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Development of lightning prediction technology by muon observations

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22K14453
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 25030:Disaster prevention engineering-related
Research InstitutionOsaka University

Principal Investigator

WADA Yuuki  大阪大学, 大学院工学研究科, 助教 (40879144)

Project Period (FY) 2022-04-01 – 2025-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2024)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Keywordsミューオン / ガンマ線 / 雷放電 / 雷雲 / 高エネルギー大気現象 / 高エネルギー大気物理学 / ガンマ線グロー / 宇宙線 / 電場 / 気象観測 / 雷予知
Outline of Research at the Start

激しい雨とともに発生する雷放電は、生命や社会インフラなどに大きな被害を与えうる脅威である。これまで電波による雷放電の監視、大気中の電場計測などが行われ、雷放電に対する理解は飛躍的に進んできたが、依然として雷放電がいつどこで発生するかという「雷予知」は確立していない。一方で近年、雷雲の中に存在する強電場領域が電荷を持つ高エネルギー粒子を加速・減速しているということが明らかになりつつある。本研究課題では雷放電の直前に雷雲で加速・減速されるミューオンの観測で、雲内の強電場の有無を明らかし、最新の気象レーダーの観測とも組み合わせながら、ミューオンの観測が雷の直前予知に有効かを検証する。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this study, we investigated whether it is possible to predict lightning by utilizing the effect of cosmic ray muons being accelerated and decelerated by the strong electric field in thunderclouds. We developed muon detectors using plastic scintillators and conducted observations in Kanazawa, Suita, and Tsukuba. It was found that the number of muons arriving the ground fluctuated as thunderclouds passed by. We also analyzed the measurement results of gamma rays and atmospheric electric fields in Kanazawa. When a strong negative electric field was observed on the ground, gamma rays were observed on the ground, and in one case, lightning discharge was detected after the detection of gamma rays. This suggests the possibility of monitoring strong electric field areas in thunderclouds by observing muons and gamma rays.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

雷雲中の電荷構造は複雑であり、地上での電場測定で内部の電荷構造を推定するのは難しい。一方でミューオンやガンマ線の変動は雷雲内の強電場領域に密接に関わっており、こうした変動の観測は雷雲内部の電荷構造の間接的な監視、ひいては将来的な発雷の監視に役立つ可能性がある。また雷雲内でどのように電荷が生成され、蓄積され、解消されるかという、雷雲のライフサイクルにも示唆を与える可能性がある。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2024 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2023 Research-status Report
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (22 results)

All 2024 2023 2022 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 5 results,  Open Access: 7 results) Presentation (13 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 8 results,  Invited: 3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] チェコ科学アカデミー原子核物理研究所(チェコ)

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] パリ・シテ大学/原子力代替エネルギー庁(フランス)

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Termination of Downward‐Oriented Gamma‐Ray Glow by Normal‐Polarity In‐Cloud Discharge Activity2023

    • Author(s)
      Wada Y.、Wu T.、Wang D.、Enoto T.、Nakazawa K.、Morimoto T.、Nakamura Y.、Shinoda T.、Tsuchiya H.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

      Volume: 128 Issue: 15 Pages: 1-9

    • DOI

      10.1029/2023jd038606

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Negative Excursion of Surface Electric Fields During Gamma‐Ray Glows in Winter Thunderstorms2023

    • Author(s)
      Wada Y.、Kamogawa M.、Kubo M.、Enoto T.、Hayashi S.、Sawano T.、Yonetoku D.、Tsuchiya H.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

      Volume: 128 Issue: 21 Pages: 1-20

    • DOI

      10.1029/2023jd039354

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Lightning Mapping as a Probe of Electron Accelerator in Thunderclouds2023

    • Author(s)
      Wada Y., Wu T., Wang D., Enoto T., Nakazawa K., Morimoto T., Nakamura Y., Shinoda T., Tsuchiya H.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of 38th International Cosmic Ray Conference

      Volume: ICRC2023 Pages: 317-317

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Ambient conditions to reproduce gamma-ray glow energy spectra assuming cosmic ray as source2023

    • Author(s)
      Diniz G. D., Wada Y., Ohira Y., Nakazawa K., Tsurumi M., Enoto T.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of 38th International Cosmic Ray Conference

      Volume: ICRC2023 Pages: 209-209

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Ambient Conditions of Winter Thunderstorms in Japan to Reproduce Observed Gamma‐Ray Glow Energy Spectra2023

    • Author(s)
      Diniz G. S.、Wada Y.、Ohira Y.、Nakazawa K.、Tsurumi M.、Enoto T.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

      Volume: 128 Issue: 10

    • DOI

      10.1029/2022jd038246

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Relativistic Runaway Electron Avalanche Development Near the Electric Field Threshold in Inhomogeneous Air2023

    • Author(s)
      Diniz G. S.、Wada Y.、Ohira Y.、Nakazawa K.、Tsurumi M.、Enoto T.
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 50 Issue: 20 Pages: 1-8

    • DOI

      10.1029/2023gl105087

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Synoptic meteorological conditions of gamma-ray glows in winter thunderstorms2023

    • Author(s)
      Wada Yuuki、Tsurumi Miwa、Hayashi Syugo、Michimoto Koichiro
    • Journal Title

      Progress in Earth and Planetary Science

      Volume: 10 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-21

    • DOI

      10.1186/s40645-023-00538-2

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] ミューオンの地上観測による雷予知手法の検討2024

    • Author(s)
      中村悠, 和田有希, 林修吾, 牛尾知雄
    • Organizer
      日本大気電気学会第102回研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Multi-Frequency Observation of Downward Terrestrial Gamma-ray Flashes in Winter Thunderstorms2023

    • Author(s)
      Wada Y., Morimoto T., Nakamura Y., Enoto T., Kikuchi H., Yoshikawa E., Ushio T.
    • Organizer
      URSI-GASS2023
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Electric-field variations associated with gamma-ray glows in winter thunderstorms of Japan2023

    • Author(s)
      Wada Y., Kamogawa M., Kubo M., Enoto T., Hayashi S., Sawano T., Yonetoku D., Tsuchiya H.
    • Organizer
      AGU Annual Meeting 2023
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Lightning Mapping as a Probe of Electron Accelerator in Thunderclouds2023

    • Author(s)
      Wada Y., Wu T., Wang D., Enoto T., Nakazawa K., Morimoto T., Nakamura Y., Shinoda T., Tsuchiya H.
    • Organizer
      38th International Cosmic Ray Conference
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Ambient conditions to reproduce gamma-ray glow energy spectra assuming cosmic ray as source2023

    • Author(s)
      Diniz G. D., Wada Y., Ohira Y., Nakazawa K., Tsurumi M., Enoto T.
    • Organizer
      38th International Cosmic Ray Conference
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 北陸冬季雷におけるガンマ線グロー発生時の大気電場変動2023

    • Author(s)
      和田有希, 鴨川仁, 久保守, 榎戸輝揚, 林修吾, 澤野達哉, 米徳大輔, 土屋 晴文
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合大会
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 北陸冬季雷での地球ガンマ線フラッシュの多波長観測2023

    • Author(s)
      和田有希, 森本健志, 中村佳敬, 榎戸輝揚, 菊池博史, 吉川栄一, 牛尾知雄
    • Organizer
      日本大気電気学会第101回研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] High-energy Atmospheric Physics in Winter Thunderstorms of Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Y. Wada
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Observation of two downward terrestrial gamma-ray flashes with very-high-frequency waveform recordings2022

    • Author(s)
      Y. Wada, T. Morimoto, Y. Nakamura, T. Enoto, H. Kikuchi, E. Yoshikawa, T. Ushio
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Catalog analysis of gamma-ray glows in winter thunderstorms of Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      Y. Wada, T. Enoto, K. Nakazawa, M. Kubo, T. Yuasa, D. Yonetoku, T. Sawano, G. Okada, H. Nanto, T. Ushio, G. S. Diniz, K. Makishima, H. Tsuchiya
    • Organizer
      Thunderstorms and Elementary Particle Acceleration (TEPA) 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Gamma-Ray Glows in Winter Thunderstorms: Catalog Analysis and Multi-Sensor Observation2022

    • Author(s)
      Y. Wada, T. Enoto, K. Nakazawa, M. Kubo, T. Yuasa, D. Yonetoku, T. Sawano, G. Okada H. Nanto, T. Shinoda, Y. Sato, T. Ushio, G. S. Diniz, K. Makishima, H. Tsuchiya
    • Organizer
      17th International Conference on Atmospheric Electricity
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ガンマ線を発生させる北陸冬季雷の総観場解析2022

    • Author(s)
      和田有希, 鶴見美和, 道本光一郎
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2022年秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 北陸冬季雷で発生した地球ガンマ線フラッシュと同期する雷放電の長波帯観測による分類2022

    • Author(s)
      和田有希, 森本健志, 中村佳敬, Ting Wu, 榎戸輝揚, 中澤知洋, 牛尾知雄, 湯浅孝行, 土屋晴文
    • Organizer
      日本地球惑星科学連合大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report

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Published: 2022-04-19   Modified: 2026-01-16  

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