| Project/Area Number |
21540129
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
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| Research Institution | Okayama University |
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Principal Investigator |
ISHIKAWA Hirofumi 岡山大学, 大学院・環境生命科学研究科, 教授 (00108101)
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| Research Collaborator |
MORIMOTO Tomoko 岡山大学, 大学院・環境学研究科
KONDO Saki 岡山大学, 大学院・環境生命科学研究科
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| Project Period (FY) |
2009 – 2012
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
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| Keywords | 新型インフルエンザ / 感染症数理モデル / 危機管理 / シミュレーション / ワクチン接種 / IBM モデル / 学級閉 / 札幌-福岡都市圏 / IBMモデル / 学級閉鎖 / 札幌、福岡都市圏 / 優先順位 / 小都市 / 札幌市 / 抗ウイルス薬 |
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| Research Abstract |
We constructed an IBM for the transmission of a novel influenza virus utilizing personal information on the basis of demographic data from Sapporo and Fukuoka Cities, thereby resulting in a more realistic model. We aimed d to investigate efficacies of somecontrol strategies such as vaccination, school closure, prophylaxis treatment ofanti-viral drugs, restraint and their combinations, and to evaluate vaccination strategies with regard to the impact of prioritization, coverage, and a delay inthe vaccination program against a novel influenza pandemic.
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