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Balance of payments imbalances and the global economy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23530357
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionSeikei University

Principal Investigator

ONO Masanori  成蹊大学, 経済学部, 教授 (60302311)

Project Period (FY) 2011 – 2013
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥520,000 (Direct Cost: ¥400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥120,000)
Keywords国際収支 / 国際貿易 / 経済発展 / 価格 / 発展段階
Research Abstract

The first paper classifies 175 countries over a period of just 30 years according to the balance of payments stages that are frequently used in proposing a hypothesis that the stage depends on the progression in a nation's development. Using a nonparametric estimation, this investigation demonstrates that a nation's stage in the balance of payments has a non-monotonic relationship with its economic development, and that a country at the stage of immature creditor-lender enjoys a higher GDP per capita than at any other stage in its development. The second paper investigates Japanese trade to see whether the J/S-curve phenomenon between net exports and the terms of trade is observed in the data. Based on the results of a VAR stability test, the aggregate trade data are endogenously split into three sub-period data sets, with the J/S-curve present in the last two. The J/S-curve may stem from the increasing share of China and the oil-exporting countries in Japanese trade.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2013 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • 2011 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2014 2013 2012 2011

All Journal Article (3 results) Presentation (10 results)

  • [Journal Article] Revisiting the J-Curve for Japan2014

    • Author(s)
      Masanori Ono and SaangJoon Baak
    • Journal Title

      Modern Economy

      Volume: Vol. 5 Issue: 01 Pages: 32-47

    • DOI

      10.4236/me.2014.51005

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report 2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Examining the bakance of payments stages hypothesis, Faculty of Economics2014

    • Author(s)
      Masanori Ono
    • Journal Title

      Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: No. 128 Pages: 1-31

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Examining the balance of payments stages hypothesis2014

    • Author(s)
      Masanori Ono
    • Journal Title

      Discussion paper series, Faculty of Economics, Seikei University

      Volume: 128 Pages: 1-31

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the J-Curve for Japan2013

    • Author(s)
      大野正智
    • Organizer
      福島大学拡張近経研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      福島大学
    • Year and Date
      2013-02-28
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Balance of Payments Stages in the World over Three Decades2013

    • Author(s)
      大野正智
    • Organizer
      Western Economic Association International Pacific Rim Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Balance of payments stages in the world over three decades2013

    • Author(s)
      大野正智
    • Organizer
      Western Economic Association International Pacific Rim Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      慶応義塾大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Balance of Payments Stages in the World over Three Decades2012

    • Author(s)
      大野正智
    • Organizer
      早稲田大学金曜セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-06-22
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Balance of Payments Stages in the World over Three Decades2012

    • Author(s)
      大野正智
    • Organizer
      CCES & SSEM Joint International Conference for Institutions, Economic Growth and International Trade
    • Place of Presentation
      Fudan University, China
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Balance of payments stages in the world over three decades2012

    • Author(s)
      大野正智
    • Organizer
      早稲田大学金曜セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Balance of payments stages in the world over three decades2012

    • Author(s)
      大野正智
    • Organizer
      CCES & SSEM Joint International Conference for Institutions, Economic Growth and International Trade
    • Place of Presentation
      Fudan University(上海・中国)
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Balance of Payments Stages in the World over Three Decades2011

    • Author(s)
      大野正智
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会
    • Place of Presentation
      近畿大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-19
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Balance of Payments Stages in the World over Three Decades2011

    • Author(s)
      大野正智
    • Organizer
      成蹊大学経済学セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      成蹊大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-07-20
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the J-Curve for Japan2011

    • Author(s)
      大野正智
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会
    • Place of Presentation
      明治大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-05-28
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2011 Research-status Report

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Published: 2011-08-05   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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