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Industrial Adjustments and Optimum Sequencing of FTAs: A Dynamic CGE Analysis of Regional Integration in Asia

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22330084
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionOsaka University

Principal Investigator

LEE Hiro  大阪大学, 大学院・国際公共政策研究科, 教授 (40283460)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) OTSUKI Tsunehiro  大阪大学, 大学院・国際公共政策研究科, 教授 (40397633)
ITAKURA Ken  名古屋市立大学, 大学院・経済学研究科, 准教授 (90405217)
Research Collaborator DAVID Roland-holst  カリフォルニア大学バークリー校, 教授
DOMINIQUE Van Dermensbrugghe  国際連合食糧農業機関(FAO), 主席エコノミスト
Project Period (FY) 2010 – 2012
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
Budget Amount *help
¥15,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥11,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,570,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥5,330,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,230,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥5,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,260,000)
KeywordsFTA / 産業調整 / シークエンシング / アジア / CGE分析 / FTA / CGE分析 / 地域統合
Research Abstract

In response to the lack of progress on multilateral trade negotiations, Asian countries have actively implemented free-trade agreements (FTAs) in recent years. In this research, we examine what might be a desirable sequencing of FTAs for Asian countries. First, we find that it would be beneficial for countries to pursue region-wide FTAs, rather than bilateral FTAs. Second, since it is likely to require some time before realizing an Asia-wide FTA such as RCEP, Japan should first become a member of TPP, followed by an FTA with the EU and the formation of RCEP in the not too distant future.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2012 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (54 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 2010 Other

All Journal Article (20 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 9 results) Presentation (28 results) Book (6 results)

  • [Journal Article] Trade Facilitation in South Asia2013

    • Author(s)
      Honda, Keiichiro, Tsunehiro Otsuki, and John S. Wilson
    • Journal Title

      South Asian Journal of Global Business Research

      Volume: Vol. 2

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report 2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Do Foreign Product Standards Matter? Impacts on Costs for Developing Country Exporters2013

    • Author(s)
      Maskus, Keith E., Tsunehiro Otsuki, and John S. Wilson
    • Journal Title

      Asia Pacific Journal of Accounting and Economics

      Volume: 20(1) Pages: 37-57

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Impact of Regulatory Heterogeneity on Agri-food Trade2013

    • Author(s)
      Winchester, Niven, Marie-Luise Rau, Christian Goetz, Bruno Larue, Tsunehiro Otsuki, et al.
    • Journal Title

      The World Economy

      Volume: 36

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Do Foreign Product standards Matter? Impacts on Costs for Developing Country Exporters2012

    • Author(s)
      Maskus, Keith E., Tsunehiro Otsuki, John S. Wilson
    • Journal Title

      South Asian Journal of Global Business Research

      Volume: Vol.20, No.1 Issue: 1 Pages: 37-57

    • DOI

      10.1080/16081625.2013.744685

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Welfare Changes and Sectoral Adjustments of As ia-Pacific Countries under Alternative Sequencings of Free Trade Agreements2012

    • Author(s)
      Itakura, Ken, and Hiro Lee
    • Journal Title

      Global Journal of Economics

      Volume: Vol.1, No.2 Issue: 02 Pages: 1-22

    • DOI

      10.1142/s2251361212500127

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The impact of regulatory heterogeneity on agri-food trade2012

    • Author(s)
      Winchester, Niven, Marie-Luise Rau, Christian Goetz, Bruno Larue, Tsunehiro Otsuki, et al.
    • Journal Title

      The World Economy

      Volume: Vol.35, No.8 Issue: 8 Pages: 973-993

    • DOI

      10.1111/j.1467-9701.2012.01457.x

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 計算可能な一般均衡モデルによるTrans-Pacific Partnershipの分析2012

    • Author(s)
      板倉 健
    • Journal Title

      国民経済雑誌

      Volume: 第205巻1号 Pages: 101-112

    • URL

      http://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/110008755456

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Welfare Changes and SectoralAdjustments of Asia-Pacific Countries under Alternative Sequencings of Free Trade Agreements2012

    • Author(s)
      Itakura, Kenand Hiro Lee
    • Journal Title

      OSIPP Discussion Paper

      Volume: No. 2012-E-005 Pages: 1-26

    • URL

      http://www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp/archives/DP/2012/DP2012E005.pdf

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Welfare Changes and Sectoral Adjustments of Asia-Pacific Countries under Alternative Sequencings of Free Trade Agreements2012

    • Author(s)
      Itakura, Ken, and Hiro Lee
    • Journal Title

      Global Journal of Economics

      Volume: 1(2) Pages: 1-22

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 計算可能な一般均衡モデルによるTrans-Pacific Partnershipの分析2012

    • Author(s)
      板倉健
    • Journal Title

      国民経済雑誌

      Volume: 205巻1号 Pages: 101-112

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Welfare Changes and Sectoral Adjustments of Asia-Pacific Countries under Alternative Sequencings of Free Trade Agreements2012

    • Author(s)
      Itakura, Ken, Hiro Lee
    • Journal Title

      OSIPP Discussion Paper

      Volume: No.2012-E-005 Pages: 1-26

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Effect of International Standards Certification on Firm- Level Exports: An Application of the Control Function Approach2011

    • Author(s)
      Otsuki, Tsunehiro
    • Journal Title

      Empirical Economics Letters

      Volume: Vol. 10, No. 7 Pages: 623-630

    • URL

      http://www.eel.my100megs.com/volume-10-number-7.htm

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Quantifying the Benefits of Trade Facilitation in ASEAN2011

    • Author(s)
      Otsuki, Tsunehiro
    • Journal Title

      OSIPP Discussion Paper

      Volume: No. 2011-E-006 Pages: 1-42

    • URL

      http://www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp/archives/DP/2011/DP2011E006.pdf

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Assessing the Impact of the ASEAN Economic Community.2011

    • Author(s)
      Hiro Leeand Michael G. Plummer
    • Journal Title

      OSIPP Discussion Paper

      Volume: No. 2011-E-002 Pages: 1-25

    • URL

      http://www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp/archives/DP/2011/DP2011E002.pdf

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 日中FTAの経済的影響:CGEモデルによる試算2011

    • Author(s)
      板倉 健
    • Journal Title

      第5回日中経済学術会議論文集

      Pages: 73-85

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Effect of International Standards Certification on Firm-Level Exports : An Application of the Control Function Approach2011

    • Author(s)
      Otsuki, Tsunehiro
    • Journal Title

      Empirical Economics Letters

      Volume: VOL.10 Pages: 623-630

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Assessing the Impact of the ASEAN Economic Community2011

    • Author(s)
      Hiro Lee, Michael G.Plummer
    • Journal Title

      OSIPP Discussion Paper

      Volume: No.2011-E-002 Pages: 1-25

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 東アジアにおけるFTAの進展と国際物流の変化2011

    • Author(s)
      板倉健
    • Journal Title

      運輸と経済

      Volume: 70巻 Pages: 13-18

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 日中FTAの経済的影響:CGEモデルによる試算2011

    • Author(s)
      板倉健
    • Journal Title

      第5回日中経済学術会議論文集

      Pages: 73-85

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 東アジアにおけるFTAの進展と国際物流の変化2010

    • Author(s)
      板倉 健
    • Journal Title

      運輸と経済

      Volume: 第70巻12号 Pages: 13-18

    • URL

      http://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/40017399795

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic Integration in the Asia-Pacific Region: Sequencing, Welfare Impact, and Industrial Adjustments2013

    • Author(s)
      Lee, Hiro
    • Organizer
      The 10th Biennial Pacific Rim Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Keio University, Tokyo
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic Integration in the Asia-Pacific Region: Sequencing, Welfare Impact, and Industrial Adjustments2013

    • Author(s)
      Lee, Hiro (利 博友)
    • Organizer
      The 10th Biennial Pacific Rim Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      慶応義塾大学 (東京都)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Welfare and Structural Adjustment Implications of Asian Track and Trans-Pacific Track Sequencings of FTAs2012

    • Author(s)
      板倉 健
    • Organizer
      日中韓自由貿易区構想共同研究国際ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      愛知大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-07-14
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Welfare Changes and Sectoral Adjustments of Asia-Pacific Countries under Alternative Sequencings of Free Trade Agreements.2012

    • Author(s)
      板倉 健
    • Organizer
      日本国際経済学会春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      南山大学(愛知県)
    • Year and Date
      2012-05-26
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] General Equilibrium Estimates for Alternative FTA Sequencings2012

    • Author(s)
      Lee, Hiro, Asian Track or Trans-Pacific Track
    • Organizer
      The 13th International Convention of the East Asian Economic Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Grand Copthorne Waterfront Hotel, Singapore
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Welfare and Structural Adjustment Implications of Asian Track and Trans-Pacific Track Sequencings of FTAs2012

    • Author(s)
      Lee, Hiro
    • Organizer
      The 15th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      World Trade Organization, Switzerland.
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Welfare Changes and Sectoral Adjustments of Asia-Pacific Countries under Alternative Sequencings of Free Trade Agreements2012

    • Author(s)
      Lee, Hiro
    • Organizer
      The International Con-ference on the Global Economy
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Washington, Seattle, USA.
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Welfare and Structural Adjustment Implications of Asian Track and Trans-Pacific Track Sequencings of FTAs2012

    • Author(s)
      Lee, Hiro (利 博友)
    • Organizer
      The 15th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      世界貿易機関 (スイス・ジュネーブ)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Asian Track or Trans-Pacific Track? General Equilibrium Estimates for Alternative FTA Sequencings2012

    • Author(s)
      Lee, Hiro (利 博友)
    • Organizer
      The 13th International Convention of the East Asian Economic Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Grand Copthorne Waterfront Hotel (シンガポール)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Welfare Changes and Sectoral Adjustments of Asia-Pacific Countries under Alternative Sequencings of Free Trade Agreements2012

    • Author(s)
      Hiro Lee(利博友)
    • Organizer
      The International Conference on the Global Economy
    • Place of Presentation
      ワシントン大学(米国・シアトル市)
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 食品安全・製品環境規制等の貿易への影響の計量分析2011

    • Author(s)
      大槻恒裕
    • Organizer
      上智大学・環境と貿易研究センター関東環境経済学ワークショップ(招待講演)
    • Place of Presentation
      上智大学(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2011-05-26
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 食品安全・製品環境規制等の貿易への影響の計量分析2011

    • Author(s)
      大槻恒裕
    • Organizer
      上智大学・環境と貿易研究センター関東環境経済学ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      上智大学(東京都)(招待講演)
    • Year and Date
      2011-05-26
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Calibrating the Modified Implicit Directly Additive Demand System for Applied Economic Modeling.2011

    • Author(s)
      Itakura, Ken
    • Organizer
      The Workshop on Current Issues in CGE Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Waikato, New Zealand
    • Year and Date
      2011-02-02
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Calibrating the Modified An Implicitly Directly Additive Demand System (MAIDADS) for Applied Economic Modeling2011

    • Author(s)
      Ken Itakura
    • Organizer
      The Workshop on Current Issues in CGE Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      ワイカト大学(ニュージーランド・ハミルトン市)
    • Year and Date
      2011-02-02
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Calibrating the Modified Implicit Directly Additive Demand System for Applied Economic Modeling.2011

    • Author(s)
      Itakura, Ken
    • Organizer
      The 14th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      Universita Ca Foscari di Venezia, Italy
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Evaluating the Effects of Free Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific Region under Alternative Sequencings2011

    • Author(s)
      Lee, Hiro
    • Organizer
      The 14th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      Universita Ca Foscari di Venezia, Italy.
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Evaluating the Effects of Free Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific Region under Alternative Sequencings2011

    • Author(s)
      Hiro Lee(利博友)
    • Organizer
      The 14th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      ヴェネチア大学(イタリア・ヴェネチア市)
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Calibrating the Modified An Implicitly Directly Additive Demand System (MAIDADS) for Applied Economic Modeling2011

    • Author(s)
      Ken Itakura
    • Organizer
      The 14th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      ヴェネチア大学(イタリア・ヴェネチア市)
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] How Important is the Sequencing of Free Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific Region2010

    • Author(s)
      Itakura, Ken
    • Organizer
      2010 年度韓国国際経済学会・冬季学術発表大会
    • Place of Presentation
      成均館大学校(韓国)
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-11
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] How Important is the Sequencing of Free Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific Region?2010

    • Author(s)
      Ken Itakura
    • Organizer
      2010年度韓国国際経済学会・冬季学術発表大会
    • Place of Presentation
      成均館大学校(韓国・ソウル市)
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-11
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] How Important is the Sequencing of Free Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific Region2010

    • Author(s)
      Lee, Hiro
    • Organizer
      The 12th International Convention of the East Asian Economic Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Ehwa Womans University, Korea.
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] The EU-Korea FTA and the Relative Competitiveness of Korean Firms in the European Market.2010

    • Author(s)
      Lee, Hiro
    • Organizer
      The 12th Annual Conference of the European Trade Study Group
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Lausanne, Switzerland
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating the Medium-term Effects of the ASEAN Economic Community2010

    • Author(s)
      Lee, Hiro
    • Organizer
      The 13th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      Park Royal Hotel, Penang, Malaysia.
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating the Medium-term Effects of the ASEAN Economic Community2010

    • Author(s)
      Hiro Lee(利博友)
    • Organizer
      The 13th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      パークロイヤルホテル(マレーシア・ペナン市)
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The EU-Korea FTA and the Relative Competitiveness of Korean Firms in the European Market2010

    • Author(s)
      Hiro Lee(利博友)
    • Organizer
      The 12th Annual Conference of the European Trade Study Group(ETSG)
    • Place of Presentation
      ローザンヌ大学(スイス・ローザンヌ市)
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] How Important is the Sequencing of Free Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific Region?2010

    • Author(s)
      Hiro Lee, Ken Itakura
    • Organizer
      The 12th International Convention of the East Asian Economic Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Ewha Womans University(韓国・ソウル市)
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Welfare Changes and Sectoral Adjustments of Asia-Pacific Countries under Alternative Sequencings of Free Trade Agreements

    • Author(s)
      Itakura, Ken (板倉 健)
    • Organizer
      日本国際経済学会春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      南山大学 (愛知県)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Welfare and Structural Adjustment Implications of Asian Track and Trans-Pacific Track Sequencings of FTAs

    • Author(s)
      Itakura, Ken (板倉 健)
    • Organizer
      日中韓自由貿易区構想共同研究国際ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      愛知大学 (愛知県)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Dynamic Modeling and Applications for Global Economic Analysis2012

    • Author(s)
      Ianchovichina, Elena, and Terrie L. Walmsley, eds
    • Total Pages
      109
    • Publisher
      Cambridge University Press
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 日本経済の復活と成長へのロードマップ(板倉 健第8章担当)2012

    • Author(s)
      浦田秀次郎編著
    • Total Pages
      18
    • Publisher
      文眞堂
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 「TPP,FTAAPの経済効果分析:Dynamic GTAPモデルによるシミュレーション」 浦田秀次郎編 『日本経済の復活と成長へのロードマップ』 第8章(pp.195-212)2012

    • Author(s)
      板倉 健
    • Total Pages
      18
    • Publisher
      文眞堂
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Dynamic Modeling and Applications for Global Economic Analysis2012

    • Author(s)
      Elena Ianchovichina, Terrie Walmsley編(板倉健第4,7,9,12章担当)
    • Total Pages
      109
    • Publisher
      Cambridge University Press
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Toward a Competitive ASEAN Single Market: Sectoral Analysis(大槻恒裕第5章担当)2011

    • Author(s)
      Urata, Shujiro, and Misa Okabe, eds.
    • Total Pages
      42
    • Publisher
      Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Book] Toward a Competitive ASEAN Single Market : Sectoral Analysis2011

    • Author(s)
      Shujiro Urata, Misa Okabe編(大槻恒裕第5章担当)
    • Total Pages
      42
    • Publisher
      Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2010-08-23   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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