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Cold spells related mortality under climate change in the future: a multi-country multi-city study

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22K17397
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 58030:Hygiene and public health-related: excluding laboratory approach
Research InstitutionNagasaki University

Principal Investigator

マダニヤズ リナ  長崎大学, 熱帯医学・グローバルヘルス研究科, 助教 (30835195)

Project Period (FY) 2022-04-01 – 2025-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥600,000)
Keywordscold spells / climate change / mortality
Outline of Research at the Start

This study will collect daily data on temperature and mortality from more than 700 locations in 43 countries to estimate and project cold spells-related mortality under a changing climate in an international context. This research will be the first and the largest study to investigate the health impact of cold spells, by using a sophisticated interdisciplinary modeling framework with comprehensive data on fine geographical resolution.

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

The aim of this project is to assess and project the impact of cold spells on mortality under various climate change scenarios, by using daily time series data from multiple cities multiple countries on a global scale. In 2023, I finished data analysis and prepared a research paper. I have been revising the paper based on comments and suggestions from the co-authors, and aim for submission in 2024. Meanwhile, I have presented the outputs of this project at international online seminars.

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

3: Progress in research has been slightly delayed.

Reason

The methodology of this project includes complicated statistical modeling. I spent a longer time than expected to develop the method and conduct the analysis.

Strategy for Future Research Activity

For the fiscal year 2024, I will finish the revision of the current research paper and submit for publication. In addition, I plan to reprint the updated outcomes at international conferences and seminars.

Report

(2 results)
  • 2023 Research-status Report
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (1 results)

All 2023

All Presentation (1 results) (of which Invited: 1 results)

  • [Presentation] Projection studies based on climate change scenarios2023

    • Author(s)
      Lina Madaniyazi
    • Organizer
      Climate change, Health, and Data Science
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Invited

URL: 

Published: 2022-04-19   Modified: 2024-12-25  

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