| Budget Amount *help |
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
Probabilistic methods are necessary for long term predictions in nonlinear system due to their chaotic behavior. Direct numerical integration of the probability distribution in the phase space requires so huge amount of calculation in the case of systems with high degree of freedom, that Monte Carlo simulations are often used in such cases. In this study, possibility of the numerical integration of the probability distribution is investigated. Several approximations are employed to reduce the amount of the calculation, so the results have less accuracy than those of the Monte Carlo calculations.
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