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Social effect analysis on securitization of risk and its optimal management from an engineering viewpoint

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21560066
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Engineering fundamentals
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

TANAKA Hiroaki  京都大学, 大学院・情報学研究科, 准教授 (90217068)

Project Period (FY) 2009 – 2012
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Keywordsリスク解析 / リスク証券化 / 確率モデル / 高速シミュレーション / 最適管理方策 / 確率微分方程式 / 確率制御
Research Abstract

In this study, we have theoretically discussed the effect of securitization of risks and optimal control of such risks including the effect of their securitization and risk managements. Our method is based upon extended stochastic systems having a very wide applicability for describing phenomena associated with objective risks. Further, we have developed a fast simulation scheme for quantifying risksand a method for optimal management of risks based upon the stochastic control theory, mainly from engineering viewpoints. Our basic approach has been applied to some practical problems to demonstrate the efficiency of our study .

Report

(5 results)
  • 2012 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (30 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

All Journal Article (18 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 18 results) Presentation (12 results)

  • [Journal Article] Probabilistic Model for Damage Accumulation in Concrete Tunnel Lining using Inspection Data2013

    • Author(s)
      A. Sutoh, O. Maruyama, Hiroaki Tanaka, T. Satoh and H. Nishi
    • Journal Title

      SAFETY, ELIABILITY AND RISK OF STRUCTURES, INFRASTRUCTURES AND ENGINEERING SYSTEMS (Proc. of ICOSSAR 2013)

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Stochastic Model for Deterioration Process of Tunnel Lining Concrete in Cold Regions2013

    • Author(s)
      O. Maruyama, A. Sutoh, Hiroaki Tanaka, T. Satoh and H. Nishi
    • Journal Title

      SAFETY, ELIABILITY AND RISK OF STRUCTURES, INFRASTRUCTURES AND ENGINEERING SYSTEMS (Proc. of ICOSSAR 2013)

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Control of Maintenance Strategies Including Repairs and Reinforcements for Concrete Tunnel Lining2013

    • Author(s)
      Hiroaki Tanaka, O. Maruyama, A. Sutoh, T. Satoh and H. Nishi
    • Journal Title

      SAFETY, ELIABILITY AND RISK OF STRUCTURES, INFRASTRUCTURES AND ENGINEERING SYSTEMS (Proc. of ICOSSAR 2013)

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Probabilistic Model for Damage Accumulation in Concrete Tunnel Lining using Inspection Data2013

    • Author(s)
      A. Sutoh
    • Journal Title

      SAFETY, RELIABILITY AND RISK OF STRUCTURES, INFRASTRUCTURES AND ENGINEERING SYSTEMS (Proc. of ICOSSAR 2013)

      Volume: 巻未定

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Stochastic Model for Deterioration Process of Tunnel Lining Concrete in Cold Regions2013

    • Author(s)
      O. Maruyama
    • Journal Title

      SAFETY, RELIABILITY AND RISK OF STRUCTURES, INFRASTRUCTURES AND ENGINEERING SYSTEMS (Proc. of ICOSSAR 2013)

      Volume: 巻未定

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Control of Maintenance Strategies Including Repairs and Reinforcements for Concrete Tunnel Lining2013

    • Author(s)
      H. Tanaka
    • Journal Title

      SAFETY, RELIABILITY AND RISK OF STRUCTURES, INFRASTRUCTURES AND ENGINEERING SYSTEMS (Proc. of ICOSSAR 2013)

      Volume: 巻未定

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Stochastic Prediction Model of Degrading Process for Tunnel Management Systems2012

    • Author(s)
      O. Maruyama, A. Sutoh, Hiroaki Tanakaand T. Satoh
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of IALCCE 2012

      Pages: 491-496

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Stochastic Prediction Model of Degrading Process for Tunnel Management Systems2012

    • Author(s)
      O. Maruyama
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of IALCCE 2012, CD-ROM

      Volume: No volume number Pages: 491-496

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Probabilistic Model for Damage Accumulation in Concrete Tunnel Lining and its Application to Optimal Repair Strategy2011

    • Author(s)
      Hiroaki Tanaka, O. Maruyama and A. Sutoh
    • Journal Title

      Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering

      Volume: 11 Pages: 2368-2375

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Levy 過程に対する確率測度変換とその高速モンテカルロスキームへの応用2011

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明
    • Journal Title

      構造物の安全性および信頼性(第7回構造物の安全性および信頼性に関する国内シンポジウム(JCOSSAR 2011) CD-ROM 論文集

      Volume: Vol.7 Pages: 677-683

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] トンネル覆工コンクリートの確率的予測モデルの構築2011

    • Author(s)
      丸山 収,須藤 敦, 田中泰明,佐藤 京,西 弘明
    • Journal Title

      構造物の安全性および信頼性(第7回構造物の安全性および信頼性に関する国内シンポジウム(JCOSSAR 2011) CD-ROM 論文集)

      Volume: Vol.7 Pages: 204-209

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Probabilistic Model for Damage Accumulation in Concrete Tunnel Lining and its Application to Optimal Repair Strategy2011

    • Author(s)
      Hiroaki Tanaka, Osamu Maruyama, Atsushi Stoh
    • Journal Title

      Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (Proc.of ICASP 11)

      Volume: (CD-ROM) Pages: 2368-2375

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Levy過程に対する確率測度変換とその高速モンテカルロスキームへの応用2011

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明
    • Journal Title

      構造物の安全性および信頼性(JCOSSAR 2011論文集)

      Volume: 7 Pages: 677-683

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 確率制御によるコンクリート覆工の最適補修方策の理論的考察2011

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明, 丸山収, 須藤敦, 佐藤京, 西弘明
    • Journal Title

      構造物の安全性および信頼性(JCOSSAR 2011論文集)

      Volume: 7 Pages: 210-217

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] トンネル覆工コンクリートの確率的予測モデルの構築2011

    • Author(s)
      丸山収,須藤敦, 田中泰明, 佐藤京, 西弘明
    • Journal Title

      構造物の安全性および信頼性(JCOSSAR 2011論文集)

      Volume: 7 Pages: 204-209

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Probabilistic Model for Damage Accumulation in Concrete Tunnel Lining and its Application to Optimal Repair Strategy2011

    • Author(s)
      Hiroaki Tanaka, Osamu Maruyama, Atsushi Sutoh
    • Journal Title

      Applications of Statistics and Probability (Proc.of ICASP 2011)

      Volume: (CD-ROM 掲載確定)

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Importance Sampling for Nonlinear Oscillating Systems driven by Stationary Noise Using a Probability Measure Transformation2010

    • Author(s)
      Hiroaki Tanaka and Jun Ogawa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of System Design and Dynamics (JSME)

      Volume: Vol. 4, No.3 Pages: 524-537

    • NAID

      130000257134

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Importance Samping for Nonlinear Oscillting Systems Driven by Stationary Noise Using a Probablity Measure Transformation2010

    • Author(s)
      Hiroaki Tanaka, Jun Ogawa
    • Journal Title

      JSME Technical Journal, J.of System Design and Dynamics Vol.4, No.3(掲載決定済)

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 地域特性を考慮した寒冷地のトンネル覆工コンクリートの劣化予測2013

    • Author(s)
      丸山 収,須藤敦史,田中泰明
    • Organizer
      第62回理論応用力学講演会
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] トンネル覆工コンクリート損傷度成長に対する複合 Poisson モデル2013

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明,丸山 収,須藤敦史
    • Organizer
      第62回理論応用力学講演会
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地域特性を考慮した寒冷地のトンネル覆工コンクリートの劣化予測2013

    • Author(s)
      丸山 収
    • Organizer
      第62回理論応用力学講演会 論文NO. OS11-04
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学,東京都
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地域特性を考慮した寒冷地のトンネル覆工コンクリートの劣化予測トンネル覆工コンクリート損傷度成長に対する複合Poissonモデル2013

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明
    • Organizer
      第62回理論応用力学講演会 論文NO. OS11-05
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学,東京都
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 非線形耐震応答解析に対する高速シミュレーションスキーム2011

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明
    • Organizer
      第60回理論応用力学講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-08
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2つのトランシェから構成されるMBSの信用補完について2011

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明
    • Organizer
      日本応用数理学会2011年研究部会連合発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      電気通信大学(調布市)
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-07
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 非線形耐震応答解析に対する高速シミュレーションスキーム2011

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明
    • Organizer
      第60回理論応用力学講演会講演論文集
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2 段階確率測度変換を用いたCDS プレミアムのシミュレーション解析2010

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明
    • Organizer
      第59回理論応用力学講演会講演論文集
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高速モンテカルロ法によるCDS価格の数値評価2009

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明, 中西孝雄
    • Organizer
      第58回理論応用力学講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      日本学術会議
    • Year and Date
      2009-06-10
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 再保険契約下での保険会社の最適戦略について2009

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明, 小山昴佑
    • Organizer
      第58回理論応用力学講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      日本学術会議
    • Year and Date
      2009-06-10
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高速モンテカルロ法による CDS 価格の数値評価2009

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明,中西孝雄
    • Organizer
      第58回理論応用力学講演会講演論文集
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 再保険契約下での保険会社の最適戦略について2009

    • Author(s)
      田中泰明,小山昴佑
    • Organizer
      第58回理論応用力学講演会論文集
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report

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Published: 2009-04-01   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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