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A Nationwide Health Risk Assessment of PM2.5 Exposure by Examining the Regional Concentrations-Response Relations in a Population-Based Epidemiological Study in Japan

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21K17894
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 63040:Environmental impact assessment-related
Research InstitutionUniversity of Tsukuba

Principal Investigator

Kim SatbyulEstella  筑波大学, 体育系, 助教 (70870963)

Project Period (FY) 2021-04-01 – 2025-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Keywordsair pollution / particulate matter / health risk / mortality / time series study
Outline of Research at the Start

As the association varies across study locations, regional evidence is crucial to obtain accurate information and thereby better protect the population. This study focuses on such aspects of Japan using nationwide data covering all 47 prefectures with advanced flexible modeling strategies.

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

n FY2023, we conducted an extensive regional mortality risk assessment, building on the foundational findings from FY2022. This assessment focused on understanding the impact of PM2.5 exposure on mortality risk across various prefectures. By leveraging local estimates, we were able to create maps that visually explore and highlight the observed variations in mortality risk associated with PM2.5. These maps served to illustrate the spatial dynamics and magnitude of the risk, providing a representation of how different regions are affected. To further enhance our understanding and identify specific age groups that are more susceptible to PM2.5 exposure, we undertook a population-based, age-stratified investigation. By stratifying the data by age, we were able to discern patterns and trends that may not have been apparent in a more generalized analysis.
By identifying high-risk areas and vulnerable populations, resources can be better allocated, and targeted interventions can be developed to mitigate the adverse health effects of PM2.5 exposure.

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

3: Progress in research has been slightly delayed.

Reason

The research project experienced a slight delay in FY2023 due to maternity and childcare leaves. Consequently, an extension of one year was approved, and the completion of the research is now anticipated in FY2024.

Strategy for Future Research Activity

In FY2024, we plan to conduct univariate meta-regression analyses on various variables that serve as meta-predictors, to identify potential effect modifiers according to the proposed research plan. Finally, we aim to compile the results, finalize the draft, and submit it to an international peer-reviewed journal.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2023 Research-status Report
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (21 results)

All 2024 2023 2022 2021

All Journal Article (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 9 results,  Peer Reviewed: 9 results,  Open Access: 7 results) Presentation (12 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 10 results)

  • [Journal Article] The overlooked health impacts of extreme rainfall exposure in 30 East Asian cities2024

    • Author(s)
      He Cheng、Kim Ho、Hashizume Masahiro、Lee Whanhee、Honda Yasushi、Kim Satbyul Estella、Guo Yue Leon、Schneider Alexandra、Zhu Yixiang、Zhou Lu、Chen Renjie、Kan Haidong
    • Journal Title

      Nature Sustainability

      Volume: 7 Issue: 4 Pages: 423-431

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41893-024-01294-x

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Mortality Risk of Hot Nights: A Nationwide Population-Based Retrospective Study in Japan2023

    • Author(s)
      Kim Satbyul Estella、Hashizume Masahiro、Armstrong Ben、Gasparrini Antonio、Oka Kazutaka、Hijioka Yasuaki、Vicedo-Cabrera Ana M.、Honda Yasushi
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Health Perspectives

      Volume: 131(5) Issue: 5 Pages: 57005-57005

    • DOI

      10.1289/ehp11444

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Tropical cyclone and daily respiratory mortality across East Asia: a time series study2023

    • Author(s)
      He Cheng、Chen Renjie、Kim Ho、Hashizume Masahiro、Lee Whanhee、Honda Yasushi、Kim Satbyul Estella、Guo Yue Leon、Schneider Alexandra、Ge Wenzhen、Zhu Yixiang、Zhou Lu、Kan Haidong
    • Journal Title

      European Respiratory Journal

      Volume: 62 Issue: 1 Pages: 2300546-2300546

    • DOI

      10.1183/13993003.00546-2023

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Positive Association of Aggression with AmbientTemperature2023

    • Author(s)
      Kim Satbyul Estella、Kim Yoonhee、Hashizume Masahiro、Honda Yasushi、Kazutaka Oka、Hijioka Yasuaki、Kim Ho
    • Journal Title

      The Yale Journal of Biology and Medicine

      Volume: 96 Issue: 2 Pages: 189-196

    • DOI

      10.59249/rxzx5728

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Long-term trends in mortality risk associated with short-term exposure to air pollution in 10 Japanese cities between 1977 and 20152023

    • Author(s)
      Nishikawa Hironori、Seposo Xerxes Tesoro、Madaniyazi Lina、Kim Yoonhee、Tobias Aurelio、Yamagami Makiko、Kim Satbyul Estella、Takami Akinori、Sugata Seiji、Honda Yasushi、Ueda Kayo、Hashizume Masahiro、Ng Chris Fook Sheng
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Research

      Volume: 219 Pages: 115108-115108

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.envres.2022.115108

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] PM2.5 concentration declining saves health expenditure in China2023

    • Author(s)
      Xie Yang、Zhong Hua、Weng Zhixiong、Guo Xinbiao、Kim Satbyul Estella、Wu Shaowei
    • Journal Title

      Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering

      Volume: 17 Issue: 7 Pages: 90-90

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11783-023-1690-4

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The effects of night-time warming on mortality burden under future climate change scenarios: a modelling study2022

    • Author(s)
      He Cheng、Kim Ho、Hashizume Masahiro、Lee Whanhee、Honda Yasushi、Kim Satbyul Estella、Kinney Patrick L、Schneider Alexandra、Zhang Yuqiang、Zhu Yixiang、Zhou Lu、Chen Renjie、Kan Haidong
    • Journal Title

      The Lancet Planetary Health

      Volume: 6 Issue: 8 Pages: e648-e657

    • DOI

      10.1016/s2542-5196(22)00139-5

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Air Pollution and Public Bike-Sharing System Ridership in the Context of Sustainable Development Goals2022

    • Author(s)
      Park Jooho、Honda Yasushi、Fujii Sayaka、Kim Satbyul Estella
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability

      Volume: 14 Issue: 7 Pages: 3861-3861

    • DOI

      10.3390/su14073861

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Ambient Temperature and External Causes of Death in Japan from 1979 to 2015: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Analysis2022

    • Author(s)
      Pan Rui、Honda Yasushi、Minakuchi Emiko、Kim Satbyul Estella、Hashizume Masahiro、Kim Yoonhee
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Health Perspectives

      Volume: 130 Issue: 4 Pages: 047004-047004

    • DOI

      10.1289/ehp9943

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Seasonal Variations in Mortality Risk Associated with Ozone Concentrations in Tokyo, Japan2023

    • Author(s)
      Satbyul Estella Kim, Yasushi Honda, Masahiro Hashizume, Chris Fook Sheng Ng, Oka Kazutaka, Tatsuya Nagashima
    • Organizer
      International Society for Environmental Epidemiology (ISEE)
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Mortality risk of hot nights in Japan2023

    • Author(s)
      Satbyul Estella Kim, Masahiro Hashizume, Ben Armstrong, Antonio Gasparrini, Kazutaka Oka, Yasuaki Hijioka, Ana M.Vicedo Cabrera, Yasushi Honda
    • Organizer
      International Society for Environmental Epidemiology (ISEE)
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Asian dust and daily mortality in East Asian cities: analysis using the European Union Reference Method for decomposing PM102023

    • Author(s)
      Chris Fook Sheng Ng, Aurelio Tobias, Jorge Pey, Sara Basart, Massimo Stafoggia, Satbyul Estella Kim, Xerxes Seposo, Lina Madaniyazi, Ho Kim, Haidong Kan, Shih-Chun Pan, Yue-liang Leon Guo, Xavier Quero, Masahiro Hashizume
    • Organizer
      International Society for Environmental Epidemiology (ISEE)
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Effects of hot nights on mortality in S. Korea2023

    • Author(s)
      Satbyul Estella Kim, Ho Kim
    • Organizer
      Fall Conference of The Korean Society of Climate Change Research
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Short-term Effects of Ozone on the Mortality and Effect Modification by Temperature in Japan2023

    • Author(s)
      Satbyul Estella Estella Kim, Yasushi Honda, Chris Fook Sheng Ng, Kazutaka Oka, Tatsuya Nagashima and Masahiro Hashizume
    • Organizer
      The American Geophysical Union (AGU), Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Spatial heterogeneity and the area-specific predictors in the association between particulate matter air pollution and mortality in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Satbyul Estella Kim, Yasushi Honda, Masahiro Hashizume, Chris Fook Sheng Ng, Tatsuya Nagashima, Kazutaka Oka, Yasuaki Hijioka
    • Organizer
      The American Geophysical Union (AGU), Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Investigating the Regional Concentrations-Response Relations between PM2.5 and daily mortality in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Satbyul Estella Kim, Yasushi Honda, Masahiro Hashizume, Chris Fook Sheng Ng , Kazutaka Oka, Tatsuya Nagashima, Yasuaki Hijioka
    • Organizer
      International Society for Environmental Epidemiology (ISEE)
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Ambient Particulate Air Pollution and Premature Mortality in Two Asian Megacities2022

    • Author(s)
      Satbyul Estella Kim, Yasushi Honda, Masahiro Hashizume, Chris Fook Sheng Ng, Kazutaka Oka, Yasuaki Hijioka, Tatsuya Nagashima, Ho Kim
    • Organizer
      The Pacific Basin Consortium for Environment and Health
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Long-term trends in mortality risks associated with short-term exposure to air pollution in 10 Japanese cities between 1977 and 20152022

    • Author(s)
      Hironori Nishikawa, Xerxes Tesoro Seposo, Lina Madaniyazi, Yoonhee Kim, Aurelio Tobias, Makiko Yamagami, Satbyul Estella Kim, Akinori Takami, Seiji Sugata, Yasushi Honda, Kayo Ueda, Masahiro Hashizume, Chris Fook Sheng Ng
    • Organizer
      International Society for Environmental Epidemiology (ISEE)
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Temporal changes in the short-term association between ambient air pollution and mortality in 10 major cities in Japan from 1977 to 20152021

    • Author(s)
      Hironori Nishikawa, Xerxes Tesoro Seposo, Lina Madaniyazi, Makiko Yamagami, Kayo Ueda, Masahiro Hashizume, Yoonhee Kim, Yasushi Honda, Satbyul Estella Kim, Seiji Sugata, Akinori Takami, Chris Fook Sheng Ng
    • Organizer
      The 62nd Annual Meeting of Japan Society for Atmospheric Environment
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Ambient temperature and injury-related deaths in Japan from 1979 to 20152021

    • Author(s)
      Pan Rui、Honda Yasushi、Minakuchi Emiko、Kim Satbyul Estella、Hashizume Masahiro、Kim Yoonhee
    • Organizer
      International Society for Environmental Epidemiology (ISEE)
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Investigating the Association between Ambient Temperature and Aggression2021

    • Author(s)
      Kim Satbyul Estella, Honda Yasushi, Hashizume Masahiro, Kim Yoonhee, Hijioka Yasuaki, Kim Ho
    • Organizer
      The American Geophysical Union (AGU), Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2021-04-28   Modified: 2024-12-25  

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