Travel Demand Forecasting by a Theory of Home Production and Policy Evaluation

• Project/Area Number: 21530207
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Applied economics
• Research Institution: University of Tsukuba
• Principal Investigator: YOSHIDA Masatoshi 筑波大学, システム情報系, 教授 (00201012)
• Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha): DOI Masayuki 群馬大学, 社会情報学部, 教授 (40217609) ; STEPHEN JHON Turnbull 筑波大学, システム情報系, 准教授 (90240621)
• Project Period (FY): 2009 – 2011
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2011)
• Budget Amount: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000); Fiscal Year 2011: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000); Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000); Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
• Keywords: 家計生産 / 時間配分 / 道路需要 / 道路料金 / 道路資本 / ユーザー・チャージ / 道路の需要予測 / 最適道路供給 / 公的資金の限界費用 / 公共財選択

Research Abstract

This study formulated a general equilibrium model of the road economics which synthesizes the theories of home production and the optimal toll and then examined the recent issues on travel demand forecasting in Japan. A change in toll or investment affects the route selection of users through income redistribution between the low and high income groups. It was clarified that not only the income difference in each group but also that between the groups have significant effects on maximization of social welfare with respect to policy instruments.

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Multiplier Effects of Public Services in a Two-Sector Model of Monopolistic Competition (2011)
  • Author(s): 吉田雅敏・剣持健
  • Journal Title: Japanese Economic Review Volume: 62 Issue: 2 Pages: 272-288
  • DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-5876.2010.00517.x
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 物流アクセシビリティを導入した地域生産関数の構築・推計 (2010)
  • Author(s): 土井正幸・伊藤秀和
  • Journal Title: 第27回日本物流学会全国大会研究報告集 Pages: 133-134
• [Presentation] Recent international trade, port and shipping policy issues from an Asian perspective (2012)
  • Author(s): Masayuki Doi
  • Organizer: Propeller Club, Old Dominion University
  • Place of Presentation: College of Business and Public Administration, Old Dominion University (Norfolk, Virginia, USA)
  • Year and Date: 2012-03-20
• [Presentation] Imperfect Competition, Home Production, and Optimal Provision of Public Goods (2011)
  • Author(s): 吉田雅敏, S.J. Turnbull
  • Organizer: 日本経済学会
  • Place of Presentation: 筑波大学
  • Year and Date: 2011-10-30
• [Presentation] Public Intemediate Goods in Household production and Fiscal Multipliers (2011)
  • Author(s): 吉田雅敏、S.J Turnbull
  • Organizer: 日本経済学会秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 筑波大学(茨城県)
  • Year and Date: 2011-10-30
• [Presentation] The Balanced Budget Multiplier and Labor Intensity in Home Production (2010)
  • Author(s): 吉田雅敏・S.ターンブル
  • Organizer: 日本経済学会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉大学(千葉県)
  • Year and Date: 2010-06-05