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Role of higher order beliefs in decision making: Inductive approach

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23730184
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Economic theory
Research InstitutionUniversity of Tsukuba

Principal Investigator

ISHIKAWA Ryuichiro  筑波大学, システム情報系, 准教授 (80345454)

Project Period (FY) 2011 – 2013
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Keywordsゲーム理論 / 実験経済学 / バブル / 資産取引実験 / 情報経済学 / 国際研究者交流・フランス / 経験 / 先入観 / 帰納的ゲーム理論 / 信念改訂理論 / 情報開示 / 不可逆性 / 情報の価値 / オプション価値
Research Abstract

The productions of this project are classified into either theoretical ones and experimental economic ones. In theoretical productions, we propose a framework of dynamic logic for inductive game theory. In addition, we study how the difference of information decision makers obtain makes an impact on decision making and how the social welfare varies.
In experimental economic productions, we study how subjects expect asset prices through their experiences and cognitive abilities. This is an application of the theoretical products for experimental asset markets. As a result, we found the subjects who get higher score in a cognitive ability test make a greater impact on strategic uncertainty.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2013 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • 2011 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (42 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 Other

All Journal Article (17 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 13 results) Presentation (20 results) Book (2 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] Revision of beliefs with perceived experiences2013

    • Author(s)
      Yoichiro Fujii and Ryuichiro Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Annual Research Bulletin of Osaka Sangyo University

      Volume: No.5 Pages: 45-70

    • NAID

      110009575845

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Arrow-Fisher-Hanemann-Henry and Dixit-Pindyck option values under strategic interactions2013

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Fujii and Ryuichiro Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Strategic Behavior and the Environment

      Volume: Vol.3(3) Pages: 169-183

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] How does childbirth alter intrahousehold resource allocation? Evidence from Japan2013

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Fujii and Ryuichiro Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

      Volume: Vol.75(3) Pages: 362-387

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Inductive game theory : A simulation study of learning a social situation2013

    • Author(s)
      Eizo Akiyama, Ryuichiro Ishikawa, Mamoru Kaneko, and Jeffery Jude Kline
    • Journal Title

      Game Theory Relaunched, Chapter 3 (Hardy Hanappi (ed.)) (InTech)

      Pages: 55-76

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A note on separability and intra-household resource allocation in a collective household model2013

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Fujii and Ryuichiro Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Review of Economics of the Household

      Volume: Vol.11(1) Pages: 143-149

    • NAID

      120007137057

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Revision of beliefs with perceived experiences2013

    • Author(s)
      Y. Fujii and R. Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Annual Research Bulletin of Osaka Sangyo University

      Volume: 5 Pages: 45-70

    • NAID

      110009575845

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Arrow-Fisher-Hanemann-Henry and Dixit-Pindyck option values under strategic interactions2013

    • Author(s)
      Fujii, T. and R. Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Strategic Behavior and the Environment

      Volume: 3(3) Issue: 3 Pages: 169-183

    • DOI

      10.1561/102.00000028

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Inductive game theory: A simulation study of learning a social situation2013

    • Author(s)
      Akiyama, E., R. Ishikawa, M. Kaneko, and J. J. Kline
    • Journal Title

      Game Theory Relaunched

      Volume: n/a Pages: 55-76

    • DOI

      10.5772/54181

    • ISBN
      9789535110781
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A note on separability and intra-household resource allocation in a collective household model2013

    • Author(s)
      Fujii, T. and R. Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Review of Economics of the Household

      Volume: 11(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 143-149

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11150-012-9155-8

    • NAID

      120007137057

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report 2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Inductive game theory: A simulation study of learning a social situation2013

    • Author(s)
      Eizo Akiyama, Ryuichiro Ishikawa, Mamoru Kaneko, Jeffery Jude Kline
    • Journal Title

      Game Theory Relaunched

      Volume: Chapter 3 Pages: 55-76

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Quasi-option value under strategic interactions2012

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Fujii and Ryuichiro Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Resource and Energy Economics

      Volume: Vol.34 Pages: 36-54

    • NAID

      120007130760

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] How does childbirth alter intrahousehold resource allocation? : Evidence from Japan2012

    • Author(s)
      Fujii, T., R.Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

      Volume: 75(3) Issue: 3 Pages: 362-387

    • DOI

      10.1111/j.1468-0084.2012.00699.x

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report 2012 Research-status Report 2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Quasi-option value under strategic interactions2012

    • Author(s)
      T. Fujii, and R. Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Resource and Energy Economics

      Volume: Vol.34 Issue: 1 Pages: 36-54

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.reseneeco.2011.09.002

    • NAID

      120007130760

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A note on separability and intra-household resource allocation in a collective household model2012

    • Author(s)
      Fujii, T. and R. Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      SMU Economics & Statistics Working Paper Series

      Volume: 06-2012 Pages: 1-7

    • NAID

      120007137057

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Belief revision for inductive game theory2012

    • Author(s)
      Hasebe, K. and R. Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      Department of Social Systems and Management Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 1285 Pages: 36-54

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] ヴィクセル型取引ネットワークにおけるエッジワース競争の分析2012

    • Author(s)
      星野良明・石川竜一郎・山崎昭
    • Journal Title

      Meisei University Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 21 Pages: 1-42

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Arrow-Fisher-Hanemann-Henry and Dixit-Pindyck option values under strategic interactions2011

    • Author(s)
      Fujii, T. and R. Ishikawa
    • Journal Title

      SMU Economics & Statistics Working Paper Series

      Volume: 13-2011 Pages: 1-14

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Interbank market contagion by mark-to-market accounting2013

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      Third International Workshop of Mathematics and Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Shanghai, Chaina
    • Year and Date
      2013-11-02
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interbank market contagion by mark-to-market accounting2013

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      Singapore Management University Workshop
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2013-08-04
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Simulation Study of Learning a Structure Mike's Bike Commuting2013

    • Author(s)
      石 川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society 2013
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore National University, Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2013-08-02
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interbank market contagion by mark-to-market accounting2013

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Place of Presentation
      関東学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2013-03-11
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Effect of uncertainty about others' rationality in experimental asset markets2013

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      2013 Asia-Pacific ESA Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2013-02-17
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Simulation Study of Learning a Structure Mike's Bike Commuting2013

    • Author(s)
      石 川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      13th Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET) conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Paris, France
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report 2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Simulation Study of Learning a Structure Mike's Bike Commuting2013

    • Author(s)
      R. Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Effect of uncertainty about others' rationality in experimental asset markets: An experimental analysis2013

    • Author(s)
      Ryuichiro Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      2013 Asia-Pacific ESA Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Belief revision for inductive game theory2012

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Game Theory, Epistemic Logic, & Related Topics
    • Place of Presentation
      筑波大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-08-30
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Belief revision for inductive game theory2012

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      Mathematics, Technology and Education 2012
    • Place of Presentation
      茨城工業専門高等学校
    • Year and Date
      2012-03-18
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] ヴィクセル型取引ネットワークにおけるエッジワース競争の分析2012

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      関東学院大学セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      関東学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-03-16
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] ヴィクセル型取引ネットワークにおけるエッジワース競争の分析2012

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      一橋大学経済理論ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-01-26
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] ヴィクセル型取引ネットワークにおけるエッジワース競争の分析2012

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      学習院大学GEM セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      学習院大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-01-20
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interbank market contagion by mark-to-market accounting2012

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      24th Asian-Pacific Conference on International Accounting Issues
    • Place of Presentation
      Maui, Hawaii, USA
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interbank market contagion by mark-to-market accounting2012

    • Author(s)
      Ryuiichiro Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      24th Asian-Pacific Conference on International Accounting Issues
    • Place of Presentation
      Hawaii, USA
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Belief revision for inductive game theory2012

    • Author(s)
      Ryuichiro Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Game Theory, Epistemic Logic, & Related Topics
    • Place of Presentation
      Tsukuba, Japan
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ヴィクセル型取引ネットワークにおけるエッジワース競争の分析2011

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      京都大学経済研究所ミクロ経済学・ゲーム理論研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-12-08
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] ヴィクセル型取引ネットワークにおけるエッジワース競争の分析2011

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      早稲田大学現代政治経済研究所船木部会研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-10-20
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Beauty contests and asset prices under asymmetric information2011

    • Author(s)
      石川竜一郎
    • Organizer
      一橋大学経済理論セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-04-21
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Interbank market contagion by mark-to-market accounting

    • Author(s)
      R. Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      International Workshop of Mathematics and Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Shanghai, China
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 制度と認識の経済学2013

    • Author(s)
      船木由喜彦・石川竜一郎 共編著
    • Publisher
      NTT出版
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Book] 制度と認識の経済学2013

    • Author(s)
      船木由喜彦・石川竜一郎
    • Total Pages
      332
    • Publisher
      NTT出版
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://infoshako.sk.tsukuba.ac.jp/~ishikawa/index.html

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] 石川竜一郎のHP

    • URL

      http://infoshako.sk.tsukuba.ac.jp/~ishikawa/index.html

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://infoshako.sk.tsukuba.ac.jp/~ishikawa/index.html

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report

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Published: 2011-08-05   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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