| Project/Area Number |
21710145
|
|---|
| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
|
| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
|---|
| Research Field |
Social systems engineering/Safety system
|
|---|
| Research Institution | Chiba Institute of Technology |
|---|
Principal Investigator |
TAKASHIMA Ryuta 千葉工業大学, 社会システム科学部, 助教 (50401138)
|
|---|
| Project Period (FY) |
2009 – 2011
|
| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2011)
|
| Budget Amount *help |
¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
|
|---|
| Keywords | リプレース / 廃止措置 / 設備更新 / 新規設置 / 意思決定の選択 / 売電価格 / 不確実性 / リアルオプション / 原子力発電 / 経年化 / 基本モデル / 最適意思決定基準 |
|---|
| Research Abstract |
In this study, we developed an economic evaluation model for projects of nuclear power replacements in a framework with respect to a theory of investment decision under uncertainty. We showed how uncertainties affect a decommissioning time for existing plant and an installation one for new plant. In addition, it turned out that as uncertainties become large, opportunities of dismantling and refurbishment decrease and an opportunity of replacement increases.
|
