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A study on transaction volumes and intervals in the financial market and its applications

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22560059
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Engineering fundamentals
Research InstitutionUniversity of Tsukuba

Principal Investigator

KISHIMOTO Kazuo  筑波大学, システム情報系, 教授 (90136127)

Project Period (FY) 2010 – 2012
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥780,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Keywords数理工学(数理的解析・計画・設計・最適化) / 株式市場 / 日中株価変動 / 待ち行列 / ゲーム理論 / ティックデータ / マルコフ過程 / 板の変動 / 日経平均先物 / フラクタル / パレート分布 / ゼータ分布
Research Abstract

The empirical analysis on the tick data of the Osaka Securities Exchange shows that the transaction intervals are best described by the Pareto distribution of Type III if the observation period is 15 minutes. The volume of one transaction is best described by the negative binomial distribution. The parameters depend regularly on time so that one must be careful if he/she needs a model for the whole day.The Japanese proverb says that financial markets are bullish when the available liquidity on the ask side is deeper. Theoretical and empirical analysis shows that the results depend on the assumptions of the model in the theoretical case, and depend on the details of measurement methods in the empirical case. The proverb is sometimes correct, and sometimes not.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2012 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2012 2011 2010

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (5 results)

  • [Journal Article] 空間的投票理論に基づく政党得票範囲の解析2012

    • Author(s)
      品川景子・岸本一男
    • Journal Title

      筑波大学データバンク年報

      Volume: 89 Pages: 91-111

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Testing whether the Nikkei225 best bid/ask price path follows the first order discrete Markov chain - an approach in terms of the total "ρ-variation" -2010

    • Author(s)
      Li, M. and Kishimoto, K.
    • Journal Title

      JSIAM Letters

      Volume: Vol.2 Pages: 103-106

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Testing whether the Nikkei225 best bid/ask price path follows the first order discrete Markov chain-an approach in terms of the total "$\rho$-variation"2010

    • Author(s)
      Li, M., Kishimoto, K.
    • Journal Title

      JSIAM Letters

      Volume: 2 Pages: 103-106

    • NAID

      130000433681

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 株式市場でトレンドを持って変動する板の厚みについての考察2012

    • Author(s)
      宮城智一, 李もう, 岸本一男
    • Organizer
      日本応用数理学会2012年度年会
    • Place of Presentation
      稚内全日空ホテル(北海道)
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Nikkei 225 Futures of the Osaka Stock Exchange Are Bullish When the Available Liquidity on the Ask Side Is Deeper2012

    • Author(s)
      LI Meng, HUI Xiaofeng, KISHIMOTO Kazuo
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Financial Risk and Corporate Finance Management
    • Place of Presentation
      大連(中国)
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Nikkei 225 Futures of the Osaka Stock Exchange Are Bullish When the Available Liquidity on the Ask Side Is Deeper2012

    • Author(s)
      LI Meng, Hui Xiaofeng, KISHIMOTO Kazuo
    • Organizer
      Proceedings of the 4th (2012) International Conference on Financial Risk and Corporate Finance Management, 2012, Volume 2, 650-654
    • Place of Presentation
      大連(中国)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 株式市場でトレンドを持って変動する板の厚みについての考察2012

    • Author(s)
      宮城智一, 李もう, 岸本一男
    • Organizer
      日本応用数理学会2012年度年会講演予稿集
    • Place of Presentation
      稚内全日空ホテル(北海道)
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 空間的投票理論における政党座標値計算の精緻化2011

    • Author(s)
      品川景子・岸本一男
    • Organizer
      日本応用数理学会
    • Place of Presentation
      同志社大学今出川キャンパス(京都府)
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-14
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2010-08-23   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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