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韓国における市場参加者のヘテロジーニアスな期待と為替レートの動き

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21530237
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Applied economics
Research InstitutionWaseda University

Principal Investigator

BAAK Saangjoon  早稲田大学, 国際教養学術院, 教授 (30339923)

Project Period (FY) 2009 – 2011
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2011)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Keywords韓国 / 為替レート / ミスアラインメント / ヘテロジーニアスな期待 / 韓国の為替レート / 為替レートの変動性 / 韓国の貿易収支 / 中国の元の影響 / 中央銀行 / J-curve / S-curve / 貿易収支 / 日本の円
Research Abstract

As the first step, this research measures the misalignment of the Korean exchange rates. The estimation results using the quarterly data from 1982Q1 to 2009Q4 indicate that the actual exchange rate of the Korean won was substantially overvalued for the period from 2005Q1 to 2007Q4, and substantially undervalued for the period from 2008Q2 to 2009Q3.A heterogeneous expectation model was constructed to explain the misalignment. Even though it showed better performance than conventional models in explaining commodity price dynamics, and exchange rate dynamics, it could not explain the excessive volatility of the Korean won implying other explanatory variables are also needed.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2011 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (15 results)

All 2012 2011 2010

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (9 results)

  • [Journal Article] Measuring Misalignments in the Korean Exchange Rates2012

    • Author(s)
      Baak, S.
    • Journal Title

      ERINA Discussion Paper

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The impact of the Chinese Renminbi on Korean and Japanese Exports to the United States2011

    • Author(s)
      Baak, S.
    • Journal Title

      Korea and the World Economy

      Volume: vol.12, no.3 Pages: 425-455

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The impact of exchange rates on the Korean exports : Focusing the possibility of structural changes2011

    • Author(s)
      Baak, S.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Market Economy

      Volume: vol.40, no.1 Pages: 27-49

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The impact of the Chinese Renminbi on Korean and Japanese Exports to the United States2011

    • Author(s)
      SaangJoon Baak
    • Journal Title

      Korea and the World Economy

      Volume: vol.12,no.3 Pages: 425-455

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Measuring misalignments in the Korean exchange rate2011

    • Author(s)
      SaangJoon Baak
    • Journal Title

      ERINA Discussion Paper

      Volume: 1102e Pages: 1-20

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The Impact of Exchange Rates on the Korean Exports : Focusing the possibility of structural changes2011

    • Author(s)
      Baak, SaangJoon
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Market Economy

      Volume: 40 Pages: 27-49

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Expectation formation functions and price dynamics2012

    • Author(s)
      Baak, S.
    • Organizer
      Faculty of Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      Keio University of Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2012-05-11
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Expectation formation functions and price dynamics2011

    • Author(s)
      Baak, S.
    • Organizer
      Macroeconomics Workshop
    • Place of Presentation
      Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2011-10-13
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Measuring misalignments in the Korean exchange rate, Korea and the World Economy 10^<th> Conference2011

    • Author(s)
      Baak, S.
    • Organizer
      Claremont McKenna College
    • Place of Presentation
      USA
    • Year and Date
      2011-08-12
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Measuring misalignments in the Korean exchange rate2011

    • Author(s)
      SaangJoon Baak
    • Organizer
      Korea and the World Economy, 10th international conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Claremont (United States)
    • Year and Date
      2011-08-12
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Misalignments in the Korean Exchange Rates2011

    • Author(s)
      Baak, S.
    • Organizer
      21^<st> Annual Asia Business Conference, Ross School of Business
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Michigan, USA
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-29
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Misalignments in the Korean Exchange Rates2011

    • Author(s)
      SaangJoon Baak
    • Organizer
      21st Annual Asian Business Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Michigan(招待講演)
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-29
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exchange Rate Issues In Korea and East Asia2011

    • Organizer
      NCKS Colloquium Series, Nam Center for Korean Studies
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Michigan, Jan
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-26
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Exchange Rate Issues In Korean and East Asia2011

    • Author(s)
      SaangJoon Baak
    • Organizer
      NCKS Colloquium Series
    • Place of Presentation
      Nam Center for Korean Studies(招待講演)
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-26
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Measuring Misalignments in the Korean Exchange Rates2010

    • Author(s)
      SaangJoon Baak
    • Organizer
      Korean Association of International Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      Sungkyunkwan University, Korea
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-11
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2009-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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