• Search Research Projects
  • Search Researchers
  • How to Use
  1. Back to previous page

Early warning signals for predicting impending expansion of invading populations

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23710285
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Resource conservation science
Research InstitutionToho University

Principal Investigator

TAKIMOTO Gaku  東邦大学, 理学部, 准教授 (90453852)

Research Collaborator SUZUKI Kenta  東邦大学, 理学部, 博士研究員
ITO Kenji  農業環境技術研究所, 生物多様性研究領域, 主任研究員
Project Period (FY) 2011 – 2013
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords保全生物 / 外来生物管理 / 分布拡大予測 / 個体ベースシミュレーション / アリー効果 / 外来生物 / 個体ベースシミュレーションモデル / カワヒバリガイ
Research Abstract

Invasive organisms can have significant impacts on ecosystems and human society. Some invasive species have latent periods of low densities before they start expansion. We developed a methodology to predict such species and their impending expansion. Allee effects are one of the mechanisms lowering the growth of low-density populations and thereby causing latent periods before the expansion of invading populations. We built a basic theoretical framework to (1) determine whether Allee effects are responsible for a latent period of an invading population, and to (2) construct an early warning signal for the acceleration of population spread during the latent period. In addition, we reported the current distribution of invasive golden mussel in Lake Kasumigaura.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2013 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • 2011 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (15 results)

All 2014 2013 2011 Other

All Journal Article (5 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results) Presentation (8 results) (of which Invited: 1 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Making the most of mathematical models for effective environmental management2014

    • Author(s)
      Hiroyuki Yokomizo、Gaku Takimoto
    • Journal Title

      Population Ecology

      Volume: 56巻 Pages: 3-5

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Persistence and management of spatially distributed populations2014

    • Author(s)
      Alan Hastings
    • Journal Title

      Population Ecology

      Volume: 56巻 Pages: 21-26

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report 2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Making the most of mathematical models for effective environmental management2014

    • Author(s)
      Hiroyuki Yokomizo, Gaku Takimoto
    • Journal Title

      Population Ecology

      Volume: 56 Issue: 1 Pages: 3-5

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10144-013-0420-3

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] メタ個体群モデルを用いた霞ヶ浦におけるカワヒバリガイの分布拡大予測2013

    • Author(s)
      伊藤健二、瀧本岳
    • Journal Title

      日本ベントス学会誌

      Volume: 68巻 Pages: 42-48

    • NAID

      130004688839

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] メタ個体群モデルを用いた霞ヶ浦におけるカワヒバリガイの分布拡大予測2013

    • Author(s)
      伊藤健二, 瀧本岳
    • Journal Title

      日本ベントス学会誌

      Volume: 68 Pages: 42-48

    • NAID

      130004688839

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Early warning signals during transient phases before expansion of alien populations2014

    • Author(s)
      Kenta Suzuki、Gaku Takimoto
    • Organizer
      The Joint Annual Meeting of the Japanese Society for Mathematical Biology and the Society for Mathematical Biology
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪国際会議場(大阪)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-30
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 外来生物の分布拡大加速化の予兆シグナルに関する研究2014

    • Author(s)
      鈴木健大、瀧本岳
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第61回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島国際会議場(広島)
    • Year and Date
      2014-03-18
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 霞ヶ浦におけるカワヒバリガイの分布拡大の現状 : 2006-2012年の比較2013

    • Author(s)
      伊藤健二、瀧本岳
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第60回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      グランシップ静岡(静岡)
    • Year and Date
      2013-03-07
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Local-regional richness relationships of metacommunities with local facilitation2011

    • Author(s)
      Gaku Takimoto
    • Organizer
      第96回アメリカ生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      Austin Convention Center(米国テキサス州)
    • Year and Date
      2011-08-08
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Local-regional richness relationships of metacommunities with local facilitation2011

    • Author(s)
      Gaku Takimoto
    • Organizer
      第96回アメリカ生態学会
    • Place of Presentation
      Austin Convention Center (米国テキサス州)
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 外来生物の分布拡大加速化の予兆シグナルに関する研究

    • Author(s)
      鈴木健大, 瀧本岳
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第61回全国大会 (2014年3月、広島)
    • Place of Presentation
      広島国際会議場(広島)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Early warning signals during transient phases before expansion of alien populations

    • Author(s)
      Kenta Suzuki, Gaku Takimoto
    • Organizer
      The Joint Annual Meeting of the Japanese Society for Mathematical Biology and the Society for Mathematical Biology, Osaka 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪国際会議場(大阪)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 霞ヶ浦におけるカワヒバリガイの分布拡大の現状:2006-2012年の比較

    • Author(s)
      伊藤健二(農業環境技術研究所), 瀧本岳(東邦大・理学部)
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第60回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      グランシップ静岡(静岡県)
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Book] すぐに増える、ゆっくり増える、やがて消える?-外来種がもたらす影響の時間変化とそのしくみ―、外来生物―生物多様性と人間社会への影響― (西川 潮・宮下 直編)2011

    • Author(s)
      瀧本岳
    • Publisher
      裳華房
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 外来生物―生物多様性と人間社会への影響―2011

    • Author(s)
      瀧本 岳
    • Publisher
      裳華房
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2011-08-05   Modified: 2019-07-29  

Information User Guide FAQ News Terms of Use Attribution of KAKENHI

Powered by NII kakenhi