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Building Optimum Reliable Systems through Value-at-Risk Criterion-based Two Stage Fuzzy Random Optimization Method

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23500289
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Sensitivity informatics/Soft computing
Research InstitutionWaseda University

Principal Investigator

WATADA Junzo  早稲田大学, 理工学術院, 教授 (10158610)

Project Period (FY) 2011 – 2013
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
KeywordsFuzzy variable / Fuzzy random variable / Reliability / Facility location / Portforlio Selection / Life cycle management / PSO optimization / Unit commitment / Credibility / Facility allocation / Fuzzy Variable / Fuzzy Random Variable / Reliablility / facility alocation
Research Abstract

In this research, to deal with complicated decision making problems from a risk framework under hybrid uncertainty consisting randomness and fuzziness, Value-at-Risk (VaR) measure-based fuzzy random optimization models are defined. In building the models, synthesized heuristic algorithms are proposed and particle swarm optimization algorithm is used in VaR simulation to solve the models. The proposed models enables us to treat risk perspective of 2 stage optimization problems and solve the problems under hybrid uncertain environment, which are hard to solve till now. Furthermore, such proposed algorithms are capable of approximate computation of VaR criterion fuzzy random coefficients. Such proposed models are uniquely built with wide applications as two stage VaR models which design and solve real world problems.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2013 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • 2011 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (59 results)

All 2014 2013 2012 2011 Other

All Journal Article (36 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 12 results) Presentation (10 results) Book (10 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] Portfolio Selection Models with Technical Analysis-Based Fuzzy Birandom Variables2014

    • Author(s)
      You Li, Bo Wang, Junzo Watada
    • Volume
      vol.E97-D, No.1
    • Pages
      11-21
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A Combination of Genetic Algorithm-based Fuzzy C-Means with a Convex Hull-based Regression for Real-Time Fuzzy Switching Regression Analysis: An Application to Industrial Intelligent Data Analysis,2014

    • Author(s)
      Azizul Azhar Ramli, Junzo Watada, and Witold Pedrycz,
    • Journal Title

      IEEJ - Trans. on Electrical and Electronic Engineering,

      Volume: 9(1) Pages: 71-82

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Portfolio Selection Models with Technical Analysis-Based Fuzzy Birandom Variables,2014

    • Author(s)
      You Li, Bo Wang, Junzo Watada,
    • Journal Title

      IEICE Trans. on Information and Systems,

      Volume: E97-D(1) Pages: 11-21

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Multi-objective particle swarm optimization for a novel fuzzy portfolio selection problem2013

    • Author(s)
      Bo Wang, You. Li and Junzo. Watada
    • Journal Title

      IEEJ Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Engineering

      Volume: Vol. 8, No. 2 Pages: 146-154

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Identifying the Distribution Difference, IEEJ Transactions on Electronics2013

    • Author(s)
      P.-C. Lin, J. Watada and B. Wu
    • Journal Title

      Information and Systems

      Volume: Vol. 8, No. 6

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Risk Assessment of a Portfolio Selection Model Based on a Fuzzy Statistical Test2013

    • Author(s)
      P.-C. Lin, J. Watada and B. Wu
    • Journal Title

      IEICE Transactions on Information and Systems

      Volume: Vol.E96-D No.3 Pages: 579-588

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Risk Assessment of a Portfolio Selection Model Based on a Fuzzy Statistical Test,2013

    • Author(s)
      P.-C. Lin, J. Watada and B. Wu,
    • Journal Title

      IEICE Transactions on Information and Systems,

      Volume: E96-D(3) Pages: 579-588

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Multi-objective particle swarm optimization for a novel fuzzy portfolio selection problem2013

    • Author(s)
      Bo Wang, You Li and Junzo Watada
    • Journal Title

      IEEJ Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Engineering,

      Volume: 8(2) Pages: 146-154

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Supply reliability and generation cost analysis due to load forecast uncertainty in unit commitment problems2013

    • Author(s)
      Bo Wang, You Li and Junzo Watada
    • Journal Title

      IEEE Transactions on Power Systems

      Volume: (To be published) Issue: 3 Pages: 1-10

    • DOI

      10.1109/tpwrs.2013.2238561

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Multi-objective particle swarm optimization for a novel fuzzy portfolio selection problem;2013

    • Author(s)
      Bo Wang and Junzo Watada;
    • Journal Title

      IEEJ Trans on Electrical and Electronic Engineering,

      Volume: 18(2) Pages: 146-154

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Capacitated Two-Stage Facility Location Problem with Fuzzy Costs and Demands2012

    • Author(s)
      Shuming WANG, Junzo WATADA
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Machine Learning and Cybernetics (IJMLC)

      Volume: Vol. 6, issue 1 Pages: 65-74

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Probabilistic Reliability Evaluation of Interconnecting Power Systems Including Wind Turbine Generators2012

    • Author(s)
      Jeongje Park, Taegon Oh, Kyeonghee Cho, Jaeseok Choi and Junzo WATADA
    • Journal Title

      IJICIC

      Volume: Vol. 8, No.8 Pages: 5797-5808

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A Reliability Enhancement for A Traffic Signal Lights System Through A Mean-variance Approach2012

    • Author(s)
      Shamshul BAHAR YAAKOB and Junzo WATADA
    • Journal Title

      IJICIC

      Volume: Vol.8, No.8 Pages: 5835-5845

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Fuzzy Portfolio Selection Model with Interval Values Based on Probability Distribution Functions2012

    • Author(s)
      J Pei-Chun Lin, Junzo WATADA and Berlin Wu
    • Journal Title

      IJICIC

      Volume: Vol.8, No.8 Pages: 5935-5944

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A Hybrid Modified PSO Approach to VaR-Based Facility Location Problems with Variable Capacity in Fuzzy Random Uncertainty2012

    • Author(s)
      Shuming WANG, Junzo WATADA
    • Journal Title

      Information Science

      Volume: Vol.192, no. 1 Pages: 3-18

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] An Optimization Approach to Bi-Level Quadratic Programming Problems, International Journal of Innovative Management2012

    • Author(s)
      Junzo Watada and Jingjing Liang
    • Journal Title

      Information & Production (IMIP)

      Volume: Volume 3, Number 2 Pages: 1-10

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Goodness-of-Fit Test for Membership Functions with Fuzzy Data, International Journal of Innovative Computing2012

    • Author(s)
      Lin, B. Wu and J. Watada
    • Journal Title

      Information and Control

      Volume: Vol.8, No.10 Pages: 7437-7450

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Portfolio Selection Model with Interval Values Base on Fuzzy Probability Distribution Functions, International Journal of Innovative Computing2012

    • Author(s)
      P-C. Lin, J. Watada and B. Wu
    • Journal Title

      Information and Control

      Volume: Vol.8, No.8 Pages: 5935-5944

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] "Multi-objective Top-Down Decision Making through Additive Fuzzy Goal Programming,"2012

    • Author(s)
      Nureize ARBAIY and Junzo WATADA,
    • Journal Title

      SICE-JCMSI

      Volume: 5(2) Pages: 63-69

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Fuzzy-Portfolio-Selection Models With Value-at-Risk2011

    • Author(s)
      Bo Wang, Shuming Wang, Junzo Watada
    • Journal Title

      IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Systems

      Volume: vol.19, no.4 Pages: 758-769

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A Database for a New Fuzzy Probability Distribution Function and Its Application2011

    • Author(s)
      Peichun Lin, Junzo Watada and Berlin Wu
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Management, Information & Production (IMIP)

      Volume: Volume 2, Number 2 Pages: 1-7

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Re-Scheduling of Unit Commitment Based on Customers' Fuzzy Requirements for Power Reliability2011

    • Author(s)
      Bo Wang, You Li, Junzo Watada
    • Journal Title

      IEICE Transactions D

      Volume: vol.94-D, no.7 Pages: 1378-1385

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Structural learning of the Boltzmann machine and its application to life cycle management2011

    • Author(s)
      Shamshul Bahar Yaakob, Junzo Watada, John Fulcher
    • Journal Title

      Neurocomputing

      Volume: vol.74, no.12-13 Pages: 2193-2200

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A hybrid particle swarm optimization approach and its application to solving portfolio selection problems2011

    • Author(s)
      Shamshul BAHAR YAAKOB and Junzo WATADA
    • Journal Title

      JACIII

      Volume: Vol.15, No.4 Pages: 465-472

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Function and Surface Approximation based on Enhanced Kernel Regression for Small Sample Sets2011

    • Author(s)
      Mohd Ibrahim Shapiai, Zuwairie Ibrahim, Marzuki Khalid, Lee Wen Jau, Vladimir Pavlovic and Junzo WATADA
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information, and Control (IJICIC)

      Volume: Vol. 7, Issue 10 Pages: 5947-5960

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Database For A New Fuzzy Probability Distribution Function and Its Application, International Journal of Innovative Management2011

    • Author(s)
      P.-C. Lin, J. Watada and B. Wu
    • Journal Title

      Information & Production

      Volume: Vol.2, No.2 Pages: 1-7

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Fuzzy portfolio selection models with Value-at-Risk2011

    • Author(s)
      Bo Wang, Shuming Wang and Junzo Watada
    • Journal Title

      IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems

      Volume: Vol. 19, No. 4 Pages: 758-769

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Re-scheduling of unit commitment based on customers' fuzzy requirements for power reliability2011

    • Author(s)
      Bo Wang, You Li and Junzo Watada
    • Journal Title

      IEICE Transactions on Information and Systems

      Volume: Vol.E94-D, No. 7 Pages: 1378-1385

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] "Real-Time Fuzzy Regression Analysis: A Convex Hull Approach,"2011

    • Author(s)
      Azizul Azhar Ramli, Junzo WATADA, Witold PEDRYCZ,
    • Journal Title

      European Journal of Operational Research

      Volume: 210(3) Pages: 606-617

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] "Function and Surface Approximation based on Enhanced Kernel Regression for Small Sample Sets,"2011

    • Author(s)
      Mohd Ibrahim Shapiai, Zuwairie Ibrahim, Marzuki Khalid, Lee Wen Jau, Vladimir Pavlovic and Junzo WATADA,
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information, and Control

      Volume: 7 Pages: 1-14

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] "Supply Balance Optimization of Sustainable Power Generation from Service Cost Perspective,"2011

    • Author(s)
      Junzo WATADA, Yingru Wang, Yu-Lien Tai, Jaeseok Choi and Mitsushige Shiota,
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Intelligent Technologies and Applied Statistics,

      Volume: 4(2) Pages: 221-243

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] "Fuzzy-Portfolio-Selection Models With Value-at-Risk,"2011

    • Author(s)
      Bo Wang, Shuming Wang, Junzo Watada,
    • Journal Title

      IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Systems,

      Volume: 19(4) Pages: 758-769

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] "Structural learning of the Boltzmann machine and its application to life cycle management,"2011

    • Author(s)
      Shamshul Bahar Yaakob, Junzo Watada, John Fulcher
    • Journal Title

      Neurocomputing

      Volume: 74(12-13) Pages: 2193-2200

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] "Some properties of T-independent fuzzy variables,"2011

    • Author(s)
      Shuming Wang, Junzo Watada,
    • Journal Title

      Mathematical and Computer Modelling,

      Volume: 53(5-6) Pages: 970-984

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Improving Particle Swarm Optimization Convergence with Spread and Momentum Factors

    • Author(s)
      Shamshul Bahar Yaakob and Junzo WATADA
    • Journal Title

      JCSES

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Supply Balance Optimization of Sustainable Power Generation from Service Cost Perspective

    • Author(s)
      Junzo WATADA, Yingru Wang, Yu-Lien Tai, Jaeseok Choi and Mitsushige Shiota
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Intelligent Technologies and Applied Statistics

      Volume: vol.4, no. 2 Pages: 221-243

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Decomposition of a Term-Document Matrix Representation for Faithful Customer Analysis,2013

    • Author(s)
      Jianxiong Yang, Junzo Watada;
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Intelligent Decision Technology
    • Place of Presentation
      Sesimbra, Poltgul
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A convex hull-based fuzzy regression approach for infroamtion granules problem - An efficient solution of real-time data analsysis,,2011

    • Author(s)
      Azizul Azhar Ramli, Junzo WATADA and Witold PEDRYCZ
    • Organizer
      the 2nd International Conference on Software Engineering and Computer Systems (ICSEC2011)(招待講演)
    • Place of Presentation
      Pahang, MALAYSIA
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Plenary Talk "Building models based on environment with fuzzy random uncertainty,"2011

    • Author(s)
      Junzo WATADA
    • Organizer
      ICMSAO2011
    • Place of Presentation
      Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Re-Scheduling the Unit Commitment Problem in Fuzzy Environment,,2011

    • Author(s)
      Bo Wang, You Li and Junzo WATADA,
    • Organizer
      FUZZ-IEEE2011,(招待講演)
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Statistic Test on Fuzzy Portfolio Selection Model,,2011

    • Author(s)
      Pei-Chun Lin, Junzo WATADA and Berlin Wu, ,
    • Organizer
      FUZZ-IEEE2011,(招待講演)
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Real-Time Analysis of Granular Information : Some Initial Thoughts on a Convex Hull-based Regression,2011

    • Author(s)
      Azizul Azhar Ramli, Witold PEDRYCZ and Junzo WATADA
    • Organizer
      FUZZ-IEEE2011,(招待講演)
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Multi-level Multi-Objective Decision Problem through Fuzzy Random Regression based Objective Function,,2011

    • Author(s)
      Nureize Arbaiy and Junzo WATADA,
    • Organizer
      FUZZ-IEEE2011,(招待講演)
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Decomposition of Term-Document Matrix Representation for Clustering Analysis,2011

    • Author(s)
      Jianxiong Yang and Junzo WATADA, ,
    • Organizer
      FUZZ-IEEE2011,(招待講演)
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Service Cost Optimization Approach to Supply Balance of Sustainable Power Generation,2011

    • Author(s)
      Junzo WATADA, Yu-Lien Tai, Yingru Wang, Jaeseok Choi and Mitsushige Shiota,
    • Organizer
      Proceedings, PICMET2011 (IEEE-TEM),(招待講演)
    • Place of Presentation
      Portland, USA.
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Operating Enzyme-based OR and AND Logic Gates with molecular signals,2011

    • Author(s)
      Yu-yi Chu, Ikno KIM, Junzo WATADA, Jui-yu Wu, ,
    • Organizer
      Proceedings, KES-IDT2011(招待講演)
    • Place of Presentation
      Pireus, Greece
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Changes in Production Efficiency in China,2014

    • Author(s)
      Bing Xu, Juying Zeng, Junzo Watada,
    • Total Pages
      140
    • Publisher
      Springer New York
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Innovative Management in Information and Production,2014

    • Author(s)
      Junzo Watada, Bing Xu, Berlin Wu, (Eds)
    • Publisher
      Springer New York,
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Industrial Applications of Affective Engineering,2014

    • Author(s)
      Junzo Watada, Hisao Shiizuka, Kun-Pyo Lee, Tsuyoshi Otani, Chee-Peng Lim, Junzo Watada, Hisao Shiizuka, Kun-Pyo Lee, Tsuyoshi Otani, Chee-Peng Lim,(Eds.)
    • Total Pages
      296
    • Publisher
      Springer New York,
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Changes in Production Efficiency in China: Identification and Measuring2013

    • Author(s)
      Bing Xu, Juying Zeng, Junzo Watada
    • Publisher
      Springer New York Heidelberg Dordrecht London
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Book] Integrated Computing. Technology.2013

    • Author(s)
      Estevam Rafael Hruschka, Junzo Watada and Maria do Carmo Nicoletti (Eds):
    • Total Pages
      180
    • Publisher
      Springer Heidelberg Dordrecht London New York
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Intelligent Decision Technology,2013

    • Author(s)
      Junzo Watada, Gloria Philips-Wren, Lakhmi C. Jain, Robert J. Howlett (Eds):
    • Total Pages
      925
    • Publisher
      Springer Heidelberg
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Intelligent Decision Technology,2013

    • Author(s)
      Junzo Watada, Toyohide Watanabe, Gloria Philips-Wren, Lakhmi C. Jain, Robert J. Howlett (Eds):
    • Total Pages
      542
    • Publisher
      Springer Heidelberg
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Intelligent Interactive Multimedia: Systems and Services2013

    • Author(s)
      Toyohide Watanabe, Junzo Watada, Lakhmi C. Jain, Robert J. Howlett (Eds): ,
    • Total Pages
      629
    • Publisher
      Springer Heidelberg
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Fuzzy Stochastic Optimization: Theory, Models and Applciations2012

    • Author(s)
      Shuming Wang, Junzo Watada, , Shuming Wang, Junzo Watada
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Book] Fuzzy Stochastic Optimization: Theory, Models and Applications2012

    • Author(s)
      Shuming Wang (Author), Junzo Watada (Author)
    • Total Pages
      250
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] ホームページ

    • URL

      http://www.f.waseda.jp/watada/2stageVaR-FRO/

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] 二段階VaR基準ファジィランダム最適化手法と最適信頼性システムの構築

    • URL

      http://www.f.waseda.jp/watada/2stageVaR-FRO/

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.f.waseda.jp/watada

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2011-08-05   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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