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A theoretical analysis of persistent bubbles and secular stagnation

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22530178
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Economic theory
Research InstitutionOsaka University

Principal Investigator

ONO Yoshiyasu  大阪大学, 社会経済研究所, 教授 (70130763)

Project Period (FY) 2010-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Keywords長期不況 / 資産選好 / 非自発的失業 / 流動性のわな / 地位選好 / 公正賃金 / 金融資産保有願望 / 総需要不足 / ゼロ金利 / 一時不況 / 失業 / 金融緩和 / 賃金調整 / バブル / 資産保有願望 / 貨幣保有願望
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Although many countries, including Japan, the USA and the EU, have been suffering long-run stagnation, conventional macroeconomic models have only been able to explain short-run recessions. By applying the concept of the fair wage to a dynamic setting and theoretically analyzing the behavior of households that care about the social status with respect to asset holdings, I have presented a theory of long-run stagnation in which aggregate demand deficiency and deflation continue. It is found that such a long-run stagnation arises especially when potential productivity is high. Differences in the effects of monetary and fiscal policies between short-run recession and long-run stagnation have also been analyzed.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Annual Research Report
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (36 results)

All 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Other

All Journal Article (9 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 9 results) Presentation (18 results) (of which Invited: 8 results) Book (4 results) Remarks (5 results)

  • [Journal Article] International Economic Interdependence and Exchange-rate Adjustment under Persistent Stagnation2014

    • Author(s)
      Y. Ono
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: 65 Issue: 1 Pages: 70-92

    • DOI

      10.1111/jere.12012

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] On Persistent Demand Shortages: A Behavioral Approach2013

    • Author(s)
      Junichiro Ishida, Yoshiyasu Ono
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: 65(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 42-69

    • DOI

      10.1111/jere.12016

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Zero Nominal Interest Rates, Unemployment, Excess Reserves and Deflation in a Liquidity Trap2012

    • Author(s)
      R. Murota and Y. Ono
    • Journal Title

      Metroeconomica

      Volume: 63 Issue: 2 Pages: 335-357

    • DOI

      10.1111/j.1467-999x.2011.04142.x

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Kesynesian Multiplier Effect Reconsidered2011

    • Author(s)
      Y.Ono
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Money, Credit and Banking

      Volume: 43 Pages: 787-794

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Does Pro-population Policy Raise Per Capita Consumption?2011

    • Author(s)
      K.Hashimoto, Y.Ono
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: 62 Issue: 2 Pages: 151-169

    • DOI

      10.1111/j.1468-5876.2010.00513.x

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Byrd Amendment as Facilitating a Tacit International Business Collusion2011

    • Author(s)
      Y.Ogawa, Y.Ono
    • Journal Title

      Review of International Economics

      Volume: 19 Issue: 5 Pages: 877-893

    • DOI

      10.1111/j.1467-9396.2011.00992.x

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An Oligopolistic Heckscher-Ohlin Model of Foreign Direct Investment2011

    • Author(s)
      S.Lahiri, Y.Ono
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: 62 Pages: 331-347

    • DOI

      10.1111/j.1468-5876.2010.00528.x

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Growth, Stagnation and Status Preference2011

    • Author(s)
      R.Murota, Y.Ono
    • Journal Title

      Metroeconomica

      Volume: Vol.62 Pages: 112-149

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Trade Policy, Exchange Rate Adjustment and Unemployment2010

    • Author(s)
      Y.Ono
    • Journal Title

      Globalization and Economic Integration : Winners and Losers in the Asia-Pacific

      Pages: 153-172

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 長期不況理論の展開2015

    • Author(s)
      小野 善康
    • Organizer
      共同利用・共同研究拠点「厚生主義批判と非厚生主義的定式化の可能性に関する規範理論的研究」第8回研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学経済研究所(東京都国立市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-02-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Long-run Stagnation in Japan - Theory and Policy2015

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyasu Ono
    • Organizer
      IPS Presentation
    • Place of Presentation
      Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka (Colombo, Sri Lanka)
    • Year and Date
      2015-01-16
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 長期不況の理論2014

    • Author(s)
      小野 善康
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2014年度秋季大会、特別報告
    • Place of Presentation
      西南学院大学(福岡県福岡市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-11
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Exchange-rate Adjustment and Macroeconomic Interdependence between Stagnant and Fully Employed Countries2014

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyasu Ono
    • Organizer
      INFINITI Conference on International Finance 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      Monash University Prato Centre (Prato, Italy)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-09
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Theory of Long-run Stagnation2014

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyasu Ono
    • Organizer
      Economics and Finance Seminars
    • Place of Presentation
      Birkbeck College, University of London (London, United Kingdom)
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Theory of Long-run Stagnation2014

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyasu Ono
    • Organizer
      BOE Seminars
    • Place of Presentation
      Keynes Room, Bank of England ( London, United Kingdom)
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-21
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Difference or Ratio: Implication of Status Preference on Stagnation2014

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyasu Ono
    • Organizer
      Academia Sinica and Osaka University Joint Workshop
    • Place of Presentation
      Academia Sinica (Taipei, Taiwan)
    • Year and Date
      2014-04-01 – 2014-04-02
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Dynamic Theory of Persistent Stagnation2013

    • Author(s)
      Y. Ono
    • Organizer
      CES Lectures 2013
    • Place of Presentation
      Center of Economic Studies, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universitaet, Muenchen, Germany
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] On Persistent Demand Shortages : A Behavioral Approach2012

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyasu Ono
    • Organizer
      EHESS seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales(フランス)
    • Year and Date
      2012-02-10
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] エネルギー転換の経済効果2012

    • Author(s)
      小野善康
    • Organizer
      大阪大学グローバルCOE 『ダイナミクスと選好の経済分析コンファレンス』
    • Place of Presentation
      ホテル阪急エキスポパーク(大阪)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] A Dynamic Theory of Stagnation:Dynamic Theory and Keynes's Economics2012

    • Author(s)
      小野善康
    • Organizer
      The 2nd Summer School on Analytical Political Economy,一橋大学Global GCOE 企画
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学(東京)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] On Persistent Demand Shortages : A Behavioral Approach2012

    • Author(s)
      小野善康
    • Organizer
      経済動学と選好の経済分析コンファレンス
    • Place of Presentation
      松山大学(愛媛県)(招待講演)
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 復興財源と景気への効果2011

    • Author(s)
      小野善康
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2011年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      熊本学園大学(熊本県)(招待講演)
    • Year and Date
      2011-05-22
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] International Economic Interdependence and Exchange-rate Adjustment under Persistent Stagnation2011

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyasu Ono
    • Organizer
      Third Graz Schumpeter Summer School
    • Place of Presentation
      The University of Graz(オーストリア)(招待講演)
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 世界経済のゆくえ・日本経済のゆくえ-経済理論・経済政策論の視点から2010

    • Author(s)
      小野善康
    • Organizer
      ケインズ・パイロット・シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      上智大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-12
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic Policy of the Present Government : A Theoretical Analysis2010

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyasu Ono
    • Organizer
      NBER Japan Project Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      アジア開発銀行(東京)
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-26
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] International Economic Interdependence and Exchange Rate Adjustment in the Presence of Unemployment2010

    • Author(s)
      Yoshiyasu Ono
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Asian Economy 2010 : Globalization and the Evolution of Asian Economy
    • Place of Presentation
      Korea University(韓国)
    • Year and Date
      2010-05-13
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Reinterpretation of the Keynesian Consumption Function and Multiplier Effect

    • Author(s)
      小野善康
    • Organizer
      福岡大学先端経済研究センター第72回研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Book] 金融緩和の罠(第3章「お金への欲望に金融緩和は勝てない」、153-225 を担当)2013

    • Author(s)
      著者:藻谷浩介、河野龍太郎、小野善康 編著:萱野稔人
    • Total Pages
      240
    • Publisher
      集英社新書
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] エネルギー転換の経済効果2013

    • Author(s)
      小野善康
    • Total Pages
      64
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 不況の経済理論2012

    • Author(s)
      小野善康、橋本賢一(編著)
    • Total Pages
      336
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 成熟社会の経済学2012

    • Author(s)
      小野善康
    • Total Pages
      240
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 小野善康のホームページ

    • URL

      http://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/~ono/

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 小野善康のホームページ

    • URL

      http://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/~ono/

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 小野善康のホームページ

    • URL

      http://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/~ono/

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/~ono/index.html

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/~ono/index.html

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2010-08-23   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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