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Seismic risk analysis for civil engineering facilities as multiple linear system and GIS-based visualization of system risk

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23560579
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Structural engineering/Earthquake engineering/Maintenance management engineering
Research InstitutionTokyo City University

Principal Investigator

YOSHIKAWA Hiromichi  東京都市大学, 工学部, 教授 (10220609)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 中村 孝明  東京都市大学, 工学部, 客員教授 (60424777)
丸山 收  東京都市大学, 工学部, 教授 (50209699)
Project Period (FY) 2011 – 2013
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywords地震防災 / リスク転嫁 / システムリスク / GIS / 道路設備 / 道路施設
Research Abstract

The present research was carried out by three Steps. In Step1, the procedure for system risk analysis has been formulated by combining damage probability theory and system reliability theory. The proposed system risk analysis provides essential risk outcomes such as seismic event risk curves of system, operation outage time diagram, bottleneck index of each component, and risk indices as NEL and PML. As Step2, three numerical simulations were conducted; the water-supply facility with sixteen branching pipes, Tomei & new Tomei expressways including connecting road, and Tokaido Shinkansen system connected by seventeen sub-facilities. Step3 deals with GIS-based panoramic visualization of system risk.
The importance and usefullness of seismic risk curves and PML evaluation considered as the quantitative information can be highlighted from the viewpoints of earthquake disaster mitigation and decision-making for asset management.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2013 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • 2011 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (16 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 Other

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 5 results) Presentation (1 results) Book (5 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] A STUDY ON THE RESTORATION PROCESS OF HYDROELECTRIC FACILITIES IN CONSIDERATION OF THE BUFFER EFFECT OF REGULATING RESERVOIR2013

    • Author(s)
      土居賢彦・静間俊郎・中村孝明
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. A1 (Structural Engineering & Earthquake Engineering (SE/EE))

      Volume: 69 Issue: 3 Pages: 505-515

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejseee.69.505

    • NAID

      130004961272

    • ISSN
      2185-4653
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] テクニカルレポートコンクリート構造物の地震リスク曲線とNEL/PML評価-基本理論と応用事例の紹介-2012

    • Author(s)
      吉川弘道・中村孝明・大滝健
    • Journal Title

      コンクリート工学誌

      Volume: Vol.50 No.3 Pages: 261-268

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 地震リスクで考える都市防災-リスクの定量化と可視化への挑戦-(震災特集②東日本大震災-災害リスクマネジメント-)2012

    • Author(s)
      吉川弘道
    • Journal Title

      土木学会誌

      Volume: vol.97 no2 Pages: 48-51

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 性能設計と地震リスク評価:防災減災技術を支えるソフト技術の両輪(建設産業特集:防災・減災に欠かせない建設の力3)2012

    • Author(s)
      吉川弘道
    • Journal Title

      日刊工業新聞

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 東日本大震災による鉄道事業者の地震リスク移転に関する財務影響度評価2012

    • Author(s)
      山田秀樹、矢代晴実、大峯秀人,吉川弘道
    • Journal Title

      日本地震工学会論文集

      Volume: 第12巻 Pages: 201-208

    • NAID

      130002152966

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 地震リスクで考える都市防災 -リスクの定量化と可視化への挑戦- (震災特集②東日本大震災-災害リスクマネジメント-)2012

    • Author(s)
      吉川弘道
    • Journal Title

      土木学会誌

      Volume: 第97巻 Pages: 48-51

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] コンクリート構造物の地震リスク曲線とNEL/PML評価 -基本理論と応用事例の紹介-2012

    • Author(s)
      吉川弘道、中村孝明、大滝健
    • Journal Title

      コンクリート工学/テクニカルレポート,日本コンクリート工学会

      Volume: Vol.50 No.3 Pages: 261-268

    • NAID

      10030145274

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] リスクファイナンスのための線状施設の地震リスク評価2011

    • Author(s)
      吉川弘道、矢代晴実、大滝健
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集F6(安全問題)

      Volume: Vol.67,No.2 Pages: 14-26

    • NAID

      130004560127

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Earthquake Proofing Plan of Drinking Water Facilities Using Seismic System Risk Analysis2012

    • Author(s)
      Takaki Suto, Kimiyasu Ohtake, Keisuke Baba, Kenta Hayashi, and Hiromichi Yoshikawa
    • Organizer
      The 11th International symposium on Water supply Technology
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 'Chaper27 Seismic risk and possible maximum loss (PML) analysis of reinforced concrete structures', PartIVAssessing Financial and Other Losses from Earthquake Damage, Handbook of Seismic Risk Analysis and Management of Civil Infrastructure Systems, S. Tesfamariam, & K. Goda (eds)2013

    • Author(s)
      Hiromichi Yoshikawa
    • Publisher
      Woodhead Publishing Ltd
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 都市の地震防災-地震・耐震・津波・減災を学ぶ-2013

    • Author(s)
      編者吉川弘道, 著者4名
    • Total Pages
      176
    • Publisher
      フォーラムエイトパブリッシング
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 実務に役立つ地震リスクマネジメント2013

    • Author(s)
      中村孝明
    • Total Pages
      125
    • Publisher
      丸善出版
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ‘Chaper27 Seismic risk and possible maximum loss (PML) analysis of reinforced concrete structures’, PartV Assessing Financial and Other Losses from Earthquake Damage, Handbook of Seismic Risk Analysis and Management of Civil Infrastructure Systems, S. Tesfamariam, & K. Goda (eds),2013

    • Author(s)
      Hiromichi Yoshikawa
    • Total Pages
      19
    • Publisher
      Woodhead Publishing Ltd, Cambridge
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 都市の地震防災 -地震・耐震・津波・減災を学ぶ-2013

    • Author(s)
      吉川弘道編者、著者4名(矢代晴実、福島誠一郎、大峯秀人・羽田誠)
    • Total Pages
      176
    • Publisher
      フォーラムエイトパブリッシング
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 地震に負けないエンジニリング講座 「耐震設計と地震リスク」

    • URL

      http://www.srm-bcp.com/

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] 耐震設計と地震リスク

    • URL

      http://srm-bcp.com/

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2011-08-05   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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