| Project/Area Number |
21K13263
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Review Section |
Basic Section 07010:Economic theory-related
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| Research Institution | Waseda University |
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Principal Investigator |
劉 水歌 早稲田大学, 政治経済学術院, その他(招聘研究員) (80779083)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2021-04-01 – 2023-03-31
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2025: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
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| Keywords | Game theory / Political economy / computational model / Epistemic game theory / epistemic game theory / quantal equilibrium / political economy / Game Theory / testable models |
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| Outline of Research at the Start |
The standard game theory is a powerful tool for understanding the function of the society. Yet it lacks a substantive foundation. Epistemic game theory provides a cognitive basis for behavior. This research attempts to give EGT testable models, which could enhance its applicability.
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| Outline of Annual Research Achievements |
First, the year’s plan is on progress according to the plan: I and Fabio Maccheroni (Bocconi U) had finished a paper on the epistemic foundation for quantal equilibrium, which provides an empirically testable property of population behavior. We have submitted the paper.
Second, Tomoo Kikuchi (Waseda U) and I had finished the paper on hegemony and competition between superpowers based on which a data simulation could be run and predictions bout paradigm shift could be made. The study of paradigm shift is rare in the literature but urgently relevant, providing huge rooms for integrating various models (including epistemic GT). We have submitted the paper. We are now extending the model into dominant currency shift.
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