| Project/Area Number |
21KK0022
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| Research Category |
Fund for the Promotion of Joint International Research (Fostering Joint International Research (B))
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Review Section |
Medium-sized Section 6:Political science and related fields
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| Research Institution | Waseda University |
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Principal Investigator |
Kellam Marisa.A 早稲田大学, 政治経済学術院, 准教授 (30711866)
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
粕谷 祐子 慶應義塾大学, 法学部(三田), 教授 (50383972)
渡辺 綾 独立行政法人日本貿易振興機構アジア経済研究所, 地域研究センター動向分析研究グループ, 研究員 (30880455)
稲田 奏 東京都立大学, 法学政治学研究科, 准教授 (10822207)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2021-10-07 – 2026-03-31
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| Project Status |
Granted (Fiscal Year 2024)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥17,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2025: ¥260,000 (Direct Cost: ¥200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥60,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥3,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥780,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥8,190,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,890,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
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| Keywords | Comparative Politics / Democratic Backsliding / Leader Survival / Elections / Polarization / Political Institutions / Democracy / Political Parties / Protest / Accountability / Clientelism / Populism / Developing Countries / Democratic backsliding / Clientalism |
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| Outline of Research at the Start |
いわゆるモリカケ事件、黒川検事長事件、日本学術会議への政府与党による政治介入など多くの局面で民主的規範への挑戦が続いている。これは日本独自の問題ではなく、世界各地で頻発している。ハンガリーやポーランドではポピュリスト政党が台頭し、アメリカではトランプ大統領による民主主義への攻撃が横行し、ミャンマーでは軍事クーデタが市民虐殺に発展し、政権反対派や宗教的少数派に対する弾圧はトルコ、インド、ロシアで常態化し、ジャーナリストや人権活動家に対する攻撃はフィリピン、メキシコ、ベネズエラ、ベラルーシなどで起きている。これら民主主義の後退と呼ばれる現象の原因や条件を明らかにし、民主主義の学術的基盤を構築する。
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| Outline of Annual Research Achievements |
This project aims to understand how democracy evolves over time in different countries around the world, with a particular emphasis on the comparison of democratic change in Latin America and East Asia. We approach this goal through quantitative data analysis of global patterns as well as through analysis of political institutions and outcomes in specific countries. Thus far, the project has produced several publications and conference papers. Also, members of the research team presented working papers at academic conferences in Japan and overseas. The project co-hosted a workshop on “Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law in Southeast Asia” at Stanford University and another international workshop is planned for 2025.
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| Current Status of Research Progress |
Current Status of Research Progress
2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.
Reason
The researchers are working on both collaborative and individual research projects. This research will be presented at international political science conferences in 2025. The project will also co-host an international symposium on political polarization and democratic backsliding during FY2025.
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| Strategy for Future Research Activity |
The project continues with an empirical analysis of how executives, especially those who have engaged in democratic backsliding, are removed from office in Latin America and Asia. In our cross-regional analysis, we examine whether democratic backsliding makes incumbent removal less likely overall, and how it affects the chances of electoral removal, institutional removal and non-institutional removal. We employ statistical models to analyze these competing events. The data analysis is nearly finished, and we will soon turn to the write-up of our findings.
In addition to this collaborative paper, the members of the research term continue to work on individual projects that are related to the theme of democratic regress, resilience and renewal in Latin America and Asia.
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