Clarifying the social-ecological implications of the recent and the projected future global forest cover changes under the SSPs
Project/Area Number |
22K01038
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Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
Section | 一般 |
Review Section |
Basic Section 04010:Geography-related
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Research Institution | Forest Research and Management Organization |
Principal Investigator |
ESTOQUE RONALDC 国立研究開発法人森林研究・整備機構, 森林総合研究所, 主任研究員 等 (60760139)
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Project Period (FY) |
2022-04-01 – 2025-03-31
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Project Status |
Granted (Fiscal Year 2022)
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Budget Amount *help |
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
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Keywords | forest cover change / climate change / biodiversity / disaster risk reduction / sensitive areas / sustainability / high carbon stock areas / hazard prone areas / biodiversity hotspots |
Outline of Research at the Start |
This research aims to clarify the social-ecological implications of the recent and projected future global forest cover changes. It seeks to answer the following key scientific questions: (1) Is there evidence to show whether or not global forest cover loss has been (recent) and would be (future) moving towards the high carbon stock areas, mountainous and hazard prone areas, and biodiversity hotspots? (2) What are the implications of the findings in the context of biodiversity conservation and climate change mitigation and adaptation?
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Outline of Annual Research Achievements |
In the first year (FY 2022), a spatially explicit database of forest loss and relevant social-ecological variables was created, and a review of work in relation to forest cover change monitoring and social-ecological status indexes was performed. Three indexes were conceptualized and developed as proxy indicators for socially and ecologically sensitive areas, namely the climate change mitigation potential index, the biodiversity conservation potential index, and the disaster risk reduction potential index. An overall composite index, called the socially and ecologically sensitive areas index (SESAI), was also developed by combining all three indexes. Finally, a test analysis focusing on Southeast Asia was conducted.
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Current Status of Research Progress |
Current Status of Research Progress
2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.
Reason
The research has progressed smoothly because no critical issues were encountered.
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Strategy for Future Research Activity |
For the second year (FY 2023), the plan and targets are as follows: (i) to repeat the analysis for Southeast Asia using different forest loss datasets or similar datasets (e.g. tree canopy cover) and verify the consistency of the results; and (ii) based on the results of (i), to expand the analysis to include the entire tropical region, encompassing the rest of tropical Asia, Africa, and South America. Additionally, the initial results will be presented in academic and scientific conferences.
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Report
(1 results)
Research Products
(9 results)