学的震源モデル2012

    • Author(s)
      加瀬祐子
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合2012年大会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ(千葉)
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Fault Specific, Dynamic Rupture Scenarios for Strong Ground Motion Prediction2012

    • Author(s)
      関口春子
    • Organizer
      15th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering
    • Place of Presentation
      リスボン(ポルトガル)
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Dynamic rupture scenarios for strong ground motion prediction2011

    • Author(s)
      Kase, Y. and H. Sekiguchi
    • Organizer
      American Geophysical Union, Fall meeting 2011
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, United States
    • Year and Date
      2011-12-08
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Dynamic rupture scenarios for strong ground motion prediction2011

    • Author(s)
      Yuko Kase, Haruko Sekiguchi
    • Organizer
      American Geophysical Union, Fall meeting 2011
    • Place of Presentation
      サンフランシスコ(米国)
    • Year and Date
      2011-12-08
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Dynamic rupture process of the great 1668 North Anatolian earthquake2009

    • Author(s)
      Kase, Y., H. Kondo and O. Emre
    • Organizer
      French-Japan Joint Workshop on Earthquake Source Modeling and Observation toward Hazard Mitigation
    • Place of Presentation
      Paris, France
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-06
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Dynamic rupture process of the great 1668 North Anatolian earthquake2009

    • Author(s)
      Yuko Kase, Hisao Kondo, Omer Emre
    • Organizer
      Franch-Japan Joint Workshop on Earthquake Source Modeling and Observation toward Hazard Mitigation
    • Place of Presentation
      IPGP(パリ)
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-06
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2009-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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