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Behavior of Rebel Groups in Civil War: An intra-group politics approach

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23730162
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field International relations
Research InstitutionHitotsubashi University

Principal Investigator

OBAYASHI Kazuhiro  一橋大学, 大学院法学研究科, 准教授 (30598149)

Project Period (FY) 2011-04-28 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Keywords内戦 / 組織 / 反乱軍 / 平和構築 / 権力分有協定 / 国際研究者交流 / ボスニア・ヘルツェゴヴィナ / 計量分析 / 国際研究者交流(ノルウェー) / 国際研究者交流(スリランカ) / 南スーダン / ジュバ
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The primary purpose of this research was to examine the effects of the organizational characteristics of rebel groups and their intra-group politics on civil war dynamics. First, a case study of the Lord’s Resistance Army in Uganda explored the usefulness of an intra-group politics approach in explaining the success and failure of attempts at organizational reform. Next the researcher analyzed the cases of South Sudan and Sri Lanka to hypothesize that the organizational characteristics of rebel groups can exert an influence on post-war peace construction efforts; the validity of the hypothesis was demonstrated through survival analyses of postwar peace duration. The quantitative analyses also revealed an increased short-term risk of resumption of hostilities in cases where a political power-sharing arrangement is concluded, especially in combination with a military power-sharing arrangement.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • 2011 Research-status Report
  • Products Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2018 2016 2014 2013 Other

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (4 results) (of which Invited: 1 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Distributional effects of political power-sharing arrangements and their negative consequences for post-agreement stability2018

    • Author(s)
      Obayashi Kazuhiro
    • Journal Title

      Asian Journal of Comparative Politics

      Volume: 3 Issue: 2 Pages: 109-132

    • DOI

      10.1177/2057891118765223

    • Related Report
      Products Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 反乱軍の組織と内戦後の和平期間2013

    • Author(s)
      大林一広
    • Journal Title

      国際政治

      Volume: 174 Pages: 139-152

    • NAID

      40019818659

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 内戦後の暴力と平和構築―南(部)スーダンの予備的分析と研究課題の模索―2013

    • Author(s)
      大林一広
    • Journal Title

      一橋法学

      Volume: 12 Pages: 369-391

    • NAID

      110009555629

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Distributional Effects of Political Power-Sharing Arrangements and Their Negative Consequences for Post-Agreement Stability2016

    • Author(s)
      Obayashi, Kazuhiro
    • Organizer
      ISA Asia-Pacific Conference
    • Related Report
      Products Report
  • [Presentation] 権力分有協定の効果の検証2014

    • Author(s)
      大林一広
    • Organizer
      日本国際政治学会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡国際会議場(福岡県)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-14
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Rebel Organizations and Postwar Peace Duration2014

    • Author(s)
      Kazuhiro Obayashi
    • Organizer
      International Studies Association
    • Place of Presentation
      シェラトン・センター・トロント・ホテル(カナダ、オンタリオ州トロント市)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 組織改革の失敗―神の抵抗軍(LRA)の事例―

    • Author(s)
      大林一広
    • Organizer
      早稲田大学GLOPEIIランチタイムセミナー(制度構築の政治経済学)
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学、東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Remarks] 「内戦後の暴力と平和構築―南(部)スーダンの予備的分析と研究課題の模索―」

    • URL

      http://hdl.handle.net/10086/25532

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2011-08-05   Modified: 2020-07-03  

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