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Clarifying the social-ecological implications of the recent and the projected future global forest cover changes under the SSPs

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22K01038
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 04010:Geography-related
Research InstitutionForest Research and Management Organization

Principal Investigator

ESTOQUE RONALDC  国立研究開発法人森林研究・整備機構, 森林総合研究所, 主任研究員 等 (60760139)

Project Period (FY) 2022-04-01 – 2025-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywordsforest cover change / climate change / biodiversity / disaster risk reduction / co-benefits / sustainability / sensitive areas / high carbon stock areas / hazard prone areas / biodiversity hotspots
Outline of Research at the Start

This research aims to clarify the social-ecological implications of the recent and projected future global forest cover changes. It seeks to answer the following key scientific questions: (1) Is there evidence to show whether or not global forest cover loss has been (recent) and would be (future) moving towards the high carbon stock areas, mountainous and hazard prone areas, and biodiversity hotspots? (2) What are the implications of the findings in the context of biodiversity conservation and climate change mitigation and adaptation?

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

In the second year (FY 2023), a global analysis for the entire tropical region was conducted. This involved deriving the climate change mitigation potential index, the biodiversity conservation potential index, and the disaster risk reduction potential index. Additionally, an overall composite index, named the co-benefit index, was created by combining all three indexes.

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.

Reason

The research has progressed smoothly as no critical issues were encountered.

Strategy for Future Research Activity

For the third year (FY 2024), the plan and targets are to finalize the global analysis, present the results in international academic and scientific conferences, and write a paper for publication in an international peer-reviewed journal.

Report

(2 results)
  • 2023 Research-status Report
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (18 results)

All 2024 2023 2022 Other

All Journal Article (10 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 10 results,  Peer Reviewed: 10 results,  Open Access: 7 results) Presentation (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (5 results)

  • [Journal Article] Some key considerations for implementing the nexus approach in biodiversity conservation research and practice2024

    • Author(s)
      Estoque Ronald C.
    • Journal Title

      Science Progress

      Volume: 107 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-6

    • DOI

      10.1177/00368504231223023

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The resilience?sustainability?quality of life nexus2024

    • Author(s)
      Estoque Ronald C.、Wu Jianguo
    • Journal Title

      Science of The Total Environment

      Volume: 912 Pages: 169526-169526

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169526

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Spatial dataset on future forest cover changes in Southeast Asia projected under the shared socioeconomic pathways2023

    • Author(s)
      Estoque Ronald C.
    • Journal Title

      Data in Brief

      Volume: 51 Pages: 109705-109705

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.dib.2023.109705

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Better monitoring of forests according to FAO’s definitions through map integration: Significance and limitations in the context of global environmental goals2023

    • Author(s)
      Johnson Brian A.、Umemiya Chisa、Magcale-Macandog Damasa B.、Estoque Ronald C.、Hayashi Masato、Tadono Takeo
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation

      Volume: 122 Pages: 103452-103452

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jag.2023.103452

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Assessing Sustainability over Space and Time: The Emerging Roles of GIScience and Remote Sensing2023

    • Author(s)
      Estoque Ronald C.
    • Journal Title

      Remote Sensing

      Volume: 15 Issue: 11 Pages: 2764-2764

    • DOI

      10.3390/rs15112764

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Tropical Dry Forest Dynamics Explained by Topographic and Anthropogenic Factors: A Case Study in Mexico2023

    • Author(s)
      Gao Yan、Solorzano Jonathan V.、Estoque Ronald C.、Tsuyuzaki Shiro
    • Journal Title

      Remote Sensing

      Volume: 15 Issue: 5 Pages: 1471-1471

    • DOI

      10.3390/rs15051471

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Complexity and diversity of nexuses: A review of the nexus approach in the sustainability context2023

    • Author(s)
      Estoque Ronald C.
    • Journal Title

      Science of The Total Environment

      Volume: 854 Pages: 158612-158612

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158612

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Rethinking forest monitoring for more meaningful global forest landscape change assessments2022

    • Author(s)
      Estoque Ronald C.、Johnson Brian Alan、Dasgupta Rajarshi、Gao Yan、Matsuura Toshiya、Toma Takeshi、Hirata Yasumasa、Lasco Rodel D.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Environmental Management

      Volume: 317 Pages: 115478-115478

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115478

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Spatiotemporal pattern of global forest change over the past 60 years and the forest transition theory2022

    • Author(s)
      Estoque Ronald C、Dasgupta Rajarshi、Winkler Karina、Avitabile Valerio、Johnson Brian A、Myint Soe W、Gao Yan、Ooba Makoto、Murayama Yuji、Lasco Rodel D
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Research Letters

      Volume: 17 Issue: 8 Pages: 084022-084022

    • DOI

      10.1088/1748-9326/ac7df5

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Ecosystem services of ‘Trees Outside Forests (TOF)’ and their contribution to the contemporary sustainability agenda: a systematic review2022

    • Author(s)
      Peros Colin Scott、Dasgupta Rajarshi、Estoque Ronald C、Basu Mrittika
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Research Communications

      Volume: 4 Issue: 11 Pages: 112002-112002

    • DOI

      10.1088/2515-7620/ac9d86

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Recent spatiotemporal trend in Southeast Asia's forest loss: What does it indicate?2023

    • Author(s)
      Estoque Ronald C.
    • Organizer
      International EcoSummit Congress
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Quantifying changes in biomass density with Sentinel-2A images2023

    • Author(s)
      Gao Yan、Solorzano Jonathan V.、Estoque Ronald C.、Tsuyuzaki Shiro
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union (JpGU) Meeting
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] (Special Issue Reprint) Assessing Sustainability over Space and Time: The Emerging Roles of GIScience and Remote Sensing2023

    • Author(s)
      Estoque Ronald C.
    • Total Pages
      260
    • Publisher
      MDPI
    • ISBN
      9783036584997
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 過去60年で世界の森林面積は日本列島2つ分消失

    • URL

      https://www.ffpri.affrc.go.jp/press/2023/20230221-02/index.html

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] New study finds global forest area per capita...

    • URL

      https://ioppublishing.org/news/new-study-finds-global-forest-area-per-capita-has-decreased-by-over-60/

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Study tracks global forest decline and...

    • URL

      https://news.mongabay.com/2022/08/study-tracks-global-forest-decline-and-expansion-over-six-decades/

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] より複雑かつ多様性が増してきている「ネクサス」のアプローチ

    • URL

      https://www.ffpri.affrc.go.jp/research/saizensen/2022/20221202.html

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Using the nexus approach...

    • URL

      https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/973326

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2022-04-19   Modified: 2024-12-25  

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