| Project/Area Number |
21K17926
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Review Section |
Basic Section 64060:Environmental policy and social systems-related
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| Research Institution | The University of Tokyo (2022-2023)
Hiroshima University (2021) |
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Principal Investigator |
Zhang Runsen 東京大学, 大学院新領域創成科学研究科, 准教授 (50785235)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2021-04-01 – 2024-03-31
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
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| Keywords | transport sector / decarbonization / post-COVID / new normal / pathway / transport model / energy system model / scenario / post-pandemic / lifestyle / mobility / implication / transport / model coupling / integrated methodology |
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| Outline of Research at the Start |
The COVID-19 crisis may create both unprecedented opportunities and challenges for the decarbonization of transport sector. This project aims to develop an integrated methodology to couple a transport model with an energy system model for low-carbon transport policymaking in the post-COVID world.
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
This study is aimed at developing an integrated methodology to couple a transport model with an energy system model to depict the dynamics of transport demand, energy consumption, and CO2 emissions in the post-COVID world. Scenario simulations were conducted to explore long-term pathways toward a deep decarbonization of the transport sector in the context of the post-pandemic new normal. The simulation results showed that CO2 emissions could be significantly reduced by lifestyle changes in a post-pandemic world, while the reduction potential would be partially offset by the negative effects stemming from travel behavioral changes. Moreover, regional disparities in the emission reduction potentials imply that transport decarbonization requires region-specific policy packages.
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| Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements |
本研究の学術的意義はポストコロナの新常態から生じる前例のない課題と機会を考慮しつつ、エネルギーに焦点を当てた交通動態の分析方法を開発することにある。本研究の貢献は、理論的、方法論的、応用的な発展を提供するために、交通、エネルギー、気候変動という複数の研究分野に基づく学際的な研究枠組みを構築することである。さらに、研究成果は、政策立案者に対し、長期的な影響の全体像をより精緻に提供するとともに、コロナ危機がもたらす機会を活用し、運輸部門の脱炭素化に向けた動きを促すものである。
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