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Research on pricing theory by convex risk measures taking account of hedging, and its related stochastic analysis

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22540149
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
Research InstitutionKeio University

Principal Investigator

ARAI Takuji  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部, 教授 (20349830)

Project Period (FY) 2010-04-01 – 2013-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Keywords数理ファイナンス / 価格付け理論 / 非完備市場 / リスク測度 / Orlicz空間 / Good deal bound / 効用関数 / 同値martingale測度 / Orlicz space / Scmimartingale
Research Abstract

I have studied convex risk measures on stochastic processes in order to deal with shortfall risk measures for American options. In particular, I introduced spaces of stochastic processes whose maximum belongs to an Orlicz space; and obtained representation results for convex risk measures defined on such spaces. Next, I have researched on relationship between convex risk measures and good deal bounds. Supposing the market is a convex cone, I investigated (1) properties of superhedging cost, (2) the equivalence for a convex risk measure between that it represent upper and lower bounds of a good deal bound and that it is given as a risk indifference price, (3) extensions of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing. In addition, I extended the above results to the case where the market is merely convex.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2013 Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (41 results)

All 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Other

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 7 results) Presentation (33 results) (of which Invited: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Convex risk measure for good deal bounds2013

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai and M. Fukasawa
    • Journal Title

      Mathematical Finance

      Volume: (to appear) Issue: 3 Pages: 464-484

    • DOI

      10.1111/mafi.12020

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2012 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ショートフォールリスク測度とその表現2012

    • Author(s)
      新井拓児
    • Journal Title

      三田学会雑誌

      Volume: 105巻第2号 Pages: 91-107

    • NAID

      120005441196

    • URL

      http://koara.lib.keio.ac.jp/xoonips/modules/xoonips/detail.php?koara_id=AN00234610-20120701-0091

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] How much can investors discount?2011

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai and T. Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Advances in Mathematical Economics

      Volume: Vol.14 Pages: 1-16

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Good deal bounds induced by shortfall risk2011

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Journal Title

      SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics

      Volume: Vol.2 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-21

    • DOI

      10.1137/090769120

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] How much can investors discount?2011

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai, Takamasa Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Advances in Mathematical Economics

      Volume: 14 Pages: 1-16

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Good deal bounds induced by shortfall risk2011

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Journal Title

      SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics

      Volume: 2 Pages: 1-21

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Convex risk measures on Orlicz spaces: inf-convolution and shortfall2010

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Journal Title

      Mathematics and Financial Economics

      Volume: Vol.3 Issue: 2 Pages: 73-88

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11579-010-0028-8

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Convex risk measures on Orlicz spaces : inf-convolution and shortfall2010

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Journal Title

      Mathematics and Financial Economics

      Volume: 3 Pages: 73-88

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Local risk-minimization for Lévy markets2014

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      Actuarial and Financial Mathematics Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      ブリュッセル・アカデミーパレス(ベルギー)
    • Year and Date
      2014-02-06
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Local risk-minimization for Lévy markets2013

    • Author(s)
      新井拓児, 鈴木良一
    • Organizer
      確率論シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学数理解析研究所
    • Year and Date
      2013-12-19
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Good deal bounds with convex constraints2013

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Knightian Uncertainty and Risk Measures
    • Place of Presentation
      シンガポール国立大学(シンガポール)
    • Year and Date
      2013-07-04
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures for cadlag processes on Orlicz hearts2013

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      6th General AMaMeF and Banach Center Conference "Advances in Mathematics of Finance"
    • Place of Presentation
      ワルシャワ大学(ポーランド)
    • Year and Date
      2013-06-14
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures for cadlag processes on Orlicz spaces2013

    • Author(s)
      新井拓児
    • Organizer
      新潟確率論ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      新潟大学
    • Year and Date
      2013-01-27
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] An explicit representation of locally risk-minimizing for Lévy markets2012

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      Workshop "Mathematical finance and related issues"
    • Place of Presentation
      京都リサーチパーク
    • Year and Date
      2012-09-03
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures for cadlag processes on Orlicz hearts2012

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      AMI seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      アルバータ大学(カナダ)
    • Year and Date
      2012-04-20
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures for good deal bounds2012

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      Seminaire Bachelier
    • Place of Presentation
      ポアンカレ研究所(フランス)
    • Year and Date
      2012-01-21
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Local risk-minimization for Lévy markets2011

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      Stochastic analysis seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      オスロ大学(ノルウェー)
    • Year and Date
      2011-12-06
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures for good deal bounds2011

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      Talks in Financial and Insurance Mathematics
    • Place of Presentation
      スイス連邦工科大学(スイス)
    • Year and Date
      2011-10-06
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Pricing and hedging problems in incompletes markets2011

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Probability Theory in honour of Professor Makoto Maejima on the occasion of his retirement
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-12
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Pricing and hedging problems in incompletes markets2011

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Probability Theory In honour of Professor Makoto Maejima on the occasion of his retirement
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学矢上キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-12
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Shortfall risk based good deal bounds for American derivatives2011

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      Oberwolfach workshop "Stochastic analysis in Finance and Insurance" (short communication)
    • Place of Presentation
      Oberwolfach 数学研究所(ドイツ)
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-27
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Shortfall risk based good-deal bounds for American derivatives2011

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Organizer
      Oberwolfach Workshop "Stochastic Analysis in Finance and Insurance
    • Place of Presentation
      Oberwolfach数学研究所(ドイツ)
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-27
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Shortfall risk based good deal bounds for American derivatives2010

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      CREST and Sakigake International Symposium "Asymptotic Statistics, Risk and Computation in Finance and Insurance"
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-16
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Shortfall risk based good-deal bounds for American derivatives2010

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Organizer
      CREST and Sakigake International Symposium "Asymptotic Statistics, Risk and Computation in Finance and Insurance"
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-16
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures on Orlicz spaces---infconvolution and shortfall---2010

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      34th Conference on Stochastic Processes and Their Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪・千里ライフサイエンスセンター
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-06
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures on Orlicz spaces---inf-convolution and shortfall---2010

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Organizer
      34th Conference on Stochastic Processes and Their Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪・千里ライフサイエンスセンター
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-06
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ショートフォールリスクから導かれる請求権の価格付け理論2010

    • Author(s)
      新井拓児
    • Organizer
      日本OR学会研究部会「ファイナンス理論の展開」
    • Place of Presentation
      首都大学東京秋葉原オフィス
    • Year and Date
      2010-07-08
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures on Orlicz spaces2010

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      the Sixth World Congress of the Bachelier Finance Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Toronto Hilton Hotel (カナダ)
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-23
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures on Orlicz spaces2010

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Organizer
      the Sixth World Congress of the Bachelier Finance Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Toronto Hilton Hotel
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-23
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures on Orlicz spaces-inf-convolution and shortfall-2010

    • Author(s)
      T. Arai
    • Organizer
      2010 Workshop & Spring School on Stochastic Calculus and Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      台湾中央研究院(台湾)
    • Year and Date
      2010-04-16
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures on Orlicz spaces---inf-convolution and shortfall---2010

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Organizer
      2010 Workshop & Spring School on Stochastic Calculus and Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      台湾中央研究院
    • Year and Date
      2010-04-16
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] An explicit representation of locally risk-minimizing for Levy markets

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Organizer
      Workshop ``Mathematical finance and related issues"
    • Place of Presentation
      京都リサーチパーク(京都府)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures for cadlag processes on Orlicz spaces

    • Author(s)
      新井拓児
    • Organizer
      新潟確率論ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      新潟大学(新潟県)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures for cadlag processes on Orlicz hearts

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Organizer
      6th General AMaMeF and Banach Center Conference ``Advances in Mathematics of Finance"
    • Place of Presentation
      ワルシャワ大学(ポーランド)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Good deal bounds with convex constraints

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Knightian Uncertainty and Risk Measures
    • Place of Presentation
      シンガポール国立大学(シンガポール)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Local risk-minimization for Levy markets

    • Author(s)
      新井拓児、鈴木良一
    • Organizer
      確率論シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学数理解析研究所(京都府)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Local risk-minimization for Levy markets

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai
    • Organizer
      Actuarial and Financial Mathematics Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      ブリュッセル・アカデミーパレス(ベルギー)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures for good deal bounds

    • Author(s)
      新井拓児
    • Organizer
      Talks in Financial and Insurance Mathematics
    • Place of Presentation
      スイス連邦工科大学チューリッヒ校(スイス)
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Local risk-minimization for Levy markets

    • Author(s)
      新井拓児
    • Organizer
      Stochastic analysis seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      オスロ大学(ノルウェー)
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures for good deal bounds

    • Author(s)
      新井拓児
    • Organizer
      Seminaire Bachelier
    • Place of Presentation
      ポアンカレ研究所(フランス)
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Convex risk measures for cadlag processes on Orlicz hearts

    • Author(s)
      新井拓児
    • Organizer
      AMI seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      アルバータ大学(カナダ)
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2010-08-23   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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