Efficacy of Trade Sanctions
Project/Area Number |
23530262
|
Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
|
Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
Section | 一般 |
Research Field |
Applied economics
|
Research Institution | Hokkaido University |
Principal Investigator |
OHNO Yuka 北海道大学, 経済学研究科(研究院), 准教授 (50598480)
|
Project Period (FY) |
2011 – 2013
|
Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
|
Budget Amount *help |
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
|
Keywords | 貿易制裁 / 経済分析 / 国際研究者交流 / 貿易政策 / 研究開発 / 核開発 |
Research Abstract |
We examine the efficacy of trade sanctions in stopping nuclear proliferation. A target's nuclear program is modeled as a dynamic stochastic R&D process. We find that when a sanctioning country cannot pre-commit to keeping sanctions in force long after a target becomes a nuclear power, sanctions are not only inefficacious but they backfire, spurring a target to intensify its effort to complete the nuclear program. If the nuclear program has several stages, hitting a target hardest early in the program is more likely to halt the program than the policy of gradually increasing sanctions as a target progresses.
|
Report
(4 results)
Research Products
(2 results)