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A Bayesian approach to the program evaluation of infrastructures

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21830115
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionNational Institute for Environmental Studies

Principal Investigator

MIYAWAKI Koji  National Institute for Environmental Studies, 社会環境システム研究領域, NIESポスドクフェロー (40550249)

Project Period (FY) 2009 – 2010
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2010)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,639,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,030,000、Indirect Cost: ¥609,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,248,000 (Direct Cost: ¥960,000、Indirect Cost: ¥288,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,391,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,070,000、Indirect Cost: ¥321,000)
Keywords経済統計学
Research Abstract

Regarding the estimation of the residential gas demand function under decreasing block rate pricing, I elaborated a Bayesian estimation method for the exact economic model. Obtained results are collected in an article, which is registered as the discussion paper and is submitted for possible publication to the refereed journal. Next, regarding the program evaluation of the main line railroad, I developed a new statistical model that extends the classical model for the treatment effect. For this model, I constructed a Bayesian estimation method, which is checked by numerical examples. I also applied the model and the method to the empirical analysis of the high-speed railway line in Kyushu.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2010 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2010 2009

All Journal Article (3 results) Presentation (10 results)

  • [Journal Article] Discrete/Continuous Choice Model of the Residential Gas Demand on the Nonconvex Budget Set2010

    • Author(s)
      Miyawaki K., Y.Omori, A.Hibik,i
    • Journal Title

      CIRJE Discussion Paper Series

    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Panel data analysis of Japanese residential water demand using a discrete/continuous choice approach.2010

    • Author(s)
      Miyawaki, K., Y.Omori, A.Hibiki
    • Journal Title

      CIRJE Discussion Paper Series

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report 2010 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Discrete/Continuous Choice Model of the Residential Gas Demand on the Nonconvex Budget Set2010

    • Author(s)
      Miyawaki, K., Y.Omori, A.Hibiki
    • Journal Title

      CIRJE Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: CIRJE-F-770

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand on thenonconvex budget set2010

    • Author(s)
      宮脇幸治
    • Organizer
      2010年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-07
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand on the nonconvex budget set2010

    • Author(s)
      Koji Miyawaki
    • Organizer
      2010年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-07
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand on the nonconvex budget set2010

    • Author(s)
      宮脇幸治
    • Organizer
      A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand on the nonconvex budget set
    • Place of Presentation
      Gran Hotel Bali
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-05
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand on the nonconvex budget set2010

    • Author(s)
      Koji Miyawaki
    • Organizer
      9th Valencia & 2010 ISBA Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Gran Hotel Bali
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-05
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand on the nonconvex budget set2010

    • Author(s)
      宮脇幸治
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-02-04
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand on the nonconvex budget set2010

    • Author(s)
      宮脇幸治
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2010-02-04
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand function with nonlinear indirect utility2009

    • Author(s)
      宮脇幸治
    • Organizer
      MCMCの経済データへの応用
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-15
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand function with nonlinear indirect utility2009

    • Author(s)
      宮脇幸治
    • Organizer
      MCMCの経済データへの応用
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-15
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand function with nonlinear indirect utility2009

    • Author(s)
      宮脇幸治
    • Organizer
      2009年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      同志社大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-08
    • Related Report
      2010 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Bayesian estimation of the residential gas demand function with nonlinear indirect utility2009

    • Author(s)
      宮脇幸治
    • Organizer
      2009年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      同志社大学(京都府)
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-08
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2009-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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