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Statistical prediction, causation, incomplete data analysis and foundation of sciencee

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22300096
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionOsaka University

Principal Investigator

KANO YUTAKA  大阪大学, 基礎工学研究科, 教授 (20201436)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) DEGUCHI Yasuo  京都大学, 文学研究科, 准教授 (20314073)
WASHIO Takashi  大阪大学, 産業科学研究所, 教授 (00192815)
HAMAZAKI Toshimitsu  大阪大学, 医学系研究科, 准教授 (40379243)
TAKAGI Yoshiji  奈良教育大学, 教育学部, 准教授 (00231390)
SUGIMOTO Tomoyuki  弘前大学, 理工学研究科, 准教授 (70324829)
TAKAI Keiji  関西大学, 商学部, 准教授 (20572019)
Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) NAITO Kanta  島根大学, 総合理工学部, 教授 (80304252)
SHIMIZU Shohei  大阪大学, 産業科学研究所, 准教授 (10509871)
Research Collaborator KATAYAMA Shota  日本学術振興会, 特別研究員DC1
YAMAMOTO Michio  日本学術振興会, 特別研究員DC2
SONG Xinyuan  The Chinese University of Hong Kong, HK, Professor
JAMSHIDIAN Mortaza  California State University, Fullerton, USA Professor
HYVARINEN Aapo  University of Helsinki, Finland, Professor
YUAN Ke-hai  University of Notre Dame, USA, Professor
Project Period (FY) 2010-04-01 – 2014-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000)
Keywordsshared-parameter モデル / 統計的因果推論 / 無視できない欠測 / NMAR / LiNGAM / 潜在交絡変数 / 2重中途打ち切り / 因果と予測 / 高次元データ / 大量欠測 / 潜在変数モデル / 人口データ解析 / 統計教育 / 無視可能性 / 欠測値問題とMAR / 補助変数 / 交絡変数 / リスク / ランダムな欠測 / 因果と欠測 / NMARness / Approximate Population Bias / ベイズ推測 / 推定方程式の不偏性 / 強い意味で無視可能
Research Abstract

Analysis of incomplete data has been troublesome both theoretically and practically. In particular nonignorable missingness has been a serious issue in statistics. An alternative perspective of the theory of missing data analysis is to provide an insightful view of statistical causal inference. Some notable research outcomes include development of the analysis of doubly censored data, a new method of exploring causal structure for data with latent confounders via the LiNGAM approach, incomplete data analysis with a shared-parameter model and development of the EM algorithm with constraints.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2013 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (39 results)

All 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Other

All Journal Article (20 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 19 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (15 results) (of which Invited: 1 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] ParceLiNGAM : A causal ordering method robust against latent confounders2014

    • Author(s)
      Tashiro, T., Shimizu, S., Hyvarinen, A. and Washio, T
    • Journal Title

      Neural Computation

      Volume: 26(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 57-83

    • DOI

      10.1162/neco_a_00533

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Sample size determination in group-sequential clinical trials with two co-primary endpoints2014

    • Author(s)
      Asakura, K., Hamasaki, T., Sugimoto, T., Hayashi, K., Evans, S., Sozu T
    • Journal Title

      Statistics in Medicine

      Volume: (First published online) Issue: 17 Pages: 2897-2913

    • DOI

      10.1002/sim.6154

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A new test on high-dimensional mean vector without any assumption on population covariance matrix2014

    • Author(s)
      Katayama, S. and Kano, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Effect of violation of the normal assumption on MI and ML estimators in the analysis of incomplete data2013

    • Author(s)
      Hojo, S., Yamamoto, M. and Kano, Y
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods

      Volume: (in press)

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic distributions of some test criteria for the mean vector with fewer observations than the dimension2013

    • Author(s)
      Shota Katayama (共著)
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Multivariate Analysis

      Volume: 116 Pages: 410-421

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jmva.2013.01.008

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report 2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Latent class models for medical diagnostic tests in multicenter trials2013

    • Author(s)
      Mori, J., Kano, Y., Yoshizaki, M. and Fukinbara, S
    • Journal Title

      Statistics in Medicine

      Volume: Vol. 32(29) Issue: 29 Pages: 5091-5105

    • DOI

      10.1002/sim.5962

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report 2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A two sample test in high dimensional data2013

    • Author(s)
      Muni S. Srivastaya (共著)
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Multivariate Analysis

      Volume: 114 Pages: 349-358

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jmva.2012.08.014

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic distribution of the nonparametric distribution estimator based on a martingale approach in doubly censored data2013

    • Author(s)
      Sugimoto, T
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics

      Volume: Vol. 65(5) Issue: 5 Pages: 859-888

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10463-012-0395-4

    • NAID

      40019817780

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] <b>ITEM RESPONSE THEORY USING A FINITE MIXTURE OF </b><b>LOGISTIC MODELS WITH ITEM-SPECIFIC MIXING </b><b>WEIGHTS </b>2013

    • Author(s)
      Mori, J. and Kano, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese Society of Computational Statistics

      Volume: 26 Issue: 1 Pages: 17-38

    • DOI

      10.5183/jjscs.1206001_199

    • NAID

      130004842779

    • ISSN
      0915-2350, 1881-1337
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A new test on high-dimensional mean vector without any assumption on population covariance matrix2013

    • Author(s)
      Katayama, S. and Kano, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Statistics Theory and Methods

      Volume: 未定

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic distributions of some test criteria for the mean vector with fewer observations than the dimension2013

    • Author(s)
      Katayama, S., Kano, Y. and Srivastava, M.S.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Multivariate Analysis

      Volume: 未定

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A new test on high-dimensional mean vector without any assumption on population covariance matrix2012

    • Author(s)
      Katayama, S. and Kano, Y
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods

      Volume: (in press)

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A criterion-based model comparison statistic for structural equation models with heterogeneous data2012

    • Author(s)
      Li, Y.-X., Kano, Y., Panc, J.-H. and Song, X.-Y
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Multivariate Analysis

      Volume: Vol. 112 Pages: 92-107

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jmva.2012.05.010

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Constrained EM algorithm with projection method2012

    • Author(s)
      Takai, K
    • Journal Title

      Computational Statistics

      Volume: 27 Issue: 4 Pages: 701-714

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00180-011-0285-x

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Effect of Violation of the Normal Assumption on MI and ML Estimators in the Analysis of Incomplete Data2012

    • Author(s)
      北條新太郎・山本倫生・狩野裕
    • Journal Title

      高次元データの推測理論の開発と応用

      Pages: 70-79

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Analysis of NMAR missing data without specifying missing-data mechanisms in a linear latent variate model2011

    • Author(s)
      Kano, Y. and Takai, K
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Multivariate Analysis

      Volume: Vol. 102 Issue: 9 Pages: 1241-1255

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jmva.2011.04.007

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] On characterization of second order asymptotic optimality under asymmetric loss functions : Loss coefficient vector and admissibility2010

    • Author(s)
      Takagi, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Statistics A : Theory and Methods

      Volume: 39 Pages: 1359-1372

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotics of likelihood ratio tests for general one-sided hypotheses in the two-sample normal model

    • Author(s)
      Takagi, Y
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods

      Volume: (in press), (掲載決定)

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic inference and missing data

    • Author(s)
      Takai, K., Kano, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods

      Volume: (accepted)(In press)

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A simple modification of the Box and Cox transformation to scale stability and invariance

    • Author(s)
      Hamasaki T, Sugimoto T, Kim S.Y.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese Society of Computational Statistics

      Volume: (印刷中)

    • NAID

      10030497138

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Approximate population bias and nonignorable missingness2013

    • Author(s)
      Kano, Y
    • Organizer
      An International Symposium on Incomplete Data Analysis and Causal Inference
    • Place of Presentation
      Osaka, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2013-09-22
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Latent class models for medical diagnostic tests in multicenter trials2013

    • Author(s)
      Mori, J. and Kano, Y
    • Organizer
      ISCB Conference 2013
    • Place of Presentation
      Munich, Germany
    • Year and Date
      2013-08-26
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Statistical inference in structural equation modeling with a near singular covariance matrix2012

    • Author(s)
      Kamada, A. and Kano, Y
    • Organizer
      IMS-APRM2012
    • Place of Presentation
      Tsukuba, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2012-07-04
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] NMARness and approximate population bias of the direct MLE in the analysis of missing data2012

    • Author(s)
      Kano, Y
    • Organizer
      IMS-APRM2012
    • Place of Presentation
      Tsukuba, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2012-07-03
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] NMARness and Approximate Population Bias of the Direct MLE In the Analysis of Mining Data2012

    • Author(s)
      Yutaka Kano
    • Organizer
      2nd IMS-APRM
    • Place of Presentation
      つくば国際会議場(茨城県)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Effect of unlabeled data and labeling strategy on error rate in discriminant analysis2011

    • Author(s)
      Takai, K. and Hayashi, K
    • Organizer
      The Joint Meeting of 7th Conference of the Asian Regional Section of the International Association for Statistical Computing and 2011 Taipei International Statistical Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Year and Date
      2011-12-18
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Bias of the Direct MLE for NMAR Missingness : Theoretical Approach2011

    • Author(s)
      Kano, Y.
    • Organizer
      IMPS2011
    • Place of Presentation
      Hong Kong Institute of Education, Hong Kong(招待講演)
    • Year and Date
      2011-07-19
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 多変量欠測値問題:NMARneseとMLEのバイアス2011

    • Author(s)
      狩野裕
    • Organizer
      科学研究費シンポジウム「高次元データの推測理論の開発と応用」
    • Place of Presentation
      創価大学(招待講演)
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-29
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 適合と欠測2010

    • Author(s)
      狩野裕
    • Organizer
      日本心理学会 第74回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学(招待講演)
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-21
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 無視不可能な欠測におけるMLEのバイアス評価2010

    • Author(s)
      狩野裕・井上高継
    • Organizer
      2010年度 統計関連学会連大会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-06
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大阪大学における統計学の大学院高度副プログラム

    • Author(s)
      狩野 裕
    • Organizer
      2013年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学豊中キャンパス(大阪府豊中市)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 死亡者統計データに基づく限界寿命の推定

    • Author(s)
      中矢 徹・磯崎郷平・森川耕輔・狩野 裕
    • Organizer
      2013年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学豊中キャンパス(大阪府豊中市)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高次元因子分析モデルにおける推定量の漸近的性質

    • Author(s)
      鎌田亜美・狩野 裕
    • Organizer
      2013年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学豊中キャンパス(大阪府豊中市)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大量欠損データに対する因子分析モデルの最尤推定

    • Author(s)
      廣瀬慧,金順暎,狩野裕,吉田学,今田美幸,松尾真人
    • Organizer
      2013年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学豊中キャンパス(大阪府豊中市)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Latent class models for medical diagnostic tests in multicenter trials

    • Author(s)
      Mori, J. and Kano, Y.
    • Organizer
      ISCB Conference 2013
    • Place of Presentation
      Munich, Germany
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 数学セミナー「データサイエンティストのキャリアと数学」2013

    • Author(s)
      狩野裕,紺谷幸弘
    • Publisher
      技術評論社
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.sigmath.es.osaka-u.ac.jp/~kano/research/seminar/index.html

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.sigmath.es.osaka-u.ac.jp/~kano/research/index.html

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.sigmath.es.osaka-u.ac.jp//~kano/research/index.html

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2010-08-23   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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