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Mechanisms of Protest Voting: A Proposal of Analyses to Integrate Elections, Parties, and Voters

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22F22008
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for JSPS Fellows

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section外国
Review Section Basic Section 06010:Politics-related
Research InstitutionWaseda University

Principal Investigator

日野 愛郎  早稲田大学, 政治経済学術院, 教授 (30457816)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) CAMATARRI STEFANO  早稲田大学, 政治経済学術院, 外国人特別研究員
Project Period (FY) 2022-07-27 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000)
Keywordsprotest voting / political disaffection / populist attitudes / anti-establishment / counterfactual analysis
Outline of Research at the Start

カマタリ博士がこれまで行ってきた抗議投票(protest voting)に関する研究は、ポピュリスト政党が欧州諸国を席巻する昨今において、現実政治に対して大きな示唆を持つ極めて意欲的な研究である。カマタリ博士は従来の抗議投票に関する研究が一国の事例研究であったのに対して、分析を多国間の選挙・政党・有権者データに拡張し、欧州諸国と日本を比較可能な形で発展させている。これにより各国の抗議投票の質・量の相違を相対化することが可能になり、ひいてはポピュリスト政党や政治家の得票がどのようなメカニズムによって成り立っているかを理解することにつながる。抗議投票に関する包括的、かつ統合的な研究である。

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

During the six months of my JSPS research stay, I had the opportunity to publish two co-authored book chapters: one on the effect of anti-establishment dynamics, such as politicization of EU integration, on voting behaviour (Brussels University Press) and one on the effects of representation dynamics including the so-called ‘partitocracy’ in Belgium (University of Louvain Press).
Along with this, in October 2022 I also published a Special Issue of the academic journal Politics of the Low Countries exploring migrant political integration both as a topic framed by anti-establishment parties in their political discourse and as a phenomenon per se, requiring a thorough analysis of migrant political engagement and its systemic and attitudinal drivers.
The research period helped me to reach relevant results also with respect to behavior-related research questions. Indeed, thanks to the analysis of multiple cross-country data, I could came to the conclusion that “protest motivations matter”, especially when it comes to strongly disaffected citizens, as their voting calculus tend to exhibit a lower impact of substantive considerations such as ideological proximity to parties and party size. A paper summarizing important results at the individual level in a cross-country perspective based on European Election Study data (ESS) is soon to be submitted to a highly ranked international Political Science journal (European Journal of Political Research).

Research Progress Status

翌年度、交付申請を辞退するため、記入しない。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

翌年度、交付申請を辞退するため、記入しない。

Report

(1 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (5 results)

All 2023 2022

All Journal Article (1 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Unpacking Migrant Political Integration2022

    • Author(s)
      Camatarri, S. and Baudewyns, P.
    • Journal Title

      Politics of the Low Countries

      Volume: 22(4) Issue: 2 Pages: 131-135

    • DOI

      10.5553/plc/.000036

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Two Sides of the Same Coin: The Electoral Effects of Populist and Anti-Populist Attitudes2022

    • Author(s)
      Camatarri, S, Gallina, M, and Hino, A.
    • Organizer
      American Political Science Association Annual Conference
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The impact of Voting Advice Applications: Evidence from a randomized field experiment in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Hino, A, Gallina, M, Camatarri, S, Fahey, R.A, and Serdult, U.
    • Organizer
      Japanese Society for Quantitative Political Science (JSQPS)
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] Does the perceived EU politicization affect election results? A study of four western European countries in: The politicization of the European Union: from processes to consequences. Houde, A.-M., Laloux, T., Le Corre Juratic, M., Mercenier, H., Pennetrau, D., and Versailles, A. (eds).2023

    • Author(s)
      Camatarri, S., and Gallina, M.
    • Total Pages
      266
    • Publisher
      Edtions de l'Universite de Bruxelles
    • ISBN
      9782800418117
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Partitocracy and the future of Belgium. Revisiting Does Belgium (still) exist? In: The Winter of Democracy. Partitocracy in Belgium. Baudewyns, P., Brans, M., Reuchamps, M., Rihoux, B. and Van ingelgom, V. (eds).2022

    • Author(s)
      Niessen, C., Baudewyns, P., Camatarri, S., Dodeigne Jeremy, Frognier, A.P., Sinardet, D., Reuchamps, M.
    • Total Pages
      288
    • Publisher
      Louvain-La-Neuve: Presses Universitaires de Louvain.
    • ISBN
      9782390612469
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2022-07-28   Modified: 2024-03-26  

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