Empirical Analysis of labor market conditions in youth and affected cohorts' fertility and marriage rates

• Project/Area Number: 21830056
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Research Field: Applied economics
• Research Institution: Osaka University
• Principal Investigator: KONDO Ayako Osaka University, 社会経済研究所, 講師 (20551055)
• Project Period (FY): 2009 – 2010
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2010)
• Budget Amount: ¥2,366,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,820,000、Indirect Cost: ¥546,000); Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,248,000 (Direct Cost: ¥960,000、Indirect Cost: ¥288,000); Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,118,000 (Direct Cost: ¥860,000、Indirect Cost: ¥258,000)
• Keywords: 労働経済学 / 人口経済学 / 出生率 / 既婚率 / 失業率

Research Abstract

This study aims to examine how each cohort's family formation is affected by labor market conditions experienced in youth in Japan. We estimate the effects of regional unemployment rates in the year of entry to the labor market and the year prior to the time of observation on fertility and marriage and find the following. High school-educated women who experienced a recession while entering the labor market are less likely to have children and tend to marry later. In contrast, a recession rather increases fertility among college-educated women. The overall impact of labor market conditions experienced in youth on family formation is relatively weak.

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Gender Specific Labor Market Conditions and Family Formation (2011)
  • Author(s): Ayako Kondo
  • Journal Title: Journal of Population Economics
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Long-term effects of a recession at labor market entry in Japan and the United States (2010)
  • Author(s): Yuji Genda, Ayako Kondo, Souichi Ohta
  • Journal Title: Journal of Human Resources 45(1) Pages: 157-196
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Presentation] Long-term effects of labor market conditions on family formation for Japanese youth (2010)
  • Author(s): Ayako Kondo
  • Organizer: Asian Conference of Applied Microeconometrics
  • Place of Presentation: 東京プリンスホテル
  • Year and Date: 2010-11-05
• [Presentation] Long-term effects of labor market conditions on family formation for Japanese youth (2010)
  • Author(s): 近藤絢子
  • Organizer: Asian Conference of Applied Microeconometrics
  • Place of Presentation: 東京プリンスホテル(東京)(招待講演)
  • Year and Date: 2010-11-05
• [Presentation] Long-term effects of labor market conditions on family formation for Japanese youth (2010)
  • Author(s): Ayako Kondo
  • Organizer: NBER Japan Project Meeting
  • Place of Presentation: アジア開発銀行(東京)
  • Year and Date: 2010-06-26
• [Presentation] Long-term effects oflabor market conditions on family formation for Japanese youth (2010)
  • Author(s): Ayako Kondo
  • Organizer: 日本経済学会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉大学
  • Year and Date: 2010-06-05
• [Presentation] Long-term effects of labor market conditions on family formation for Japanese youth (2010)
  • Author(s): 近藤絢子
  • Organizer: 日本経済学会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉大学(千葉)
  • Year and Date: 2010-06-05
• [Presentation] Female Labor Market Conditions and Family Formation (2009)
  • Author(s): Ayako Kondo
  • Organizer: Asian Conference of Applied Microeconomics and Econometrics
  • Place of Presentation: 高麗大学(韓国)
  • Year and Date: 2009-11-07
• [Presentation] Female Labor Market Conditions and Family Formation (2009)
  • Author(s): Ayako Kondo
  • Organizer: Econometric Society Far Eastern Meeting
  • Place of Presentation: 東京大学
  • Year and Date: 2009-08-05
• [Presentation] Female Labor Market Conditions and Family Formation (2009)
  • Author(s): Ayako Kondo
  • Organizer: ZEW Summer Workshop
  • Place of Presentation: ZEW(ドイツ)
  • Year and Date: 2009-07-15
• [Presentation] Female Labor Market Conditions and Family Formation (2009)
  • Author(s): Ayako Kondo
  • Organizer: European Society for Population Economics
  • Place of Presentation: Seville(スペイン)
  • Year and Date: 2009-06-11
• [Presentation] Female Labor Market Conditions and Family Formation (2009)
  • Author(s): Ayako Kondo
  • Organizer: Society of Labor Economists
  • Place of Presentation: Royal Sonesta Boston(アメリカ)
  • Year and Date: 2009-05-09