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The influence of volatility and endogeneity in economic time series on cointegration analysis

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23730220
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionRyukoku University

Principal Investigator

DAIKI Maki  龍谷大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (60423737)

Project Period (FY) 2011 – 2012
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Keywordsボラティリティ / 内生性 / 共和分分析 / 共和分検定 / 非線形調整 / 構造変化 / 共和分
Research Abstract

This research investigated the influence of heteroskedastic variances and endogeneity on cointegration analysis. We demonstrated that a variance ratio cointegration test yields reasonable empirical sizes under most cases of heteroskedastic variances and endogeneity, as compared to other tests including standard cointegration tests. While the cointegration test with threshold adjustment has size distortions under heteroskedastic variances and endogeneity, it generally has better power performance under most cointegration relationships with nonlinearity.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2012 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2011 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (3 results)

All 2013 2012 2011

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results)

  • [Journal Article] Detecting cointegration relationships under nonlinear models: Monte Carlo analysis and some applications2013

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Maki
    • Journal Title

      Empirical Economics

      Volume: 未定 Issue: 1 Pages: 605-625

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00181-012-0605-1

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report 2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Tests for cointegration allowing for an unknown number of breaks2012

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Maki
    • Journal Title

      Economic Modelling

      Volume: Vol. 29, Issue 5 Issue: 5 Pages: 2011-2015

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.econmod.2012.04.022

    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report 2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The influence of heteroskedastic variances on cointegration tests: A comparison using Monte Carlo simulation2011

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Maki
    • Journal Title

      Computational Statistics

      Volume: Vol.28, Issue 1 Issue: 1 Pages: 179-198

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00180-011-0293-x

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report 2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed

URL: 

Published: 2011-08-05   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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