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A novel downscaling-integration approach of satellite rainfall estimates for accurate river flow prediction

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22K01031
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 04010:Geography-related
Research InstitutionTottori University

Principal Investigator

FENTA AYELE・ALMAW  鳥取大学, 国際乾燥地研究教育機構, 特命准教授 (00836984)

Project Period (FY) 2022-04-01 – 2025-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
KeywordsSatellite rainfall / Rainfall merging / Rainfall erosivity / Rainfall downscaling / Random Forest / Hydrologic modeling / River flow prediction / Soil erosion / Machine learning / River flow simulation
Outline of Research at the Start

The proposed downscaling-integration approach of GPM SREs with hydrological model will be tested in selected watershed of the Upper Blue Nile basin. This study will build on the large databases (e.g., land use, soil, topographic data) we have built in recent years for the Upper Blue Nile basin. In addition, new weather stations and river flow measuring devices will be installed to complement existing data for comprehensive evaluation of downscaled GPM SREs (Objective I) and river flow prediction using GPM SREs (Objective II).

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

Global monthly and annual rainfall erosivity were analyzed using long-term (2001-2020), high-temporal-resolution (30-minute) IMERG dataset. In addition, a Random Forest based downscaling and merging of satellite rainfall estimates (IMERG, GSMaP and CHIRPS) and gauge measurements was employed to produce high resolution (1 km) rainfall datasets for the lake Tana basin in Ethiopia.

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.

Reason

Managed to analyze long-term IMERG data and produce monthly and annual global rainfall erosivity datasets. Produced high resolution rainfall dataset integrating IMERG, GSMaP and CHIRPS for the Lake Tana basin. Two papers were published in international journals.

Strategy for Future Research Activity

(1) Maintenance of rainfall and river flow monitoring stations in the Lake Tana basin of Ethiopia. (2) Predict river flow by integrating spatially explicit rainfall data from downscaled and merged (IMERG, GSMaP and CHIRPS) data with hydrological model (SWAT). (3) Evaluate the effect of model calibration approaches, rainfall downscaling and merging schemes on river flow prediction.

Report

(2 results)
  • 2023 Research-status Report
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (3 results)

All 2024 2023 2022

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (1 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] An integrated modeling approach for estimating monthly global rainfall erosivity2024

    • Author(s)
      Ayele A. Fenta、Atsushi Tsunekawa、Nigussie Haregeweyn, Hiroshi Yasuda、Mitsuru Tsubo、Pasquale Borrelli、Takayuki Kawai、Ashebir S. Belay、Kindiye Ebabu、Mulatu L. Berihun、Dagnenet Sultan、Tadesaul A. Setargie、Abdelrazek Elnashar、Arfan Arshad、Panos Panagos
    • Journal Title

      Scientific Reports

      Volume: 14 Issue: 1 Pages: 8167-8167

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-024-59019-1

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Improving satellite-based global rainfall erosivity estimates through merging with gauge data2023

    • Author(s)
      Ayele Almaw Fenta、Atsushi Tsunekawa、Nigussie Haregeweyn, Hiroshi Yasuda、Mitsuru Tsubo、Pasquale Borrelli、Takayuki Kawai、Ashebir Sewale Belay、Kindiye Ebabu、Mulatu Liyew Berihun、Dagnenet Sultan、Tadesaul Asamin Setargie、Abdelrazek Elnashar、Panos Panagos
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Hydrology

      Volume: 620 Pages: 129555-129555

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129555

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Towards Integrating IMERG-based Global Rainfall Erosivity Estimates with Gauge Data2022

    • Author(s)
      Ayele Almaw Fenta, Atsushi Tsunekawa, Nigussie Haregeweyn, Hiroshi Yasuda, Mitsuru Tsubo, Takayuki Kawai, Mulatu Liyew Berihun, Kindiye Ebabu, Dagnenet Sultan, Ashebir Sewale Belay, Tadesaul Asamin Setargie, Pasquale Borrelli,Panos Panagos
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2022-04-19   Modified: 2024-12-25  

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